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Trican Well Service (TSE:TCW)
TSX:TCW
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Trican Well Service (TCW) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TCW

Trican Well Service

(TSX:TCW)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
C$6.00
▲(13.85% Upside)
Trican Well Service's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. However, bearish technical indicators and market challenges such as pricing pressure and increased costs weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth and improved EBITDA margins indicate robust demand for Trican's services, enhancing its market position.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong free cash flow generation supports financial flexibility and potential for reinvestment in growth opportunities.
Technological Advancements
Investing in sustainable technology positions Trican as a forward-thinking leader in the energy sector, appealing to environmentally conscious clients.
Negative Factors
Pricing Pressure
Pricing pressure can erode margins, impacting profitability and potentially limiting the company's competitive edge over time.
Increased Cement Costs
Rising input costs, such as cement, can squeeze margins and reduce operational efficiency, challenging long-term profitability.
Steel Tariffs Impact
Increased costs from tariffs can strain the supply chain and elevate production expenses, affecting cost management strategies.

Trican Well Service (TCW) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Trican Well Service Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrican Well Service (TCW) is a leading provider of oilfield services in North America, specializing in well completion, stimulation, and production enhancement. The company operates primarily in the oil and gas sector, offering a range of services that include hydraulic fracturing, coiled tubing, cementing, and other related technologies. TCW's commitment to innovation and operational excellence positions it as a key player in the energy industry, catering to the needs of exploration and production companies seeking efficient and effective solutions for their well operations.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrican Well Service generates revenue primarily through its diverse array of well service offerings, particularly hydraulic fracturing services, which are critical for enhancing oil and gas production. The company's revenue model is based on charging clients for the services rendered, which can include daily rates for equipment and personnel, as well as fees based on the volume of materials used during operations. Key revenue streams stem from contracts with exploration and production companies, both on a short-term and long-term basis. Additionally, TCW benefits from strategic partnerships with major oil and gas operators, which provide a steady pipeline of projects and opportunities for collaboration. Market demand, pricing volatility in the oil and gas sector, and operational efficiency also play significant roles in influencing the company's earnings.

Trican Well Service Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, free cash flow, and strategic initiatives like the Iron Horse acquisition and technological advancements. However, challenges such as pricing pressure, cost increases, and low natural gas prices were also noted. The sentiment is slightly positive given the overall financial performance and strategic moves, despite market challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Revenue and EBITDA
Trican reported revenue of $213.8 million with adjusted EBITDA of $44.9 million or 21% of revenue, up from $40.7 million or 19% of revenue in Q2 2024.
Strong Free Cash Flow
The company generated free cash flow of $24.4 million during the quarter.
Solid Balance Sheet
Trican exited the quarter with positive working capital of approximately $114.1 million, including cash of $36.3 million.
Share Repurchase and Dividend Increase
Trican repurchased and canceled 8 million shares under the NCIB program, and the Board approved a 10% increase to the quarterly base dividend.
Iron Horse Acquisition
Pending acquisition of Iron Horse, expected to close late this quarter or early next quarter, with positive customer feedback.
Technological Advancements
Plans for a 100% natural gas frac spread by next year, indicating advancement in sustainable technology.
Negative Updates
Pricing Pressure and Margins
There is slight pricing pressure in the market and margins are lower than desired, influenced by low natural gas prices.
Increased Cement Costs
Cement costs increased as of May 1, contributing to cost creep in the quarter.
Steel Tariffs Impact
Rising costs due to steel tariffs on U.S. imports affecting parts like fluid ends and coil strings.
Natural Gas Price Concerns
Gas prices have been at historically low levels on an inflation-adjusted basis in Canada.
Company Guidance
During the Trican Well Service Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted. Trican reported a revenue of $213.8 million for the quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA of $44.9 million, representing 21% of revenue. This was an increase from the $40.7 million or 19% of revenue in Q2 2024. The adjusted EBITDAS was $47.3 million or 22% of revenues, up from $45.2 million or 21% the previous year. The company generated positive earnings of $19.5 million, or $0.11 per share, and free cash flow of $24.4 million. Capital expenditures for the quarter were $16.3 million, with a focus on maintenance and upgrading to electric ancillary frac support equipment. The company maintained a solid balance sheet with $114.1 million in working capital, including $36.3 million in cash. Additionally, Trican repurchased 8 million shares at an average price of $4 per share. Looking forward, Trican's capital budget for 2025 remains at $70.4 million.

Trican Well Service Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trican Well Service exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. The company maintains a stable balance sheet with low leverage and impressive cash flow metrics, despite minor fluctuations in margins and equity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Trican Well Service has demonstrated strong revenue growth, particularly in the TTM period with a 20.5% increase. The company maintains healthy margins with a gross profit margin of 19.2% and a net profit margin of 10.7% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 14.3% and 22.2%, respectively. These figures indicate solid profitability and operational efficiency, although there is a slight decline in margins compared to previous years.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.041, indicating minimal leverage. Return on equity is strong at 21.2%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 74.5%, highlighting a solid equity base. However, the slight decrease in stockholders' equity over time suggests a need for careful management of equity resources.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 33.7% in the TTM, indicating enhanced cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.04 suggests strong cash flow relative to net income, while the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.71 reflects efficient cash conversion. These metrics underscore the company's strong cash flow position, although fluctuations in free cash flow growth in previous years warrant attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue969.97M980.84M972.68M866.29M562.48M397.02M
Gross Profit185.93M190.00M201.15M150.34M43.29M-40.57M
EBITDA215.09M225.54M238.76M190.68M101.76M-144.44M
Net Income103.43M109.48M121.01M79.22M12.06M-233.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets639.34M683.07M710.44M671.12M577.84M563.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.34M26.28M88.75M58.11M29.51M22.61M
Total Debt19.68M20.01M18.14M42.39M10.32M13.77M
Total Liabilities162.84M194.68M193.38M166.45M88.44M70.94M
Stockholders Equity476.50M488.39M517.07M504.67M489.40M492.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow154.38M79.78M169.17M48.61M20.21M57.98M
Operating Cash Flow216.99M154.84M248.46M152.23M74.10M70.77M
Investing Cash Flow-76.56M-75.92M-75.09M-85.80M-39.35M13.26M
Financing Cash Flow-140.07M-141.39M-142.73M-37.83M-27.84M-68.67M

