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Trinseo (TSEOQ)
OTHER OTC:TSEOQ
US Market
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Trinseo (TSEOQ) AI Stock Analysis

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TSEOQ

Trinseo

(OTC:TSEOQ)

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Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
<$0.01
▼(-10.00% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/17/26
The score is primarily driven by very weak financial performance (revenue contraction, large losses, cash burn, and negative equity with sizable debt), which outweighs other factors. Technical analysis cannot be validated due to missing indicators, and valuation inputs (P/E and dividend yield) are not meaningful as provided. Corporate events add incremental downside risk due to the disclosed capital-position deterioration.
Positive Factors
Diversified end markets
Exposure across automotive, packaging, construction, electronics, consumer goods, and paper applications gives Trinseo multiple demand channels. This breadth can reduce dependence on any single end market and supports longer-term relevance for its polymer and latex portfolio.
Negative Factors
Revenue and profitability deterioration
Persistent revenue contraction combined with a large TTM loss indicates that scale and earnings power have weakened materially. Low gross margins of roughly 5–8% since 2022 leave limited protection against demand or cost pressure, making a durable recovery in profitability uncertain.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified end markets
Exposure across automotive, packaging, construction, electronics, consumer goods, and paper applications gives Trinseo multiple demand channels. This breadth can reduce dependence on any single end market and supports longer-term relevance for its polymer and latex portfolio.
Read all positive factors

Trinseo (TSEOQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trinseo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Trinseo PLC provides specialty material solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Engineered Materials, Latex Binders, Polymer Solutions, and Americas Styrenics. The ...
How the Company Makes Money
Trinseo makes money primarily by producing and selling polymer and latex-based materials to industrial customers. Revenue is generated through (1) sales of engineered materials and plastics compounds, where Trinseo formulates and supplies performa...

Trinseo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant challenges in terms of decreased EBITDA, negative free cash flow, and impacts from global trade uncertainties. However, there were positive developments such as growth in recycled plastics, increased sales of formulated PMMA resins, and expected EBITDA improvements from strategic decisions. The sentiment reflects a balanced view of current challenges and future opportunities.
Positive Updates
Increased Sales of Formulated PMMA Resins
Late in the third quarter and into the fourth quarter, sales of more formulated, higher-margin PMMA resins increased by over 10% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA
The company ended the third quarter with $30 million of adjusted EBITDA, impacted by $9 million of unfavorable raw material timing and negative equity affiliate earnings.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Increased Sales of Formulated PMMA Resins
Late in the third quarter and into the fourth quarter, sales of more formulated, higher-margin PMMA resins increased by over 10% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During Trinseo's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the upcoming quarter and beyond. They expect fourth quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA to range between $30 million and $40 million, with a positive free cash flow of $20 million. This forecast assumes a continuation of the year-to-date market dynamics, including an anticipated $5 million to $10 million of negative raw material timing. The company ended the third quarter with $30 million of adjusted EBITDA, impacted by $9 million of unfavorable raw material timing and negative equity affiliate earnings from an $8 million headwind associated with an unplanned outage at Americas Styrenics. The company highlighted efforts to improve free cash flow through inventory management and restructuring activities. Additionally, Trinseo noted a promising increase in sales of their more formulated, higher-margin PMMA products, with a year-over-year volume increase of over 10% beginning in late Q3 and continuing into Q4.

Trinseo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are severely stressed: multi-year revenue decline ($4.83B in 2021 to ~$2.91B TTM), deeply negative profitability (TTM net loss ~$582.5M, ~-20% net margin), negative operating/free cash flow in TTM (-$225M/-$289M), and a highly pressured balance sheet with negative equity (~-$1.22B TTM) alongside large debt (~$2.83B).
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
9
Very Negative
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Trinseo Risk Analysis

Trinseo disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trinseo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trinseo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.59B31.8915.30%0.62%9.32%-4.81%
67
Neutral
$5.47B34.4813.02%1.28%8.12%16.87%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
$5.17B-14.35-30.38%2.33%24.25%-515.23%
52
Neutral
$936.89M-8.55-14.34%2.46%2.70%-262.08%
47
Neutral
$2.26B-7.52-170.31%2.33%-1.38%28.10%
39
Underperform
$475.28K59.25%307.69%-8.67%-50.31%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSEOQ
Trinseo
0.01
-2.39
-99.46%
HWKN
Hawkins
124.07
-49.17
-28.38%
KRO
Kronos Worldwide
8.14
2.20
37.13%
SXT
Sensient Technologies
128.60
27.20
26.82%
CC
Chemours Company
15.03
-1.86
-11.02%
PRM
Perimeter Solutions
31.56
9.14
40.77%

Trinseo Corporate Events

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Trinseo Calls Extraordinary Meeting Over Capital Position
Negative
Aug 14, 2026
On August 7, 2026, Trinseo PLC determined that its net assets on a standalone basis had fallen to half or less of its called-up share capital, triggering statutory obligations under Section 1111 of the Irish Companies Act 2014. This situation refl...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Trinseo Announces 2026 Annual General Shareholder Meeting
Positive
Jul 17, 2026
Trinseo PLC has scheduled its annual general meeting of shareholders for September 23, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. EST, to be held at its headquarters in Wayne, Pennsylvania, for shareholders of record as of July 30, 2026. The company is also providing an ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026