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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (2330) AI Stock Analysis

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TW:2330

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd.

(TWSE:2330)

Select Model
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:TWD 2,434.00▲(1.63% Upside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

TSMC earns a strong score driven by exceptional financial performance — rapid revenue growth, record margins, 41% ROE and a fortress balance sheet with minimal leverage — reinforced by an upbeat earnings call featuring raised full-year growth guidance of ~44% and extremely robust AI demand. Valuation is supportive at a 22.4x P/E given that growth profile. The main drag is technicals: the share price sits below all major moving averages with a negative MACD and deeply oversold momentum readings, indicating significant near-term selling pressure. Margin dilution from the 2 nm ramp and overseas fabs, plus heavy multi-year capital spending, are the key fundamental watch points.

Positive Factors
Advanced-Node LeadershipA high mix of advanced-node revenue demonstrates strong process leadership and customer adoption in the most demanding chip applications. This supports pricing power, reinforces TSMC’s competitive position, and creates a durable platform for future HPC, AI, and smartphone growth.
Negative Factors
Structural Margin DilutionThe global fab build-out is strategically necessary but is expected to reduce margins as overseas facilities ramp. Combined with ongoing 2 nm dilution, higher costs could weigh on profitability for several years and make current margin levels harder to sustain.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (2330) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%TW:2330+69.54%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 61.46T
Dividend Yield
1.00%
Average Volume (3M)
26.37M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
24.4
Beta (1Y)
1.03
Revenue Growth
36.17%
EPS Growth
―
Country
TW
Employees
76,907
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Semiconductors

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC) specializes in the comprehensive production cycle of integrated circuits and various semiconductor devices, including their fabrication, assembly, rigorous testing, and worldwide distribution....

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Outstanding across all three statements. Income statement (97): revenue reached NT$4.94 trillion TTM with 31.6% growth, gross margin expanded to 65.8%, operating margin to 59.1% and net margin above 50%. Balance sheet (94): equity funds ~70% of assets, debt-to-equity of just 0.14 (down from 0.35 in 2021) and ROE of 41.2%. Cash flow (90): operating cash flow of NT$3.21 trillion is 1.63x net income and free cash flow rose ~34% to NT$1.50 trillion, though heavy capital spending absorbs roughly half of operating cash flow. Key structural risks are semiconductor cyclicality, capital intensity and geographic concentration of fabs.

Income Statement

97Very Positive

Balance Sheet

94Very Positive

Cash Flow

90Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.94T3.81T2.89T2.16T2.26T1.59T
Gross Profit3.26T2.28T1.62T1.18T1.35T819.54B
EBITDA3.67T2.72T2.08T1.52T1.59T1.09T
Net Income2.55T1.72T1.16T838.50B992.92B592.36B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.05T7.93T6.69T5.53T4.96T3.73T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.02T3.07T2.49T1.71T1.59T1.20T
Total Debt983.51B1.06T1.05T956.26B888.17B753.63B
Total Liabilities3.01T2.47T2.41T2.08T2.05T1.57T
Stockholders Equity7.00T5.42T4.24T3.43T2.90T2.15T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.50T1.09T861.20B286.57B520.97B262.72B
Operating Cash Flow3.21T2.36T1.83T1.24T1.61T1.11T
Investing Cash Flow-1.58T-1.25T-864.84B-906.12B-1.19T-836.37B
Financing Cash Flow-554.31B-421.22B-346.30B-204.89B-200.24B136.61B

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:2330 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:2330TW:233078OutperformTWD 59.26T24.37―1.00%36.17%―
TW:2303TW:230368NeutralTWD 1.26T15.27―2.51%12.57%100.52%
TW:3711TW:371166NeutralTWD 2.67T35.63―1.07%24.94%115.44%
TW:2408TW:240865NeutralTWD 1.32T7.5763.83%0.34%585.80%―
TW:3105TW:310557NeutralTWD 204.76B65.22―0.38%31.84%1329.89%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:6770TW:677037UnderperformTWD 278.96B11.23―0.39%42.62%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%TW:2330TW:2408TW:2303TW:3105TW:3711TW:6770Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:2330 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:2330Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd.2395.00952.6966.05%
TW:2408Nanya Technology Corporation394.00231.02141.75%
TW:2303United Microelectronics Corp.104.0060.30137.98%
TW:3105Win Semiconductors Corp.521.00392.04304.01%
TW:3711ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.617.00387.60168.96%
TW:6770Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp.58.5022.9764.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026