TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Trinseo (TSEOQ) AI Stock Analysis

Top Page

TSEOQ

Trinseo

(Other OTC:TSEOQ)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:$0.01▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:09/30/26

The score is driven primarily by severely weakened financial performance (continued losses, cash burn, and negative equity with high debt). Technical indicators also reflect bearish momentum with the stock below key moving averages. Valuation signals are unreliable due to loss-making status and an unusually high dividend yield that appears distress-driven, while recent corporate events highlight capital concerns.

Positive Factors
Diversified Materials PortfolioTrinseo serves multiple industrial and commercial end markets through polymers, resins, latex binders, and engineered materials. This breadth can reduce reliance on any single application and provides several channels for product demand, while specialized formulations may support customer retention and differentiated selling opportunities.
Negative Factors
Revenue and Margin DeclineSustained revenue contraction combined with gross margins of only about 5–8% since 2022 has materially weakened earnings power. The latest $582.5M trailing net loss indicates that lower scale and limited profitability remain central business problems, reducing funds available for reinvestment and recovery.

Trinseo (TSEOQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-75%-50%-25%0%25%TSEOQ-99.26%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$475.28K
Dividend Yield
1142.86%
Average Volume (3M)
1,049
Price to Earnings (P/E)
0.0
Beta (1Y)
1.27
Revenue Growth
-8.67%
EPS Growth
-50.31%
Country
US
Employees
2,950
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Trinseo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Trinseo PLC provides specialty material solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Engineered Materials, Latex Binders, Polymer Solutions, and Americas Styrenics. The Eng...

How the Company Makes Money

Trinseo makes money primarily by manufacturing materials (polymers/resins, latex binders, and other chemical/material products) and selling them to industrial and commercial customers under supply agreements and purchase orders. Revenue is mainly gen...

Trinseo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025(Q3-2025)|% Change Since:-99.21%|Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant challenges in terms of decreased EBITDA, negative free cash flow, and impacts from global trade uncertainties. However, there were positive developments such as growth in recycled plastics, increased sales of formulated PMMA resins, and expected EBITDA improvements from strategic decisions. The sentiment reflects a balanced view of current challenges and future opportunities.

Positive Updates

Increased Sales of Formulated PMMA Resins
Late in the third quarter and into the fourth quarter, sales of more formulated, higher-margin PMMA resins increased by over 10% year-over-year.

Negative Updates

Decreased Adjusted EBITDA
The company ended the third quarter with $30 million of adjusted EBITDA, impacted by $9 million of unfavorable raw material timing and negative equity affiliate earnings.

Company Guidance

During Trinseo's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the upcoming quarter and beyond. They expect fourth quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA to range between $30 million and $40 million, with a positive free cash flow of $20 million. This forecast assumes a continuation of the year-to-date market dynamics, including an anticipated $5 million to $10 million of negative raw material timing. The company ended the third quarter with $30 million of adjusted EBITDA, impacted by $9 million of unfavorable raw material timing and negative equity affiliate earnings from an $8 million headwind associated with an unplanned outage at Americas Styrenics. The company highlighted efforts to improve free cash flow through inventory management and restructuring activities. Additionally, Trinseo noted a promising increase in sales of their more formulated, higher-margin PMMA products, with a year-over-year volume increase of over 10% beginning in late Q3 and continuing into Q4.

Trinseo Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Very weak fundamentals: multi-year revenue decline (from $4.83B in 2021 to ~$2.91B TTM), deeply negative profitability (TTM net loss of ~$582.5M and ~-20% net margin), negative operating and free cash flow in TTM, and a highly stressed balance sheet with negative equity (~-$1.22B TTM) alongside sizable debt (~$2.83B). These factors indicate elevated solvency and liquidity risk.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

9Very Negative

Cash Flow

14Very Negative

Trinseo Risk Analysis

Trinseo disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trinseo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.We commenced cases under Chapter 11 of the Bankruptcy Code, which will cause our ordinary shares to lower in value and eventually render our ordinary shares valueless.Q2, 2026
2.We may not be able to comply with the covenants in our DIP Facilities.Q2, 2026
3.The negotiations regarding the Chapter 11 Cases have consumed and will continue to consume a substantial portion of the time and attention of our management, which may have an adverse effect on our business and results of operations, and we may face increased levels of employee attrition.Q2, 2026

Trinseo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

TSEOQ against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HWKNHWKN69Neutral$3.17B36.8415.86%0.50%9.02%3.18%
SXTSXT62Neutral$5.01B29.4113.66%1.39%9.54%21.44%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
PRMPRM54Neutral$4.59B-12.75-30.38%―24.25%-515.23%
KROKRO53Neutral$863.23M-7.88-14.34%2.67%2.70%-262.08%
CCCC43Neutral$2.04B-6.76-170.31%2.59%-1.38%28.10%
TSEOQTSEOQ40Underperform$127.96K0.0059.25%1142.86%-8.67%-50.31%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%-50%0%50%100%TSEOQHWKNKROSXTCCPRMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSEOQ and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSEOQTrinseo Plc0.01-1.47-99.32%
HWKNHawkins Inc152.5322.8717.64%
KROKronos Worldwide7.502.9464.37%
SXTSensient117.6327.1429.99%
CCChemours Company13.531.129.02%
PRMPerimeter Solutions, Sa28.064.3518.35%

Trinseo Corporate Events

Financial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings

Trinseo Adjourns 2026 Annual General Meeting to November

Neutral
Oct 27, 2026

Trinseo convened its 2026 annual general meeting on September 30, 2026, but the meeting was adjourned until November 20, 2026 at 9:00 a.m. EST to allow time for presenting the audited financial statements for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025....

Financial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings

Trinseo Convenes Extraordinary Shareholder Meeting Amid Capital Concerns

Negative
Sep 30, 2026

On September 30, 2026, Trinseo held an Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders that had been adjourned from September 23, 2026 due to the absence of a quorum. The meeting was convened under Section 1111 of the Irish Companies Act 2014, which ma...

Shareholder Meetings

Trinseo Adjourns 2026 Shareholder Meetings for Quorum Issues

Negative
Sep 23, 2026

Trinseo PLC convened its 2026 annual general meeting on September 23, 2026, but the chair adjourned it to September 30, 2026, due to the failure to achieve a quorum, with the reconvened session to be held in Wayne, Pennsylvania, and remote access pro...

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

Trinseo Calls Extraordinary Meeting Over Capital Position

Negative
Aug 14, 2026

On August 7, 2026, Trinseo PLC determined that its net assets on a standalone basis had fallen to half or less of its called-up share capital, triggering statutory obligations under Section 1111 of the Irish Companies Act 2014. This situation reflect...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2026