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PRO Real Estate Investment (PRV.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PRV.UN

PRO Real Estate Investment

(TSX:PRV.UN)

Select Model
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:CAD 8.00▲(12.20% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/13/26

The score is driven primarily by solid operating and cash flow performance alongside a supportive income/valuation profile (P/E ~12.3 and ~6.31% yield). The biggest constraints are balance-sheet risk (debt-heavy structure and modest cash flow coverage) and near-term leasing/occupancy headwinds highlighted on the earnings call, while technicals are trend-positive but look overextended (RSI ~73, Stoch ~81).

Positive Factors
Operating GrowthStrong property revenue and NOI growth indicates that portfolio expansion, contractual rent increases, and higher renewal and new-lease rents are translating into operating gains. This supports recurring cash-flow growth and provides a durable base for future distribution capacity.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageHigh leverage leaves PROREIT more exposed to refinancing costs, interest-rate changes, and weaker property values. Although management targets lower leverage, debt remains substantial relative to earnings and assets, limiting financial flexibility and slowing internally funded deleveraging.

PRO Real Estate Investment (PRV.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%TSE:PRV.UN+26.37%EWC+19.77%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 570.94M
Dividend Yield
6.31%
Average Volume (3M)
101.37K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.3
Beta (1Y)
0.73
Revenue Growth
8.28%
EPS Growth
3.75%
Country
Canada
Employees
83
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
REIT - Industrial

PRO Real Estate Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Formed in March 2013, PROREIT operates as an open-ended, unincorporated real estate investment trust. It manages a diverse portfolio of 92 commercial properties located throughout Canada, collectively offering more than 4.5 million square feet of gro...

How the Company Makes Money

PRO Real Estate Investment Trust primarily makes money by earning rental income from tenants leasing space in its owned properties. Key revenue streams typically include (1) base rent and contractual rent escalations under lease agreements, (2) recov...

PRO Real Estate Investment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:2.74%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was positive overall. PROREIT reported strong year-over-year growth in revenue, NOI, FFO, same-property NOI, and leasing spreads, along with improved leverage metrics, substantial liquidity, successful refinancing, and continued rental upside. These strengths were partially tempered by occupancy remaining around 95%, slow leasing activity at Woodstock, potential vacancy risk in Winnipeg, higher interest and financing costs, elevated debt-to-EBITDA, and a sparse and slow acquisition environment.

Positive Updates

Strong NOI and Revenue Growth
Property revenue totaled $31.2 million, up 15.1% year-over-year, while net operating income reached $20.0 million, up 17.5% year-over-year. Growth was driven mainly by the larger property portfolio, contractual rent increases, and higher rental rates on renewals and new leases.

Negative Updates

Occupancy Was Slightly Lower Year-over-Year
Portfolio occupancy, including committed space, was 95.4% at quarter end compared with 95.5% a year earlier. Management said occupancy could remain in the 95% to 96% range until larger vacant spaces are leased.

Company Guidance

Management expects occupancy in Q4 to be “pretty steady, if not kind of flat to where we are today,” with Q1 and Q2 2027 “remaining pretty steady to kind of where we are today”; it sees “5% to 7% rent growth in 2027, maybe a bit higher,” positive NOI and cash flow growth of “7% annualized here over the next 5 years,” and 2027 leasing spreads “in and around that 30% plus/minus range.” Management said leverage could rise to “just below 50%,” while targeting 45% “over the next 3 years,” and is moving debt to EBITDA “from 9x down towards 8x here in the next year”; occupancy of “95% to 96%” is “probably a fair assumption” until larger spaces are leased, mark-to-market is expected to show “above-average rent spreads and mark-to-market to the end of 2029,” acquisitions of $60 million to $80 million are targeted, with activity potentially creeping into “mid-Q1 or hopefully, the latest beginning of Q2,” and dispositions could total $10 million or $15 million.

