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Profound Medical
(TSX:PRN)
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Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
C$8.00
▼(-19.19% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/11/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance driven by deep losses and significant ongoing cash burn, despite strong top-line growth and healthy gross margins. Technicals also weigh on the score as the stock trades below major moving averages with negative MACD. These headwinds are partially offset by a more constructive earnings call centered on reiterated guidance, improving margins/opex, a large sales pipeline, and reimbursement momentum.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue growth and gross margins
Rapid revenue expansion alongside a healthy gross margin indicates growing adoption of the company’s medical-device platform and improving economics as scale develops. The combination can support reinvestment, strengthen commercial traction, and create a more durable path toward operating leverage.
Negative Factors
Heavy cash burn
Persistently negative operating and free cash flow means commercialization currently requires substantial funding before the business reaches self-sustaining cash generation. Worsening free-cash-flow trends could increase future financing needs and constrain investment flexibility if growth does not translate into profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong revenue growth and gross margins
Rapid revenue expansion alongside a healthy gross margin indicates growing adoption of the company’s medical-device platform and improving economics as scale develops. The combination can support reinvestment, strengthen commercial traction, and create a more durable path toward operating leverage.
Read all positive factors
Profound Medical (PRN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$295.55M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)12.09K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.78
Revenue Growth59.60%
EPS Growth32.53%
CountryCA
Employees162
SectorHealthcare
Sector Strength45
IndustryMedical - Devices
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.97
Shares Outstanding36,532,593
10 Day Avg. Volume8,377
30 Day Avg. Volume12,088
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.20
Price to Book (P/B)3.58
Price to Sales (P/S)14.48
P/FCF Ratio-6.07
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
C$16.03Price Target Upside61.95% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.82
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$25.27M
Profound Medical Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Profound Medical Corp., along with its subsidiaries, operates as a commercial-stage medical technology firm. The company specializes in creating magnetic resonance (MR) guided ablation therapies designed to address prostate conditions, uterine fib...
How the Company Makes Money
Profound Medical generates revenue primarily by selling and supporting its TULSA-PRO system to hospitals and imaging/therapy centers. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) capital equipment sales (the sale of the TULSA-PRO system and associat...
Profound Medical Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong commercial and clinical momentum: improving revenue trends (when adjusted for a one-time shipment timing shift), high gross margins, declining operating expenses, a growing $70M qualified sales pipeline, expanding payer coverage (Q1+Q2 added ~26.8M covered lives and Medicare tailwinds), and compelling randomized clinical evidence (CAPTAIN) that differentiates TULSA on quality-of-life outcomes. Challenges include a $3.1M revenue recognition timing slip, short-term utilization dips at a few sites during model transitions, installation/logistics lags, a proposed ASC reimbursement reduction to monitor, and continued net losses though improving. On balance, the positives — notably the sizable pipeline, reimbursement tailwinds, high margins, and strengthening clinical data — materially outweigh the operational and timing headwinds.Positive Updates
Revenue Growth (Reported and Adjusted)
Reported Q2 FY26 revenue of $2.5M (recurring $1.6M; capital equipment $0.871M), a 12% increase versus $2.2M in Q2 FY25. Excluding a $3.1M shipment timing shift, Q2 revenue would have been ~$5.6M, representing ~153% year-over-year growth.
