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TAG Oil (TAO) AI Stock Analysis

38 Followers
TSE:TAO

TAG Oil

(TSXV:TAO)

Select Model
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:CAD 0.03▼(-5.71% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance—continued losses alongside negative operating and free cash flow—despite a comparatively low-leverage balance sheet. Technical indicators are also unfavorable, with price below key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation provides limited support because the negative P/E reflects losses and there is no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Low LeverageLow leverage gives TAG Oil more financial flexibility than a heavily indebted exploration and production company. A smaller debt burden can reduce financing pressure, preserve room for asset development, and improve resilience if operating conditions remain difficult.
Negative Factors
Small, Declining RevenueVery small and inconsistent revenue limits operating scale and makes financial performance vulnerable to project timing and production variability. The latest annual decline also indicates that the company has not yet established a dependable revenue base capable of supporting sustained operations.

TAG Oil (TAO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%TSE:TAO-70.83%EWC+21.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 11.98M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.06M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.5
Beta (1Y)
0.66
Revenue Growth
-14.21%
EPS Growth
37.17%
Country
Canada
Employees
12
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

TAG Oil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TAG Oil Ltd., operating alongside its affiliated entities, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas throughout Canada, the Middle East, and North Africa. Founded in 1990, the company was formerly known as Durum C...

How the Company Makes Money

TAG Oil’s core revenue model (when it has producing assets) is based on selling produced hydrocarbons (crude oil, condensate, and/or natural gas) into applicable local or export markets under commodity-linked pricing, with cash flow driven by product...

TAG Oil Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are weak: revenue is very small and inconsistent with a recent annual decline, profitability remains structurally negative (negative gross profit, large operating losses, net losses), and operating/free cash flow are consistently negative, indicating ongoing cash burn. The balance sheet is a relative positive with low leverage and sizable equity, but persistent losses and cash burn remain the primary risk.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Jun 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.39M1.39M864.00K781.33K00
Gross Profit-1.30M-1.30M-1.01M-1.00M-164.00K-122.00K
EBITDA-6.22M-6.62M-8.28M226.67K-7.39M-3.85M
Net Income-4.80M-4.80M-6.33M-8.20M-3.00M-4.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets44.76M44.76M55.09M53.91M41.06M18.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.55M2.55M7.40M16.44M20.66M15.52M
Total Debt1.05M1.05M1.49M208.00K459.00K573.00K
Total Liabilities2.02M2.02M5.74M7.43M2.04M979.00K
Stockholders Equity42.74M42.74M49.35M46.48M39.01M17.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.68M-5.95M-23.88M-22.88M-11.94M-4.11M
Operating Cash Flow-5.95M-5.95M-5.98M-3.90M-5.46M-4.08M
Investing Cash Flow1.60M1.60M-17.14M-17.28M-4.42M1.33M
Financing Cash Flow-293.00K-293.00K5.54M17.00M23.57M-55.00K

TAG Oil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.04

Price Trends

50DMA0.07Negative
100DMA0.08Negative
200DMA0.08Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Negative
RSI26.81Positive
STOCH50.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TAO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, below the 50-day MA of 0.07, and below the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 26.81 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TAO.

TAG Oil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TSE:TAO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TSE:DMETSE:DME47NeutralCAD 18.15M-10.80-3.30%―-1.78%49.69%
TSE:AVNTSE:AVN45NeutralCAD 56.74M-25.99-8.75%――51.51%
TSE:PEITSE:PEI44NeutralCAD 12.22M-0.80134.84%―6.62%-66.67%
TSE:WILTSE:WIL43NeutralCAD 17.17M-5.35-666.70%―-24.51%1.06%
TSE:TAOTSE:TAO41NeutralCAD 11.98M-1.49-12.06%―-14.21%37.17%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%TSE:TAOTSE:DMETSE:AVNTSE:PEITSE:WILDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:TAO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:TAOTAG Oil0.04-0.08-70.83%
TSE:DMEDesert Mountain Energy0.17-0.17-50.00%
TSE:AVNAvanti Energy0.460.26130.00%
TSE:PEIProspera Energy Inc0.02-0.04-63.64%
TSE:WILWilton Resources0.20-0.15-42.86%

TAG Oil Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy

TAG Oil Plans Acid Stimulation After Initial T-200 Well Test Shows Restricted Flow

Neutral
Oct 19, 2026

TAG Oil has provided an update on production testing at its T-200 vertical well in Egypt’s Badr Oil Field, drilled to 4,160 metres to target the Abu Roash F reservoir. Initial well unloading using nitrogen lifting failed to bring formation oil to sur...

Business Operations and Strategy

TAG Oil Hits Promising Reservoir at Egypt T-200 Well

Positive
Oct 12, 2026

TAG Oil has reported that its T-200 exploration well in Egypt’s Badr Oil Field has reached total depth of 4,160 metres, successfully intersecting the targeted Abu Roash “F” reservoir. Early analysis of drilling and logging data indicates an oil-beari...

Business Operations and Strategy

TAG Oil Advances T-200 Well Drilling in Egypt’s Western Desert

Positive
Oct 2, 2026

TAG Oil has reported steady progress at its T-200 vertical well in Egypt’s Badr Oil Field, where drilling has reached 4,102 metres and successfully intersected the top of the Abu Roash F reservoir at 4,100 metres, in line with geological forecasts an...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

TAG Oil Posts Solid Cash Position and Advances Western Desert Drilling

Positive
Aug 27, 2026

TAG Oil reported financial results for the six months to June 30, 2026, ending the period with C$10.4 million in cash, C$10.3 million in working capital and no debt, underscoring a strong balance sheet. Production from its two BED-1 wells averaged 66...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026