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Rogers Communication (TSE:RCI.B)
TSX:RCI.B
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Rogers Communication (RCI.B) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RCI.B

Rogers Communication

(TSX:RCI.B)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$58.00
▲(5.67% Upside)
Rogers Communication's strong technical indicators and solid financial performance drive the score. The stock shows positive momentum, and while the valuation is moderate, the dividend yield adds appeal. High leverage remains a risk.
Positive Factors
Strong Mobile Subscriber Growth
The significant increase in mobile subscribers indicates strong demand for Rogers' services and suggests a growing customer base, which is crucial for long-term revenue growth and market share expansion.
Industry-Leading Margins
High margins in wireless and cable segments demonstrate effective cost management and strategic investments, ensuring sustainable profitability and competitive advantage in the telecommunications industry.
Media Revenue Growth
The robust growth in media revenue highlights the success of Rogers' diversified business model and strengthens its position in the media sector, contributing to overall financial health.
Negative Factors
Flat Wireless Service Revenue
Stagnant wireless service revenue suggests challenges in maintaining growth in a competitive market, potentially impacting future revenue streams and necessitating strategic adjustments.
Decline in Mobile ARPU
A decline in ARPU indicates pricing pressure and reduced profitability per user, which could affect overall revenue and necessitate new strategies to enhance customer value.
Increased Debt Leverage
Higher debt levels following acquisitions increase financial risk and may limit future investment capacity, impacting long-term financial stability and flexibility.

Rogers Communication (RCI.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Rogers Communication Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRogers Communications Inc. (RCI.B) is a leading Canadian telecommunications and media company headquartered in Toronto, Ontario. The company operates in various sectors, including wireless communications, cable television, internet, and media. Its core products and services encompass mobile voice and data services, high-speed internet, television services, and content through its media division, which includes broadcasting, digital media, and publishing.
How the Company Makes MoneyRogers Communications generates revenue primarily through its wireless segment, which includes the sale of mobile voice and data services to consumers and businesses. This segment is complemented by its cable services, which provide internet, television, and home phone services. Additional revenue streams come from the media sector, which includes advertising revenue from its television and radio stations, as well as subscription fees from various digital platforms. Significant partnerships, such as those with content providers, enhance its media offerings and contribute to earnings. The company also benefits from infrastructure investments, leading to improved service quality and customer retention, further boosting revenue.

Rogers Communication Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Rogers demonstrated strong operational performance with significant mobile subscriber growth, industry-leading margins, and notable media revenue growth. However, challenges persist with flat wireless service revenue and a decline in ARPU, alongside increased debt leverage. The company's innovation in satellite to mobile technology and improved free cash flow outlook are positive signs for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Mobile Subscriber Growth
Rogers added 111,000 total mobile phone net additions in Q3 and 206,000 mobile subscribers year-to-date, leading the industry with innovative, feature-rich plans.
Industry-Leading Wireless and Cable Margins
Rogers reported Wireless margins of 67% and Cable margins of 58%, reflecting strong cost efficiency and strategic investments.
Significant Media Revenue Growth
Media revenue increased by 26%, driven by a strong Blue Jays regular season and the consolidation of MLSE results.
Improved Free Cash Flow Outlook
Rogers raised its free cash flow expectation to between $3.2 billion and $3.3 billion, higher than the previous target.
Satellite to Mobile Innovation
Rogers launched a groundbreaking satellite to mobile technology, extending coverage to remote areas, with significant customer engagement.
Negative Updates
Flat Wireless Service Revenue
Wireless service revenue was flat year-over-year, impacted by lower immigration, competitive intensity, and reduced roaming and wholesale revenues.
Decline in Blended Mobile ARPU
Blended mobile phone ARPU decreased by 3% to $56.70, reflecting competitive pressures and lower international and wholesale roaming revenue.
Debt Leverage Increase
Debt leverage ratio increased to 3.9x following the acquisition of an additional stake in MLSE, although efforts are being made to deleverage.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Rogers Communications reported strong performance across its core business segments, including Wireless, Cable, and Media. The company achieved industry-leading Wireless margins of 67% and added 111,000 total mobile phone net additions, bringing the year-to-date total to 206,000. Postpaid churn improved to 0.99%, the lowest in over two years. The Cable segment saw 29,000 retail Internet additions, contributing to a year-to-date total of approximately 80,000 new Internet subscribers, with margins reaching 58%. Media revenue grew by 26%, driven by a successful Toronto Blue Jays season and the consolidation of MLSE results. The company projects full-year 2025 Media revenue and adjusted EBITDA of $4 billion and $250 million, respectively. Capital expenditures are now expected to be $3.7 billion, down from the previous target of $3.8 billion, with free cash flow estimated between $3.2 billion and $3.3 billion. Rogers is focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet with a reported debt leverage ratio of 3.9x.

