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Nanya Technology (2408) AI Stock Analysis

TW:2408

Nanya Technology

(TWSE:2408)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:TWD 369.00â–¼(-3.66% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/08/26

The score is supported primarily by a strong balance sheet and a clear 2025 earnings recovery, alongside very attractive valuation metrics (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are offset by weak technical momentum (price below key moving averages with negative MACD and oversold readings) and inconsistent free-cash-flow conversion, which raises risk despite improving operating cash flow.

Positive Factors
2025 Earnings RecoveryRevenue and margins recovered materially in 2025, showing that the company can regain profitability when DRAM conditions improve. This strengthens near-term earnings capacity and provides a healthier base for investment, although the historical cycle means the recovery is not yet a stable, through-cycle growth pattern.
Negative Factors
High Earnings CyclicalityThe sharp swing from strong profitability to losses and then recovery demonstrates substantial earnings sensitivity to semiconductor conditions. This cyclicality makes results less predictable, complicates planning, and means current positive margins may not persist if industry conditions weaken over the coming quarters.

Nanya Technology (2408) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%TW:2408+135.00%SPY+10.92%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 1.32T
Dividend Yield
0.35%
Average Volume (3M)
59.55M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.4
Beta (1Y)
1.75
Revenue Growth
585.80%
EPS Growth
―
Country
TW
Employees
1,237
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Semiconductors

Nanya Technology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nanya Technology Corporation operates as a global manufacturer and vendor of dynamic random access memory (DRAM) and various other memory components. The company's sales and production reach span Taiwan, Japan, China, the United States, and other int...

Nanya Technology Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are improving but remain cyclical. Profitability rebounded in 2025 (revenue up ~55% with ~23% gross margin and ~10% net margin), and the balance sheet is strong with low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.14). The main drag is cash-flow consistency: free cash flow has been volatile and in 2025 covered only ~28% of net income, indicating weaker cash conversion despite improved operating cash flow.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

54Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue295.38B66.59B34.13B29.89B56.95B85.60B
Gross Profit228.18B14.98B-420.58M-4.48B21.34B37.04B
EBITDA221.26B19.52B9.87B4.77B31.60B42.56B
Net Income174.96B6.60B-5.08B-7.44B14.62B22.85B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets509.57B208.45B206.71B192.35B202.24B191.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments289.93B58.07B61.90B58.81B73.59B80.70B
Total Debt22.57B23.62B29.72B15.68B4.56B1.72B
Total Liabilities-322.70B37.91B41.65B25.43B21.28B18.44B
Stockholders Equity322.70B170.40B165.05B166.92B180.96B172.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow170.64B5.33B-14.36B-19.65B152.13M32.63B
Operating Cash Flow200.52B18.77B1.95B-6.10B21.08B44.11B
Investing Cash Flow-29.45B-14.18B-16.19B-12.79B-20.87B-10.93B
Financing Cash Flow63.82B-6.46B13.71B4.20B-11.77B-3.06B

Nanya Technology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price383.00

Price Trends

50DMA485.95Negative
100DMA462.06Negative
200DMA363.88Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-29.68Positive
RSI28.52Positive
STOCH10.30Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TW:2408, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 383.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 447.85, below the 50-day MA of 485.95, and above the 200-day MA of 363.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -29.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.52 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TW:2408.

Nanya Technology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:2408 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:2408TW:240865NeutralTWD 1.32T7.3669.39%0.35%585.80%―
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%TW:2408Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:2408 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:2408Nanya Technology Corporation383.00220.52135.73%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2026