PRO Real Estate Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement trends are constructive (TTM revenue +3.8% with strong reported margins), and free cash flow is positive and growing (~14%) with good alignment to net income (~1.0x). Offsetting this, leverage remains debt-heavy (debt-to-equity ~1.05) with modest operating cash flow coverage versus total debt (~0.21), and historical earnings volatility (notably the 2024 dip) reduces confidence in stability.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

66Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue111.27M104.10M99.21M99.89M97.21M77.67M
Gross Profit66.94M62.59M58.52M57.94M57.74M46.28M
EBITDA69.53M60.73M24.95M47.93M104.25M97.87M
Net Income42.12M35.35M2.38M25.91M136.75M81.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.30B1.08B997.76M1.03B1.04B989.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.11M13.67M9.07M13.26M7.53M5.94M
Total Debt623.77M525.01M498.57M515.26M514.33M522.78M
Total Liabilities688.66M554.68M533.12M546.56M548.24M560.27M
Stockholders Equity615.14M496.89M464.65M488.03M487.69M429.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.70M31.09M29.87M30.84M27.80M29.00M
Operating Cash Flow44.39M31.50M31.10M31.70M28.23M29.28M
Investing Cash Flow-185.20M-21.18M9.89M4.34M11.93M-281.61M
Financing Cash Flow165.09M-5.72M-45.17M-30.32M-38.58M252.01M

PRO Real Estate Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price7.13

Price Trends

50DMA6.65Positive
100DMA6.77Positive
200DMA6.52Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.10Negative
RSI72.97Negative
STOCH80.36Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PRV.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.84, above the 50-day MA of 6.65, and above the 200-day MA of 6.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.97 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PRV.UN.

PRO Real Estate Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

TSE:PRV.UN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:MPCTSE:MPC71OutperformCAD 267.54M11.655.68%2.39%5.29%34.49%
TSE:PRV.UNTSE:PRV.UN68NeutralCAD 582.60M12.317.48%6.31%8.28%3.75%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
TSE:MRT.UNTSE:MRT.UN57NeutralCAD 474.79M33.281.62%3.43%-0.70%―
TSE:BTB.UNTSE:BTB.UN49NeutralCAD 300.75M11.395.44%8.62%-2.15%-36.29%
TSE:D.UNTSE:D.UN44NeutralCAD 300.69M-11.01-3.11%6.36%-3.06%82.12%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%30%TSE:PRV.UNTSE:BTB.UNTSE:MPCTSE:MRT.UNTSE:D.UNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:PRV.UN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:PRV.UNPRO Real Estate Investment7.131.4325.13%
TSE:BTB.UNBTB REIT3.48-0.17-4.58%
TSE:MPCMadison Pacific Cl B4.50-0.31-6.47%
TSE:MRT.UNMorguard Real Estate6.991.4225.40%
TSE:D.UNDream Office Reit (Otc)15.73-0.90-5.40%

PRO Real Estate Investment Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

PROREIT Sets November Dates for Q3 2026 Earnings Release and Investor Call

Neutral
Oct 27, 2026

PROREIT said it will publish its financial results for the third quarter of 2026 on November 11, after the close of trading, and follow up with a management-hosted conference call on November 12 at 9:00 a.m. ET. Financial analysts will be able to par...

Business Operations and StrategyDividends

PROREIT Declares Monthly Distribution for October 2026

Positive
Oct 22, 2026

PRO Real Estate Investment Trust announced a cash distribution of $0.0375 per trust unit for October 2026, equivalent to $0.45 on an annualized basis. The payout will be made on November 16, 2026 to unitholders of record as of October 30, signaling c...

Dividends

PROREIT Declares September 2026 Monthly Distribution

Positive
Sep 22, 2026

PRO Real Estate Investment Trust has declared a cash distribution of $0.0375 per trust unit for September 2026, equivalent to $0.45 on an annualized basis. The payout will be made on October 15, 2026 to unitholders of record as of September 30, 2026,...

Business Operations and StrategyDividends

PROREIT Announces August 2026 Cash Distribution

Positive
Aug 19, 2026

PROREIT has declared a cash distribution of $0.0375 per trust unit for August 2026, equivalent to $0.45 on an annualized basis. The distribution will be paid on Sept. 15, 2026, to unitholders of record as of Aug. 31, 2026, underscoring the trust’s co...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026