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Telesat Corp (TSE:TSAT)
TSX:TSAT
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Telesat Corp (TSAT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TSAT

Telesat Corp

(TSX:TSAT)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
C$29.00
▼(-15.94% Downside)
Telesat Corp's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenues, high leverage, and negative profitability. Technical analysis provides a neutral outlook, while valuation metrics are unfavorable due to a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call highlighted some strategic progress but was overshadowed by financial declines and operational challenges.

Telesat Corp (TSAT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Telesat Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelesat Corporation, a satellite operator, provides mission-critical communications services to broadcast, enterprise, and consulting customers worldwide. The company's satellite-based services allow direct-to-home (DTH) service providers to deliver television programming, audio, and information channels directly to customers' homes; and enables broadcasters, cable networks, and DTH service providers to transmit television programming services. It offers value-added services, such as satellite capacity, digital encoding of video channels, authorization, and uplinking and downlinking services; and occasional use services for the broadcast of video news, sports, and live event coverages. The company also provides satellite capacity and end-to-end services, including space segment services and terrestrial facilities for enterprise connectivity, and internet and cellular backhaul; and rural telephony to telecommunications carriers and network services integrators. In addition, it offers broadband communication services to maritime and aeronautical markets comprising commercial airplanes and vessels; services to the U.S. government through government service integrators, and satellite services to the Canadian government; and direct-to-consumer broadband services. Further, the company operates satellite and hybrid satellite/terrestrial networks; and communications services for the oil and gas and mining industries. Additionally, it provides satellite operator services; and consulting services related to space and earth segments, government studies, satellite control, and research and development services. The company offers its services primarily through a direct sales force. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a fleet of 14 in-orbit geostationary satellites and a Canadian payload on the ViaSat-1 satellite. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelesat Corp generates revenue primarily through the leasing of satellite bandwidth and capacity to clients across various industries, including television broadcasters, internet service providers, telecom companies, and government agencies. The company offers managed network services, satellite backhaul solutions, and secure communications for remote and underserved regions. Additionally, Telesat is expanding its revenue streams by developing the Telesat Lightspeed LEO satellite constellation, which aims to provide low-latency, high-speed internet connectivity worldwide. Key partnerships with technology firms and government contracts also contribute significantly to Telesat's earnings.

Telesat Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong progress and interest in Telesat Lightspeed, along with significant debt repurchase and interest savings. However, it was overshadowed by a notable decline in revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and net income, as well as challenges in the GEO segment, creating a mixed outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Lightspeed Progress and Strong Backlog
Telesat Lightspeed made steady progress in satellite, ground infrastructure, and software development, with a strong interest from customers in aero and government segments. The committed backlog for Telesat Lightspeed was above CAD 1 billion at the end of the second quarter.
Debt Repurchase and Interest Savings
Telesat repurchased USD 857 million of debt at a cost of USD 462 million, achieving interest savings of approximately USD 53 million annually and reducing overall debt by approximately 36%.
Foreign Exchange Gain
Telesat recorded a gain on foreign exchange of $115 million in the second quarter, compared to a loss of $34 million in the same period of 2024.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenues decreased by $46 million to $106 million from the second quarter of 2024, primarily due to lower rates on long-term agreements and reductions in services for enterprise customers.
Adjusted EBITDA Decrease
Adjusted EBITDA decreased by $45 million to $59 million, with the adjusted EBITDA margin at 55%.
Challenges in GEO Segment
The GEO segment faced challenges with the renewal of contracts leading to declining revenues, including issues with DISH, Shaw/Rogers, and the Indonesian rural broadband program.
Net Income Decrease
Net income for the second quarter was $76 million, down from $129 million in the same period in the prior year, due to lower revenues, changes in the fair value of financial instruments, and smaller gains on debt repurchases.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Telesat reiterated its financial guidance for the full year, projecting revenues between $405 million and $425 million. The company expects operating expenses for Telesat Lightspeed to range from $110 million to $120 million, up from $74 million in 2024, with adjusted EBITDA anticipated between $170 million and $190 million. Capital expenditures for 2025 are forecasted to be between CAD 900 million and CAD 1.1 billion, primarily allocated to Telesat Lightspeed. Telesat ended the quarter with CAD 547 million in cash and has access to $2.2 billion under funding agreements with the Canadian and Quebec governments. Despite a decrease in second-quarter revenues by $46 million compared to the previous year, and a decline in adjusted EBITDA by $45 million to $59 million, Telesat maintained a robust adjusted EBITDA margin of 55%. The company is focused on expanding its LEO segment and reported a committed backlog for Telesat Lightspeed of over CAD 1 billion.

