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Canopy Growth (TSE:WEED)
TSX:WEED

Canopy Growth (WEED) AI Stock Analysis

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Canopy Growth

(TSX:WEED)

47Neutral
Canopy Growth's overall score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability issues. While technical indicators show some positive signals, the valuation remains unattractive. Improvements in EBITDA and cash flow are positive, yet overall revenue decline and market competition pose risks. Recent strategic initiatives, including debt reduction and market expansions, offer potential for improvement but are currently insufficient to offset existing financial weaknesses.
Positive Factors
Profitability Efforts
The company demonstrated commitment to profitability with a 35% gross margin and significant cost-cutting measures, including reductions in cost of goods sold and selling, general, and administrative costs.
Sales Performance
Storz & Bickel sales showed strong growth, particularly in Germany and the US, contributing positively to Canopy's sales figures.
Negative Factors
Market Challenges
Canopy is facing issues like inconsistent gross margins, high operational costs, and a challenging market environment in Canada.
Regulatory Uncertainty
The uncertainty of US federal reform timeline affects institutional investor interest and industry profitability.
Stock Price Impact
Canopy's stock price has plunged significantly due to its two recent ATM programs to raise cash and other unfavorable factors.

Canopy Growth (WEED) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Canopy Growth Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCanopy Growth Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of cannabis and hemp-based products for recreational and medical purposes primarily in Canada, the United States, and Germany. It operates through two segments, Global Cannabis and Other Consumer Products. The company's products include dried cannabis flower, extracts and concentrates, beverages, gummies, and vapes. It offers its products under the Tweed, 7ACRES, 7ACRES Craft Collective, DOJA, Ace Valley, Quatreau, Deep Space, First + Free, Surity Pro, Spectrum Therapeutics, Vert, Tokyo Smoke, Twd, Martha Stewart CBD, DNA Genetics, BioSteel, Storz & Bickel, This Works, HiWay, Simple Stash, Whisl, and Truverra brands. The company was formerly known as Tweed Marijuana Inc. and changed its name to Canopy Growth Corporation in September 2015. Canopy Growth Corporation was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Smiths Falls, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCanopy Growth makes money primarily through the cultivation, processing, and sale of cannabis and cannabis-derived products. Its revenue streams include the sale of recreational cannabis products in Canada, medical cannabis products globally, and CBD products in various markets. The company also generates income through its strategic partnerships and investments, such as with Constellation Brands, which provides expertise in brand building and distribution. Additionally, Canopy has pursued acquisitions and developed a portfolio of brands to expand its market reach and product offerings, thus contributing to its earnings.

Canopy Growth Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Canopy Growth faces significant financial challenges with declining revenue, negative profitability margins, and cash flow inefficiencies. Despite some improvements in gross profit margin, the company's balance sheet stability is weakened by declining equity and poor returns on equity. The cash flow position remains weak, highlighting the need for strategic improvements to achieve sustainable financial health.
Income Statement
Canopy Growth has experienced a significant decline in revenue from 2022 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with a revenue growth rate of -46.8%. The gross profit margin for TTM is 27.9%, which shows improvement from previous periods. However, net profit margin remains deeply negative at -169.7%, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. The company also reports negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.83 in TTM, indicating a balanced approach to financing with equity. However, a declining equity ratio of 50.8% in TTM suggests a reduction in asset leverage. Return on equity is significantly negative at -79.4%, pointing to poor returns on shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
Canopy Growth's cash flow statement reveals a negative free cash flow with no growth, as well as an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.33 in TTM, reflecting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. The company's free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating operational cash flow challenges.
Breakdown
Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
297.15M402.90M520.33M546.65M398.77M
Gross Profit
79.90M-104.14M-193.05M66.96M-31.68M
EBIT
-228.71M1.67B-1.08B44.30M-1.67B
EBITDA
-312.83M-2.88B-121.15M-1.50B-1.31B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-657.27M-3.31B-320.49M-1.67B-1.39B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
205.83M782.60M1.37B2.30B1.98B
Total Assets
1.30B2.44B5.62B6.82B6.86B
Total Debt
668.00M1.31B1.50B1.58B625.82M
Net Debt
497.70M629.87M724.99M428.31M-677.36M
Total Liabilities
799.82M1.68B1.98B3.20B1.68B
Stockholders Equity
500.37M758.43M3.59B3.48B4.89B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-285.95M-568.10M-593.92M-639.87M-1.49B
Operating Cash Flow
-281.95M-557.55M-545.81M-465.73M-772.63M
Investing Cash Flow
241.59M433.38M230.82M-884.11M-347.65M
Financing Cash Flow
-465.06M-19.69M-45.53M1.26B-57.16M

