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Prospera Energy Inc (PEI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PEI

Prospera Energy Inc

(TSXV:PEI)

Select Model
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:CAD 0.02â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/11/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, negative equity, and negative free cash flow) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). The latest earnings call provides a meaningful offset via improving operational metrics and cash generation, but financing/dilution and commodity/operational risks remain material, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support.

Positive Factors
High Reactivation SuccessThe high reactivation success rate supports a repeatable method for improving mature-asset production. Proven well-level paybacks can help PEI allocate capital selectively, expand output from existing infrastructure, and build a scalable operating model over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Strained Balance SheetNegative equity and substantial debt leave PEI with limited financial flexibility during operational setbacks or commodity weakness. A thin balance-sheet cushion can constrain investment choices, increase dependence on creditors or new capital, and make it harder to absorb the volatility typical of mature oil and gas assets.

Prospera Energy Inc (PEI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%TSE:PEI-60.00%EWC+21.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 12.18M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
537.96K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.8
Beta (1Y)
-0.44
Revenue Growth
6.62%
EPS Growth
-66.67%
Country
Canada
Employees
118
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Prospera Energy Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Prospera Energy Inc., a natural resources company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of petroleum and natural gas properties in Canada. Its principal properties are the Cuthbert, Luseland, Hearts Hill, and Brooks properties loc...

How the Company Makes Money

Prospera Energy Inc. primarily makes money by producing and selling crude oil and, where applicable, natural gas and/or natural gas liquids from its operated and non-operated wells. Revenue is generated from commodity sales (oil and gas) priced based...

Prospera Energy Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 03, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-42.86%|Next Earnings Date:Aug 08, 2022
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a clear operational inflection: strong Q2 2026 revenue (nearly CAD 6.2M), major netback improvement (CAD ~30/BOE, up 170% vs Q1), positive funds flow and cash flow, high well-level payouts and a 16/17 reactivation success rate. Management has also improved reliability (85% uptime, zero pipeline failures) and completed balance-sheet remediation actions, while outlining a sizeable CAD 12M financing to scale a proven inventory. Key risks include a remaining net loss (~CAD 1M), dependence on the financing (and its dilutive terms), operational challenges with sand/bottom water on some wells, and commodity price volatility. Overall, the positive operational and financial momentum, demonstrated well-level paybacks, and clear scaling plan outweigh the remaining challenges.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Revenue
Q2 2026 revenue nearly CAD 6.2 million — the highest quarter in company history; up 37% versus Q1 2026 and up 26% versus Q2 2025.

Negative Updates

Ongoing Net Loss and Need for External Capital
Company still reporting a loss of just over CAD 1.0 million in Q2 (improved from ~CAD 2.5 million in Q1); significant additional capital (CAD 12 million financing) is required to execute the growth plan, creating dependency on successful fundraise.

Company Guidance

Management guided a CAD12.0M equity raise (CAD0.04/unit with CAD0.06 warrants) with ~CAD10.0M to be deployed into existing wellbores (including a CAD6.7M program funding 42 reactivations and targeting ~70+ Luseland wells) to scale a proven reactivation engine; they pointed to Q2/2026 results of ~CAD6.2M revenue (+37% Q/Q, +26% Y/Y), ~750 BOE/d, ~85% field uptime, realized pricing ~CAD91/bbl (WCS >CAD100), operating netbacks ~CAD30/BOE (up ~170% Q/Q), funds flow CAD1.3M and net operating cash flow CAD1.5M on CAD600k capex, seven wells already >2x payback (10-07: ~CAD370k operating income on CAD150k capex), cumulative 2025 reactivation capex CAD1.64M fully recovered with >CAD1.7M operating income to date, a 16/17 success rate in 2025, targets WTI ~CAD70–75 for the rest of 2026, forecasts a 4.3x return by Dec 31, 2028 tied to ~4.2x production growth, and expects AP cleanup (≈CAD1.8M arrears converted, AP to fall ~70% toward ~CAD5M).

