TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Profound Medical (PRN) AI Stock Analysis

Top Page

TSE:PRN

Profound Medical

(TSX:PRN)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:CAD 8.00â–¼(-12.85% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/09/26

The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality—deep losses and significant negative free cash flow—despite strong revenue growth and high gross margins. Earnings-call commentary is comparatively constructive (reiterated guidance, improving expense discipline, expanding coverage and pipeline), but technicals remain soft with the stock still below key longer-term moving averages. Valuation provides limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend.

Positive Factors
Rapid growth with strong gross marginsRapid revenue growth combined with gross margins above 70% supports a potentially attractive long-term business model. If growth continues, strong unit economics can provide operating leverage as the installed base expands and recurring procedure revenue becomes more meaningful.
Negative Factors
Deep losses and substantial cash burnLarge ongoing losses and negative free cash flow show that current revenue is not yet sufficient to fund operations. Continued cash burn may require external financing before scale benefits arrive, reducing financial flexibility and increasing execution pressure over the next several quarters.

Profound Medical (PRN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%TSE:PRN+9.94%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 335.37M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
14.38K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-6.8
Beta (1Y)
1.67
Revenue Growth
59.60%
EPS Growth
32.53%
Country
Canada
Employees
162
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Medical - Devices

Profound Medical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Profound Medical Corp., along with its subsidiaries, operates as a commercial-stage medical technology firm. The company specializes in creating magnetic resonance (MR) guided ablation therapies designed to address prostate conditions, uterine fibroi...

How the Company Makes Money

Profound Medical primarily makes money by selling its capital equipment platform (the TULSA-PRO system) to hospitals and healthcare centers, and by generating recurring revenue from disposable and procedure-related consumables used each time a treatm...

Profound Medical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-17.30%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed strong commercial and clinical momentum: improving revenue trends (when adjusted for a one-time shipment timing shift), high gross margins, declining operating expenses, a growing $70M qualified sales pipeline, expanding payer coverage (Q1+Q2 added ~26.8M covered lives and Medicare tailwinds), and compelling randomized clinical evidence (CAPTAIN) that differentiates TULSA on quality-of-life outcomes. Challenges include a $3.1M revenue recognition timing slip, short-term utilization dips at a few sites during model transitions, installation/logistics lags, a proposed ASC reimbursement reduction to monitor, and continued net losses though improving. On balance, the positives — notably the sizable pipeline, reimbursement tailwinds, high margins, and strengthening clinical data — materially outweigh the operational and timing headwinds.

Positive Updates

Revenue Growth (Reported and Adjusted)
Reported Q2 FY26 revenue of $2.5M (recurring $1.6M; capital equipment $0.871M), a 12% increase versus $2.2M in Q2 FY25. Excluding a $3.1M shipment timing shift, Q2 revenue would have been ~$5.6M, representing ~153% year-over-year growth.

Negative Updates

Revenue Recognition Timing Issue
A consolidated shipment (~$3.1M of TULSA product) anticipated in late June shipped in July due to missing delivery receipts, shifting revenue recognition from Q2 into Q3 and materially reducing reported Q2 revenue versus expected.

Company Guidance

The company reiterated full‑year 2026 revenue guidance of approximately $25.0M (≈56% growth vs. 2025) and expects full‑year gross margin to remain at 70%+; Q2 revenue was $2.5M (recurring $1.6M; capital $0.871M), up 12% YoY (but would have been ≈$5.6M, +153% YoY, excluding a $3.1M shipment timing shift), Q2 gross margin ~78% (vs. ~73% prior year), total operating expenses $13.0M (down 16% from $15.4M), net loss $9.5M or $0.26/share (vs. ~$15.7M or $0.52/share), and cash of $38.3M at June 30, 2026; installs totaled 84 TULSA PRO systems at quarter end, the qualified sales pipeline is ≈$70M (≈90% TULSA/10% Sonalleve; ~70% U.S./30% international), Index‑20 utilization was -12% sequential but +39% H1‑2026 vs H1‑2025 (+22% YoY), July set a monthly orders record and SRS generated ~160 qualified leads, coverage expanded by ~18.3M lives in Q2 (≈8.5M in Q1; ~30M total covered lives excluding Medicare), and CMS’s proposed 2027 OPPS would pay $15.5K/procedure for TULSA (+14.9%), versus $10.8K for HIFU and $12.3K for Aquablation (TULSA +44% vs HIFU/Aquablation; +26% or ~$3.19K vs robotic RP); ASC proposed payment is $6.87K and physician payment ~$880 for TULSA (vs $865 HIFU, $1,060 robotic RP, $539 Aquablation).

Profound Medical Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong and accelerating revenue growth and healthy ~72% TTM gross margin are notable positives, supported by modest leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.15). However, the overall financial profile is still weighed down by very large losses (net margin ~-171% TTM) and heavy, worsening cash burn (operating cash flow and free cash flow around -$35.6M to -$35.8M TTM), indicating ongoing dependence on external funding until costs scale.