Canopy Growth Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.82
Price Trends
50DMA
1.63
Positive
100DMA
2.47
Negative
200DMA
4.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
55.72
Neutral
STOCH
23.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:WEED, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.70, above the 50-day MA of 1.63, and below the 200-day MA of 4.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:WEED.

Canopy Growth Risk Analysis

Canopy Growth disclosed 92 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Canopy Growth reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Canopy Growth Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$5.17B3.59-42.19%2.82%15.05%-0.04%
47
Neutral
$320.53M-84.50%-16.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:WEED
Canopy Growth
1.82
-10.54
-85.28%
ACB
Aurora Cannabis
4.85
-1.61
-24.92%
CRON
Cronos Group
1.98
-0.79
-28.52%
CURLF
Curaleaf Holdings
0.84
-4.66
-84.73%
GTBIF
Green Thumb Industries
5.54
-7.39
-57.15%
TCNNF
Trulieve Cannabis
4.35
-7.25
-62.50%

Canopy Growth Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -54.39%|
Next Earnings Date:May 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Canopy Growth demonstrated strong performance in medical cannabis and launched successful new products like Claybourne. However, challenges in adult use revenue, overall revenue decline, and increased competition in Australia highlight the difficulties faced. Despite these challenges, the company showed significant improvement in profitability and cash flow, indicating a positive trend towards achieving sustained profitability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Medical Cannabis Success
In Canada, medical cannabis business posted record revenue with 16% year-over-year growth. Internationally, Canopy Growth has a strong position in markets like Germany, Poland, and Australia, with European markets experiencing over 70% growth.
Launch of Claybourne Brand
In less than six weeks, the Claybourne brand became the number three infused pre-roll in British Columbia and Ontario, indicating successful market penetration and consumer acceptance.
Storz & Bickel Performance
Storz & Bickel reported a 19% revenue increase to CAD22 million in Q3, driven by robust direct-to-consumer online sales and strong performance in Germany.
Improved EBITDA and Cash Flow
Adjusted EBITDA loss improved by 61% to CAD3 million, and free cash flow outflow improved by 17% to CAD28 million compared to Q3 of fiscal '24.
Successful Cost Reductions
Sales and marketing and G&A expenses declined 24% year-over-year, with significant progress in reducing cash costs related to legacy facilities.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Consolidated net revenue decreased by 5% year-over-year to CAD75 million, primarily due to divested businesses.
Decline in Gross Margin
Consolidated gross margin fell to 32% from 36% a year ago, reflecting increased costs, including higher initial costs for Claybourne production.
Challenges in Adult Use Business
The adult use business in Canada was down 10% year-over-year, despite a 15% increase quarter-over-quarter.
Increased Competition in Australia
Sales in the Australian market declined due to increased competition, affecting the overall performance in international markets.
Higher Shipping Costs Affect S&B Margin
Storz & Bickel's gross margin decreased to 41% from 51% last year due to higher indirect costs, including shipping.
Company Guidance
During Canopy Growth's third-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and insights into its performance and future outlook. Consolidated net revenue for the quarter was CAD75 million, marking a 5% decrease year-over-year, or an 8% increase excluding divested businesses. The gross margin stood at 32%, down from 36% the previous year. However, the adjusted EBITDA loss significantly narrowed to CAD3 million, a 61% improvement compared to the same quarter last year, while free cash flow was an outflow of CAD28 million, a 17% improvement year-over-year. The Canadian market saw net revenue of CAD41 million, with notable growth in the medical cannabis segment, up 16%, and an increase in adult-use revenue by 15% quarter-over-quarter. International markets, particularly in Europe, showed promising growth with a 14% year-over-year increase in net revenue, driven by strong performance in Poland and Germany. The Storz & Bickel segment also performed robustly, with a 19% increase in revenue, totaling CAD22 million for the quarter. The company indicated that achieving positive adjusted EBITDA is within reach in the coming quarters and highlighted ongoing efforts to improve profitability and cash flow into fiscal 2026.