Prospera Energy Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Despite sharp TTM revenue growth and improved gross margin, fundamentals remain stressed: operating income and net income are deeply negative, shareholder equity is negative (raising financial risk), and free cash flow is materially negative even with a return to positive operating cash flow.

Income Statement

22Negative

Balance Sheet

18Very Negative

Cash Flow

27Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.52M16.89M16.64M11.82M13.90M4.41M
Gross Profit3.23M-1.14M6.01M3.36M9.93M3.36M
EBITDA1.02M583.23K2.54M-571.80K3.45M5.62M
Net Income-12.06M-11.32M-4.29M-5.17M-209.86K4.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.07M59.00M53.93M49.17M35.81M26.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.45K116.97K364.08K118.93K1.05M281.52K
Total Debt30.44M30.36M19.76M9.54M4.24M7.73M
Total Liabilities69.02M70.53M55.91M47.97M42.01M38.92M
Stockholders Equity-9.95M-11.53M-1.98M1.20M-6.20M-12.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.13M-9.30M-9.02M-14.17M-2.15M-6.25M
Operating Cash Flow1.70M-615.04K-3.16M1.24M5.34M-5.47M
Investing Cash Flow-5.97M-8.67M-5.60M-15.42M-7.92M-776.49K
Financing Cash Flow3.35M9.04M9.00M13.24M3.35M6.38M

Prospera Energy Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.02

Price Trends

50DMA0.03Negative
100DMA0.04Negative
200DMA0.04Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI35.77Neutral
STOCH60.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PEI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, below the 50-day MA of 0.03, and below the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PEI.

Prospera Energy Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TSE:PEI against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TSE:DMETSE:DME47NeutralCAD 18.15M-10.80-3.30%―-1.78%49.69%
TSE:PEITSE:PEI47NeutralCAD 12.22M-0.80134.84%―6.62%-66.67%
TSE:AVNTSE:AVN45NeutralCAD 56.74M-25.99-8.75%――51.51%
TSE:WILTSE:WIL43NeutralCAD 17.17M-5.35-666.70%―-24.51%1.06%
TSE:TAOTSE:TAO37UnderperformCAD 11.98M-1.49-12.06%―-14.21%37.17%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%TSE:PEITSE:DMETSE:AVNTSE:TAOTSE:WILDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:PEI and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:PEIProspera Energy Inc0.02-0.04-63.64%
TSE:DMEDesert Mountain Energy0.17-0.17-50.00%
TSE:AVNAvanti Energy0.460.26130.00%
TSE:TAOTAG Oil0.04-0.08-70.83%
TSE:WILWilton Resources0.20-0.15-42.86%

Prospera Energy Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Prospera Energy Reports Cleanup Progress Amid Licence Suspension Risk

Negative
Nov 7, 2026

Prospera Energy said it has invested $2.83 million in spill response, assessments and remediation since October 2024, including removing contaminated soil and repairing failed pipelines. Eleven of 13 sites identified in a Saskatchewan ministerial ord...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Prospera Energy Triples Output from Luseland Workovers at Below-Budget Cost

Positive
Oct 25, 2026

Prospera Energy has reported strong early results from its fall service rig program, with five worked-over wells at its Luseland field returning to production at a combined average of 53.5 barrels of oil per day, more than triple their pre-workover r...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Prospera Energy Boosts Heavy Oil Output With Low-Cost Well Reactivations

Positive
Oct 16, 2026

Prospera Energy has completed workovers on five heavy oil wells at Luseland, Saskatchewan, at a total cost of $247,200, coming in 23% under budget. Four wells are already back on line, boosting combined output to 54.5 barrels per day from 15 barrels,...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Prospera Energy Extends Senior Loan to 2028, Clears Path for C$12 Million Equity Raise

Positive
Aug 29, 2026

Prospera Energy has secured a two-year extension of its $20.7 million senior term loan, pushing the maturity to August 31, 2028 while keeping the existing 12% interest terms, subject to TSX Venture Exchange approval. The move removes a near-term refi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026