Income Statement

34Negative

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

27Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.97M16.38M10.68M7.20M6.68M6.87M
Gross Profit13.61M11.59M7.04M4.38M3.02M2.95M
EBITDA-33.43M-41.41M-32.13M-27.00M-26.60M-28.65M
Net Income-32.42M-43.32M-27.82M-28.57M-28.67M-30.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.28M140.62M70.23M43.91M64.42M86.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.21M59.61M54.91M26.21M46.52M67.15M
Total Debt7.37M4.70M5.12M7.87M8.30M1.38M
Total Liabilities12.56M74.30M9.81M12.73M12.42M6.16M
Stockholders Equity49.73M66.31M60.42M31.18M52.00M80.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-35.79M-39.05M-23.45M-22.61M-25.80M-22.95M
Operating Cash Flow-35.61M-38.88M-23.45M-22.61M-25.80M-22.36M
Investing Cash Flow-246.24K-246.24K000-583.04K
Financing Cash Flow41.43M41.86M54.70M1.76M7.03M5.95M

Profound Medical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price9.18

Price Trends

50DMA8.72Positive
100DMA9.29Negative
200DMA9.26Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.12Negative
RSI58.60Neutral
STOCH53.92Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PRN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.60, above the 50-day MA of 8.72, and below the 200-day MA of 9.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PRN.

Profound Medical Risk Analysis

Profound Medical disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Profound Medical reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Profound Medical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

TSE:PRN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
TSE:PRNTSE:PRN50NeutralCAD 335.37M-6.77-62.45%―59.60%32.53%
TSE:ASGTSE:ASG47NeutralCAD 8.98M-5.36-34.32%―-5.42%-5.37%
TSE:VPTTSE:VPT46NeutralCAD 15.43M-6.1356.40%―89.06%37.62%
TSE:TLTTSE:TLT41NeutralCAD 55.89M-12.68-130.04%―-24.86%18.29%
TSE:PINKTSE:PINK38UnderperformCAD 27.62M-1.41-303.05%―35.27%58.34%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%TSE:PRNTSE:ASGTSE:PINKTSE:TLTTSE:VPTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:PRN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:PRNProfound Medical9.180.9111.00%
TSE:ASGAurora Spine0.12-0.17-58.93%
TSE:PINKPerimeter Medical Imaging Ai Inc0.18-0.05-23.40%
TSE:TLTTheralase Technologies0.18-0.02-10.00%
TSE:VPTVentriPoint Diagnostics0.08-0.02-20.00%

Profound Medical Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements

Profound Medical Taps Cook iMRI Partnership to Expand TULSA-PRO Reach in U.S.

Positive
Oct 30, 2026

Profound Medical has signed a U.S. supply and distribution agreement with Cook Medical’s iMRI Division to add its TULSA-PRO prostate ablation system to Cook’s Copernicus program and iMRI Suite offering. The deal creates a new capital equi...

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements

Profound Medical Enlists Montel Williams to Amplify Prostate Care Advocacy

Positive
Oct 22, 2026

Profound Medical is expanding its patient advocacy initiative, Let’s Huddle, by featuring Emmy Award-winning television host and health advocate Montel Williams in a November 5 webinar. The program, led by Global Patient Ambassador Leonard Whee...

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements

Profound Medical, Telix Join Forces to Advance PSMA-Guided Prostate Care

Positive
Oct 9, 2026

Profound Medical has entered into a co-education agreement with Telix Pharmaceuticals to jointly educate urologists, radiologists, nuclear medicine physicians and prostate cancer centers on integrating PSMA-PET imaging with MRI-guided TULSA-PRO thera...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Profound Medical Forecasts Record Q3 Revenue, Far Exceeds Street Estimates

Positive
Oct 7, 2026

Profound Medical expects to report record preliminary third-quarter 2026 revenue of between $9.8 million and $10.0 million, far ahead of Wall Street forecasts. The company estimates year-over-year growth of roughly 85% to 89% and a sequential jump of...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Profound Medical Taps Industry Veteran Richard Fabian as President in Leadership Realignment

Positive
Sep 1, 2026

Profound Medical has appointed industry veteran Richard Fabian as president, reinforcing its executive bench as it scales its interventional MRI-based platforms in prostate care and non-invasive oncology applications. Fabian, a former CEO of FUJIFILM...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Profound Medical Names Industry Veteran Richard Fabian as President in Leadership Realignment

Positive
Sep 1, 2026

Profound Medical has appointed veteran healthcare executive Richard Fabian as its new President, while former President Mathieu Burtnyk transitions to the newly created role of Chief Technology Officer. Fabian brings nearly three decades of experienc...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Profound Medical Boosts Orders, Narrows Loss as TULSA Adoption and Coverage Expand

Positive
Aug 6, 2026

Profound Medical reported second-quarter 2026 results marked by strong order intake, high margins and tighter cost control, even as some revenue was pushed into early third quarter due to shipment timing. New purchase orders exceeded $7.0 million, wi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026