Orca Exploration Group (ORC.B) AI Stock Analysis

Orca Exploration Group

(TSXV:ORC.B)

Select Model

Rating:54Neutral

Price Target:CAD 0.86▼(-4.78% Downside)

Action:reiterated

Date:10/30/26

The score is primarily constrained by declining and volatile financial performance, despite near-zero debt and generally positive cash generation. Bearish technical momentum and a negative P/E further weaken the outlook; the reported dividend yield provides limited offset because earnings are negative and financial results are inconsistent.

Positive Factors

Minimal leverageThe exceptionally low debt burden gives Orca substantial financial flexibility and limits interest obligations. This supports resilience through weaker operating periods, preserves capacity to fund field operations, and reduces refinancing pressure compared with its more leveraged 2021–2024 position.

Negative Factors

Sharp revenue contractionThe steep TTM revenue contraction is a material threat to durable earnings power because lower sales reduce the base available to absorb operating costs and sustain investment. Unless revenue recovers, the decline can weaken cash generation and limit the benefits of high margins.

Orca Exploration Group (ORC.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Market Cap: CAD 11.82M
Dividend Yield: 292.78%
Average Volume (3M): 18.01K
Price to Earnings (P/E): -1.0
Beta (1Y): 1.66
Revenue Growth: -23.27%
EPS Growth: -777.54%
Country: Canada
Employees: 128
Sector: Energy
Sector Strength: 65
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Orca Exploration Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Orca Energy Group Inc. is an energy company focused on the exploration, development, and extraction of oil and natural gas, which it supplies to industrial clients and power generation facilities within Tanzania. Its primary asset is a stake in the S...

How the Company Makes Money

Orca Exploration Group makes money primarily by selling natural gas produced from its Tanzanian operations (notably the Songo Songo gas field) under contractual arrangements with end users and/or aggregators involved in the country’s gas-to-power and...

Orca Exploration Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The balance sheet is strong due to near-zero debt, and operating and free cash flow are generally positive. However, declining revenue, volatile profitability, a shrinking equity base, and weaker latest-TTM cash flow materially reduce the score.

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

62Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	89.65M	87.23M	111.59M	110.23M	118.09M	86.02M
Gross Profit	47.35M	37.88M	61.10M	49.18M	70.90M	57.99M
EBITDA	60.00M	87.76M	18.77M	76.01M	92.76M	62.94M
Net Income	-12.85M	8.82M	-21.58M	7.01M	27.73M	16.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	117.72M	167.59M	185.77M	215.43M	248.08M	230.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	78.96M	86.99M	90.08M	101.57M	96.32M	72.98M
Total Debt	63.00K	159.00K	30.34M	40.42M	49.77M	54.78M
Total Liabilities	98.51M	117.39M	124.49M	126.75M	152.80M	158.82M
Stockholders Equity	19.21M	50.20M	61.28M	88.68M	89.62M	68.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	30.62M	73.66M	9.13M	39.69M	41.93M	15.13M
Operating Cash Flow	32.36M	84.56M	27.09M	48.48M	67.66M	40.11M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.74M	-10.90M	-17.96M	-8.79M	-25.73M	-24.98M
Financing Cash Flow	-50.00M	-52.43M	-23.07M	-31.74M	-18.69M	-45.95M

Orca Exploration Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price0.90

Price Trends

50DMA1.15Negative

100DMA1.09Negative

200DMA1.12Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.07Positive

RSI35.44Neutral

STOCH7.05Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ORC.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.90 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.22, below the 50-day MA of 1.15, and below the 200-day MA of 1.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ORC.B.

Orca Exploration Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

TSE:ORC.B against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TSE:HME	75Outperform	CAD 217.72M	6.76	38.81%	6.99%	1.90%	4.58%
TSE:TPL	66Neutral	CAD 129.21M	10.80	23.08%	―	86.37%	―
Sector *	65Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
TSE:BNE	57Neutral	CAD 252.84M	-113.06	-0.41%	―	2.67%	68.98%
TSE:ORC.B	54Neutral	CAD 40.52M	-0.97	-28.96%	292.78%	-23.27%	-777.54%
TSE:EOG	39Underperform	CAD 308.88M	-24.30	-41.15%	―	―	-341.10%
TSE:QEC	35Underperform	CAD 131.30M	-1.81	-74.92%	―	273.28%	-656.13%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

TSE:ORC.B and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
TSE:ORC.B	Orca Exploration Group Class B	0.87	0.19	27.75%
TSE:HME	Hemisphere Energy	2.29	0.34	17.56%
TSE:QEC	Questerre Corp.	0.29	-0.01	-2.01%
TSE:BNE	Bonterra Energy	6.58	3.01	84.31%
TSE:EOG	Eco Atlantic Oil & Gas Ltd (UK)	0.81	0.67	478.57%
TSE:TPL	Tethys Petroleum	1.05	-0.07	-6.25%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026

Orca Exploration Group AI Stock Analysis