Canopy Growth Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Canopy Growth Launches Spectrum Reserve: A New Premium Medical Cannabis Brand
Positive
Apr 2, 2025

Canopy Growth has launched Spectrum Reserve, a new premium medical cannabis brand in Canada, designed to cater to the evolving needs of medical cannabis patients. The brand will regularly introduce new strains based on patient feedback, focusing on potency and terpene levels to ensure premium quality. This initiative reinforces Canopy Growth’s leadership in the medical cannabis sector by combining advanced cultivation techniques with a commitment to delivering high-quality products, potentially strengthening its market position and enhancing its offerings for stakeholders.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Canopy Growth Reduces Debt with Early Loan Prepayment
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

Canopy Growth has announced an optional early prepayment of US$100 million on its senior secured term loan, resulting in annual interest savings of approximately US$13 million and extending the loan’s maturity to September 2027. This strategic move strengthens the company’s balance sheet by reducing debt and lowering interest costs, positioning Canopy Growth for sustainable growth in the evolving global cannabis market.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Canopy Growth Launches US$200 Million Equity Program to Strengthen Financial Position
Positive
Feb 28, 2025

Canopy Growth Corporation has launched a new at-the-market equity program allowing the issuance and sale of up to US$200 million in common shares. The proceeds are intended to bolster the company’s financial position by reducing debt, enhancing cash reserves, and supporting strategic mergers and acquisitions. This move is expected to strengthen Canopy Growth’s market positioning and operational capabilities.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Canopy Growth Expands Tweed Brand into German Medical Cannabis Market
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Canopy Growth has launched its Tweed brand in the German medical cannabis market, introducing four new strains through a partnership with Portuguese cultivator Gro-Vida. This expansion, which includes the earlier introduction of the Glitter Bomb strain via Cansativa, aims to meet the increasing demand for high-THC genetics among German medical patients, enhancing Canopy Growth’s presence in the European market.

Product-Related Announcements
Canopy Growth Expands Beverage Lineup with New Flavors
Positive
Feb 13, 2025

Canopy Growth has expanded its Deep Space Propulsion beverage lineup with the launch of two new cannabis-infused flavors: Rocket Root Beer and Charged Cream Soda. These beverages, developed in Canada, feature 10mg of THC and 10mg of CBG per can, offering consumers a unique taste experience. The expansion strengthens Canopy Growth’s leadership in the cannabis beverage category, offering a premium range of drinks now available in select regions across Canada.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Canopy Growth Shows Strong Product Performance and Financial Improvements in Q3 FY2025
Positive
Feb 7, 2025

Canopy Growth reported its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, highlighting a strong performance in its medical cannabis segment and an increase in international market revenues. The company’s new product, Claybourne infused pre-rolls, quickly achieved notable market share in Canada. Despite a 5% decrease in net revenue compared to the previous year, excluding divested businesses, revenue actually grew by 8%. The company’s financial position improved with a reduction in total debt and operating losses, driven by cost savings and strategic actions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.