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Virginia National Bankshares (VABK) AI Stock Analysis

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VABK

Virginia National Bankshares

(NASDAQ:VABK)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:$59.00â–²(10.05% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/10/26

The overall score of 74 reflects a conservatively managed regional bank with strong fundamentals and shareholder-friendly capital actions. The primary strengths are a fortress-like balance sheet and positive corporate events, including dividend increases and a new buyback program. Attractive valuation and a solid technical uptrend provide additional support. The main factor preventing a higher score is the deceleration in free cash flow growth, which warrants monitoring.

Positive Factors
Strong ProfitabilityHigh and improving profitability gives Virginia National Bankshares capacity to build capital, support lending, and fund shareholder returns. The stronger TTM result indicates meaningful earnings power, although the company remains exposed to normal regional-bank cycle fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Declining Free Cash FlowThe recent reduction in free cash flow weakens the immediate cushion supporting capital returns and balance-sheet growth. If the decline persists, management may have less internally generated cash available for lending expansion, repurchases, dividends, or other strategic uses.

Virginia National Bankshares (VABK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%VABK+37.36%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$290.98M
Dividend Yield
2.69%
Average Volume (3M)
11.30K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.9
Beta (1Y)
0.58
Revenue Growth
7.74%
EPS Growth
49.05%
Country
US
Employees
144
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Virginia National Bankshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Virginia National Bankshares Corporation operates as the parent entity for Virginia National Bank, delivering a comprehensive suite of commercial banking solutions. Its operations are structured into four distinct divisions: the primary banking segme...

Virginia National Bankshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is solid, driven by a strong balance sheet (Score: 78) with very low leverage and improving ROE. The income statement shows positive revenue and margin trends (Score: 72), while cash flow confirms high earnings quality, though free cash flow growth has decelerated (Score: 65). Overall, the bank is conservatively managed with steady operational improvement.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue89.51M83.34M82.61M79.09M69.99M58.74M
Gross Profit65.67M57.47M53.66M57.34M66.70M54.44M
EBITDA37.08M28.07M25.16M28.04M33.63M16.32M
Net Income26.78M19.26M16.97M19.26M23.44M10.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.63B1.65B1.62B1.65B1.62B1.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.76M60.06M280.64M448.99M578.28M660.19M
Total Debt33.95M29.75M29.13M79.92M9.59M10.47M
Total Liabilities1.44B1.47B1.46B1.49B1.49B1.81B
Stockholders Equity190.02M184.16M160.30M153.04M133.42M161.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.61M20.75M14.56M12.73M22.14M11.77M
Operating Cash Flow17.27M21.33M15.29M13.90M22.68M13.06M
Investing Cash Flow28.48M31.80M15.75M-19.77M-167.20M262.19M
Financing Cash Flow8.50M381.00K-42.33M-5.88M-324.19M198.89M

Virginia National Bankshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price53.61

Price Trends

50DMA49.32Positive
100DMA47.47Positive
200DMA44.01Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.26Negative
RSI64.14Neutral
STOCH71.32Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VABK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 53.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.21, above the 50-day MA of 49.32, and above the 200-day MA of 44.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VABK.

Virginia National Bankshares Risk Analysis

Virginia National Bankshares disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Virginia National Bankshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Recent negative developments affecting the banking industry, and resulting media coverage, have eroded customer confidence in the banking system.Q4, 2023

Virginia National Bankshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

VABK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FRAFFRAF79Outperform$315.86M11.2715.56%1.93%7.25%76.40%
EFSIEFSI76Outperform$248.41M13.949.27%2.70%17.02%47.37%
LCNBLCNB75Outperform$280.25M11.178.95%4.48%-1.78%5.15%
VABKVABK74Outperform$289.38M10.8514.18%2.69%7.74%49.05%
FXNCFXNC71Outperform$273.98M11.8812.06%2.24%0.88%103.52%
OPBKOPBK70Outperform$222.05M7.4412.79%3.59%7.48%28.18%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%VABKLCNBOPBKFXNCFRAFEFSIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
VABK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
VABKVirginia National Bankshares Corporation53.6114.6137.47%
LCNBLcnb Corporation19.664.8732.94%
OPBKOp Bancorp15.032.1816.97%
FXNCFirst National Corp30.306.7928.88%
FRAFFranklin Financial Services69.8822.2046.55%
EFSIEagle Financial Services 46.0011.0931.78%

Virginia National Bankshares Corporate Events

Dividends

Virginia National Bankshares Declares Stock and Cash Dividends

Positive
Nov 10, 2026

On November 9, 2026, the Board declared an 8% stock dividend to be paid on November 30, 2026, to shareholders of record on November 20, with cash in lieu of fractional shares. It also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.38 per share, an increase...

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback

Virginia National Bankshares Launches New Share Repurchase Program

Positive
Oct 8, 2026

On October 6, 2026, Virginia National Bankshares Corporation announced a new share repurchase plan authorizing buybacks of up to $18.7 million of its common stock through October 5, 2027, signaling confidence in its capital position and long-term val...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2026