Rogers Communication Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rogers Communication demonstrates strong revenue growth and solid operational margins. However, high leverage poses a financial risk, and there is room for improvement in cash flow conversion. The company is well-positioned in the telecommunications industry but should focus on reducing debt levels to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Rogers Communication shows a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a notable increase in revenue over the TTM period. The gross profit margin remains stable, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased slightly, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, which indicates significant leverage and potential financial risk. However, the return on equity is reasonable, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to financing assets.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Rogers Communication demonstrates positive free cash flow growth, which is a strong indicator of financial health. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating good cash generation relative to reported earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests room for improvement in converting profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.80B20.60B19.31B15.40B14.65B13.92B
Gross Profit9.69B9.62B8.58B6.39B5.89B5.77B
EBITDA9.29B9.21B8.22B6.12B5.63B5.54B
Net Income1.52B1.73B849.00M1.68B1.56B1.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.19B71.41B69.28B55.66B41.96B38.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.96B898.00M800.00M13.30B715.00M2.48B
Total Debt45.41B47.63B45.20B36.75B22.84B21.26B
Total Liabilities59.32B61.01B58.84B45.56B31.43B29.28B
Stockholders Equity11.22B10.40B10.44B10.09B10.53B9.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.03B1.59B1.29B1.42B1.37B2.01B
Operating Cash Flow5.82B5.63B5.22B4.49B4.16B4.32B
Investing Cash Flow-3.86B-4.46B-20.20B-3.26B-6.13B-2.56B
Financing Cash Flow4.55B-1.08B2.48B11.36B203.00M227.00M

Rogers Communication Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price54.89
Price Trends
50DMA
50.32
Positive
100DMA
46.89
Positive
200DMA
41.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.63
Negative
RSI
69.59
Neutral
STOCH
80.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RCI.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.42, above the 50-day MA of 50.32, and above the 200-day MA of 41.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RCI.B.

Rogers Communication Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$29.77B4.3947.62%3.64%2.75%342.54%
$10.15B13.3033.80%3.07%-1.02%4.71%
C$9.90B13.1034.50%3.00%-1.02%4.71%
$31.48B31.936.08%7.99%2.56%21.28%
$2.79B8.5710.26%5.78%-2.22%-2.36%
$29.90B70.312.91%8.95%-0.66%-78.79%
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RCI.B
Rogers Communication
54.89
6.23
12.80%
TSE:BCE
BCE
32.06
-5.15
-13.84%
TSE:T
Telus
20.51
0.23
1.11%
TSE:QBR.A
Quebecor Inc Cl A MV
45.25
10.58
30.52%
TSE:CCA
Cogeco Communications
65.85
-0.27
-0.40%
TSE:QBR.B
Quebecor
44.68
10.73
31.61%

Rogers Communication Corporate Events

Rogers Communications Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 24, 2025

Rogers Communications Inc., a leading Canadian telecommunications company, operates in the wireless, cable, and media sectors, providing a diverse range of services and products to consumers and businesses across Canada.

Rogers Communications Shines in Earnings Call Amid Challenges
Oct 24, 2025

Rogers Communications’ recent earnings call painted a picture of robust operational performance, underscored by substantial mobile subscriber growth and impressive media revenue increases. Despite these achievements, the company faces challenges with stagnant wireless service revenue and a decline in average revenue per user (ARPU), coupled with increased debt leverage. However, innovations in satellite to mobile technology and an optimistic free cash flow outlook suggest promising avenues for future growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025