Negative Updates
Revenue Recognition Timing Issue
A consolidated shipment (~$3.1M of TULSA product) anticipated in late June shipped in July due to missing delivery receipts, shifting revenue recognition from Q2 into Q3 and materially reducing reported Q2 revenue versus expected.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue Growth (Reported and Adjusted)
Reported Q2 FY26 revenue of $2.5M (recurring $1.6M; capital equipment $0.871M), a 12% increase versus $2.2M in Q2 FY25. Excluding a $3.1M shipment timing shift, Q2 revenue would have been ~$5.6M, representing ~153% year-over-year growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated full‑year 2026 revenue guidance of approximately $25.0M (≈56% growth vs. 2025) and expects full‑year gross margin to remain at 70%+; Q2 revenue was $2.5M (recurring $1.6M; capital $0.871M), up 12% YoY (but would have been ≈$5.6M, +153% YoY, excluding a $3.1M shipment timing shift), Q2 gross margin ~78% (vs. ~73% prior year), total operating expenses $13.0M (down 16% from $15.4M), net loss $9.5M or $0.26/share (vs. ~$15.7M or $0.52/share), and cash of $38.3M at June 30, 2026; installs totaled 84 TULSA PRO systems at quarter end, the qualified sales pipeline is ≈$70M (≈90% TULSA/10% Sonalleve; ~70% U.S./30% international), Index‑20 utilization was -12% sequential but +39% H1‑2026 vs H1‑2025 (+22% YoY), July set a monthly orders record and SRS generated ~160 qualified leads, coverage expanded by ~18.3M lives in Q2 (≈8.5M in Q1; ~30M total covered lives excluding Medicare), and CMS’s proposed 2027 OPPS would pay $15.5K/procedure for TULSA (+14.9%), versus $10.8K for HIFU and $12.3K for Aquablation (TULSA +44% vs HIFU/Aquablation; +26% or ~$3.19K vs robotic RP); ASC proposed payment is $6.87K and physician payment ~$880 for TULSA (vs $865 HIFU, $1,060 robotic RP, $539 Aquablation).Profound Medical Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
27
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 18.97M | 16.38M | 10.68M | 7.20M | 6.68M | 6.87M |
| Gross Profit | 13.61M | 11.59M | 7.04M | 4.38M | 3.02M | 2.95M |
| EBITDA | -33.44M | -41.41M | -32.13M | -27.00M | -26.60M | -28.65M |
| Net Income | -32.42M | -43.32M | -27.82M | -28.57M | -28.67M | -30.70M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 62.28M | 140.62M | 70.23M | 43.91M | 64.42M | 86.78M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 38.21M | 59.61M | 54.91M | 26.21M | 46.52M | 67.15M |
| Total Debt | 7.37M | 4.70M | 5.12M | 7.87M | 8.30M | 1.38M |
| Total Liabilities | 12.56M | 74.30M | 9.81M | 12.73M | 12.42M | 6.16M |
| Stockholders Equity | 49.73M | 66.31M | 60.42M | 31.18M | 52.00M | 80.62M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -35.79M | -39.05M | -23.45M | -22.61M | -25.80M | -22.95M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -35.61M | -38.88M | -23.45M | -22.61M | -25.80M | -22.36M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -246.24K | -246.24K | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -583.04K |
| Financing Cash Flow | 41.43M | 41.86M | 54.70M | 1.76M | 7.03M | 5.95M |
Profound Medical Technical Analysis
Negative
9.90
Price Trends
9.36
Negative
9.47
Negative
9.48
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.34
Negative
44.40
Neutral
34.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PRN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.51, above the 50-day MA of 9.36, and above the 200-day MA of 9.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PRN.
Profound Medical Risk Analysis
Profound Medical disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Profound Medical reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Profound Medical Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
51 Neutral | $7.86B | -0.30 | -43.30% | 2.27% | 22.53% | -2.21% | |
50 Neutral | C$42.96M | -2.08 | -303.05% | ― | 35.27% | 58.34% | |
48 Neutral | C$295.55M | -6.04 | -62.45% | ― | 59.60% | 32.53% | |
47 Neutral | C$10.15M | -6.39 | -34.32% | ― | -5.42% | -5.37% | |
44 Neutral | C$16.39M | -6.49 | 56.40% | ― | 89.06% | 37.62% | |
43 Neutral | C$55.89M | -12.68 | -130.04% | ― | -24.86% | 18.29% |
* Healthcare Sector Average
TSE:PRN
Profound Medical
8.34
1.57
23.19%
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Profound Medical Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Profound Medical Taps Industry Veteran Richard Fabian as President in Leadership Realignment
Positive
Sep 1, 2026
Profound Medical has appointed industry veteran Richard Fabian as president, reinforcing its executive bench as it scales its interventional MRI-based platforms in prostate care and non-invasive oncology applications. Fabian, a former CEO of FUJIF...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Profound Medical Names Industry Veteran Richard Fabian as President in Leadership Realignment
Positive
Sep 1, 2026
Profound Medical has appointed veteran healthcare executive Richard Fabian as its new President, while former President Mathieu Burtnyk transitions to the newly created role of Chief Technology Officer. Fabian brings nearly three decades of experi...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Profound Medical Boosts Orders, Narrows Loss as TULSA Adoption and Coverage Expand
Positive
Aug 6, 2026
Profound Medical reported second-quarter 2026 results marked by strong order intake, high margins and tighter cost control, even as some revenue was pushed into early third quarter due to shipment timing. New purchase orders exceeded $7.0 million,...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividends
Source Rock Royalties Declares Monthly Dividend and Issues Incentive RSUs
Positive
Jul 16, 2026
Source Rock Royalties Ltd. declared a monthly cash dividend of $0.0065 per common share, payable on August 14, 2026 to shareholders of record on July 31, 2026, and designated it as an eligible dividend for Canadian tax purposes. The move underscor...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.