Trican Well Service Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.27
Price Trends
50DMA
5.82
Negative
100DMA
5.56
Negative
200DMA
4.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
34.05
Neutral
STOCH
5.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TCW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.70, below the 50-day MA of 5.82, and above the 200-day MA of 4.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TCW.

Trican Well Service Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.07B11.8023.31%1.67%8.36%2.09%
76
Outperform
C$521.72M8.1111.66%2.77%14.74%62.76%
74
Outperform
C$2.13B12.0212.21%0.82%-0.41%
70
Outperform
$1.24B10.7118.06%3.81%9.24%6.35%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
C$398.62M-19.56-5.02%-6.25%-129.86%
55
Neutral
C$273.99M27.791.53%-4.63%-92.13%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TCW
Trican Well Service
5.27
0.84
18.85%
TSE:CEU
CES Energy Solutions
9.45
1.44
17.99%
TSE:CFW
Calfrac Well Services
3.12
-0.80
-20.41%
TSE:EFX
Enerflex
18.25
8.68
90.70%
TSE:TOT
Total Energy Services
14.67
4.88
49.85%
TSE:STEP
STEP Energy Services
5.45
0.37
7.28%

Trican Well Service Corporate Events

Trican Well Service Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

Trican Well Service Ltd., headquartered in Calgary, Alberta, is a leading provider of oil and natural gas well servicing equipment and solutions, specializing in hydraulic fracturing, cementing, coiled tubing, nitrogen services, and chemical sales within the energy sector.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Trican Well Service Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Trican Well Service Ltd. reported strong third-quarter results for 2025, with revenue increasing to $300.6 million compared to the previous year, driven by an acquisition and increased operational activity despite weak commodity prices. The company also announced the completion of its strategic acquisition of Iron Horse Coiled Tubing Inc., which is expected to bolster its service offerings and market position in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. Additionally, Trican continues its return of capital strategy through its Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) program, purchasing and canceling a significant number of shares, and has renewed the program for another year.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TCW) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trican Well Service stock, see the TSE:TCW Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Trican Well Service to Announce Q3 2025 Results
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

Trican Well Service Ltd. has announced that it will release its Third Quarter 2025 financial results on October 28, 2025, after the market closes. The company will hold a conference call on October 29, 2025, to discuss these results, which could provide insights into its operational performance and market positioning within the oil and gas industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TCW) stock is a Buy with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trican Well Service stock, see the TSE:TCW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Trican Well Service Renews Share Buyback Program for 2025-2026
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

Trican Well Service Ltd. has announced the renewal of its normal course issuer bid (NCIB) program, allowing the company to repurchase up to 18,405,613 common shares, representing 10% of its public float, between October 2025 and October 2026. This move underscores Trican’s commitment to providing shareholder returns and maintaining a prudent capital structure, as the company has repurchased a significant portion of its shares since 2017, reflecting its strategic focus on shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TCW) stock is a Buy with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trican Well Service stock, see the TSE:TCW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Trican Completes Acquisition of Iron Horse Energy Services
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

Trican Well Service Ltd. has completed the acquisition of Iron Horse Energy Services, a provider of fracturing and coiled tubing services in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. This acquisition, valued at approximately $77.35 million in cash and 33.76 million Trican shares, strengthens Trican’s market position and adds Iron Horse’s CEO, Tom Coolen, to its Board of Directors, signaling strategic growth and expansion in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TCW) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trican Well Service stock, see the TSE:TCW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Trican Well Service Clears Regulatory Hurdle for Iron Horse Acquisition
Positive
Aug 20, 2025

Trican Well Service Ltd. has received clearance from the Competition Bureau for its acquisition of Iron Horse Energy Services, a provider of fracturing and coiled tubing services in key Canadian plays. This acquisition, valued at approximately $77.35 million in cash and 33.76 million Trican shares, is expected to enhance Trican’s growth strategy and service offerings in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, with the anticipated closing date around August 27, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TCW) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trican Well Service stock, see the TSE:TCW Stock Forecast page.

Trican Well Service Reports Strong Q2 Earnings
Aug 1, 2025

Trican Well Service’s recent earnings call conveyed a solid financial performance, marked by increased revenue and earnings, alongside a promising outlook driven by LNG Canada. Despite facing some cost pressures and market pricing challenges, the company remains optimistic about its future, bolstered by a strong market position and strategic acquisition of Iron Horse.

Trican Well Service Reports Q2 2025 Results and Strategic Acquisition
Jul 31, 2025

Trican Well Service Ltd. is a company based in Calgary, Alberta, specializing in providing oilfield services, particularly in hydraulic fracturing, cementing, and coiled tubing, primarily within the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025