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Orca Exploration Group
(ORC.B)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.00
▲(29.31% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/01/26
The score is held back primarily by weak recent financial performance (large TTM revenue decline and a swing to losses) despite a notably conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage. Technicals are moderately supportive with the stock above key moving averages and neutral-positive momentum, while valuation is pressured by a negative P/E and an unusually high dividend yield that raises sustainability concerns.
Positive Factors
Minimal leverage
The near debt-free balance sheet provides substantial financial flexibility and reduces exposure to interest costs and refinancing pressure. This supports resilience through weaker operating periods and preserves capacity to fund field operations or other priorities internally.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue contraction
The substantial trailing revenue decline signals weakened business activity and reduces the scale over which fixed operating capabilities can generate returns. If sustained, lower revenue could pressure cash generation, profitability, and the company’s ability to reinvest.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Minimal leverage
The near debt-free balance sheet provides substantial financial flexibility and reduces exposure to interest costs and refinancing pressure. This supports resilience through weaker operating periods and preserves capacity to fund field operations or other priorities internally.
Read all positive factors
Orca Exploration Group (ORC.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$73.85M
Dividend Yield120.57%
Average Volume (3M)11.01K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.22
Revenue Growth-23.27%
EPS Growth-777.54%
CountryCA
Employees128
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.64
Shares Outstanding18,015,015
10 Day Avg. Volume16,915
30 Day Avg. Volume11,009
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.04
Price to Book (P/B)1.03
Price to Sales (P/S)0.59
P/FCF Ratio0.70
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.31
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$69.70M
Orca Exploration Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Orca Energy Group Inc. is an energy company focused on the exploration, development, and extraction of oil and natural gas, which it supplies to industrial clients and power generation facilities within Tanzania. Its primary asset is a stake in th...
How the Company Makes Money
Orca Exploration Group makes money primarily by selling natural gas produced from its Tanzanian operations (notably the Songo Songo gas field) under contractual arrangements with end users and/or aggregators involved in the country’s gas-to-power ...
Orca Exploration Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 89.65M | 87.23M | 111.59M | 110.23M | 118.09M | 86.02M |
| Gross Profit | 47.35M | 37.88M | 61.10M | 49.18M | 70.90M | 57.99M |
| EBITDA | 59.92M | 86.93M | 18.63M | 75.21M | 92.76M | 62.94M |
| Net Income | -12.85M | 8.82M | -21.58M | 7.01M | 27.73M | 16.37M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 117.72M | 167.59M | 185.77M | 215.43M | 248.08M | 230.27M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 78.96M | 86.99M | 90.08M | 101.57M | 96.32M | 72.98M |
| Total Debt | 63.00K | 159.00K | 30.34M | 40.42M | 49.77M | 54.78M |
| Total Liabilities | 98.51M | 117.39M | 124.49M | 126.75M | 152.80M | 158.82M |
| Stockholders Equity | 19.21M | 50.20M | 61.28M | 88.68M | 89.62M | 68.34M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 30.62M | 73.66M | 9.13M | 39.69M | 41.93M | 15.13M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 32.36M | 84.56M | 27.09M | 48.48M | 67.66M | 40.11M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.74M | -10.90M | -17.96M | -8.79M | -25.73M | -24.98M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -50.00M | -52.43M | -23.07M | -31.74M | -18.69M | -45.95M |
Orca Exploration Group Technical Analysis
Positive
2.32
Price Trends
2.26
Positive
2.33
Positive
2.27
Positive
Market Momentum
0.13
Negative
60.54
Neutral
82.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ORC.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.35, above the 50-day MA of 2.26, and above the 200-day MA of 2.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ORC.B.
Orca Exploration Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | C$212.06M | 6.58 | 38.81% | 7.17% | 1.90% | 4.58% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
64 Neutral | C$126.34M | 11.13 | 23.08% | 1.19% | 86.37% | ― | |
56 Neutral | C$73.85M | -3.10 | -28.96% | 120.57% | -23.27% | -777.54% | |
52 Neutral | C$228.31M | -107.90 | -0.41% | 8.28% | 2.67% | 68.98% | |
48 Neutral | C$138.09M | -1.84 | -74.92% | ― | 273.28% | -656.13% | |
43 Neutral | C$251.79M | -21.39 | -41.15% | ― | ― | -341.10% |
* Energy Sector Average
TSE:ORC.B
Orca Exploration Group
2.82
1.32
87.62%
TSE:HME
Hemisphere Energy
2.23
0.20
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0.30
-0.05
-15.34%
TSE:BNE
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6.28
2.67
73.96%
TSE:EOG
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0.70
0.55
382.76%
TSE:TPL
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1.10
-0.01
-0.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.