Telesat Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telesat Corp faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, high leverage, and negative profitability. The company needs to address its operational inefficiencies and improve cash flow management to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Telesat Corp's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -8.65% in the TTM. The company has a high gross profit margin of 95.32%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative at -21.04%, reflecting significant losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, suggesting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.71, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative at -14.49%, showing the company is not generating positive returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates a severe decline in free cash flow growth by -97.15% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.61, showing some cash generation capability, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is very low at 0.01, highlighting cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue489.29M571.04M704.16M759.17M758.21M820.47M
Gross Profit466.39M533.07M665.65M705.16M728.00M787.10M
EBITDA-31.35M67.02M1.14B394.71M626.05M634.74M
Net Income-102.95M-87.72M157.12M-80.12M157.76M244.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.75B6.95B6.27B6.48B6.37B5.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments547.80M552.63M1.67B1.68B1.45B818.83M
Total Debt3.19B3.13B3.23B3.85B3.79B3.22B
Total Liabilities4.48B4.45B3.88B4.64B4.67B4.12B
Stockholders Equity676.26M710.28M661.92M480.37M416.52M1.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.30M-2.39M29.58M164.27M260.61M355.35M
Operating Cash Flow104.32M62.46M169.09M228.85M296.39M371.68M
Investing Cash Flow-1.28B-1.09B211.93M74.00K-272.86M-92.23M
Financing Cash Flow290.01M-170.20M-354.65M-104.86M605.24M-450.24M

Telesat Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.50
Price Trends
50DMA
32.21
Positive
100DMA
29.14
Positive
200DMA
27.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.06
Negative
RSI
58.40
Neutral
STOCH
53.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TSAT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.07, above the 50-day MA of 32.21, and above the 200-day MA of 27.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TSAT.

Telesat Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
255.30M70.350.00%2.10%9.13%-77.24%
46
Neutral
36.76M-29.290.00%5.75%-51.54%-164.01%
44
Neutral
2.34M7.1430.17%-16.93%0.00%
43
Neutral
$503.18M8.35-14.04%-24.21%-440.28%
41
Neutral
6.73M-7.020.00%37.33%-7.55%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TSAT
Telesat Corp
34.50
17.94
108.33%
TSE:CMI
C-Com Satellite Systems
0.87
-0.31
-26.27%
TSE:LTE
Lite Access Technologies
0.08
0.00
0.00%
TSE:NVI
Novra Technologies
0.07
-0.07
-50.00%
TSE:VCM
Vecima Networks
10.50
-9.93
-48.60%

Telesat Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Telesat Reports Decline in Revenue Amid Strategic Progress
Negative
Aug 6, 2025

Telesat Corporation reported a significant decrease in revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the quarter and six months ending June 30, 2025, compared to the previous year. The decline was attributed to a lower rate on a long-term agreement with a North American television customer, reductions in services for other customers, and lower LEO consulting revenues. Despite these challenges, Telesat is making progress with its Telesat Lightspeed project, maintaining a backlog of over $1 billion, and continues to focus on expanding opportunities across its target segments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TSAT) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Telesat Corp stock, see the TSE:TSAT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 13, 2025