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Dream Impact Trust (TSE:MPCT.UN)
TSX:MPCT.UN
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Dream Impact Trust (MPCT.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MPCT.UN

Dream Impact Trust

(TSX:MPCT.UN)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▲(11.11% Upside)
Dream Impact Trust's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by negative revenue and cash flow challenges. Technical analysis provides some short-term bullish signals, but longer-term trends remain bearish. The valuation is weak due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield, further weighing down the score.

Dream Impact Trust (MPCT.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Dream Impact Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDream Hard Asset Alternatives Trust specializes in hard asset alternative investments including real estate, real estate lending and infrastructure, including renewable power.
How the Company Makes MoneyDream Impact Trust generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of properties, which includes residential, commercial, and mixed-use developments. The company earns money by leasing space to tenants, collecting rents, and managing property operations efficiently to maximize occupancy rates. Additionally, Dream Impact Trust may benefit from property appreciation over time, allowing for capital gains when properties are sold. The trust may also pursue partnerships with local governments and community organizations to facilitate development projects that align with its mission, potentially accessing grants or funding that support social impact initiatives. These partnerships can enhance the company's revenue potential and contribute to its overall earnings.

Dream Impact Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mix of strategic progress in debt management and development projects, alongside challenges in commercial property performance and market conditions affecting project launches. Improvements in financial metrics and successful asset sales are positive, yet offset by difficulties in the office market and occupancy concerns.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt Management and Financing Progress
Successfully obtained extensions for approximately $130 million of current debt and working on extending $195 million of debt for 2025. Only $25 million in maturities remain for 2024, which are being addressed.
Improved Financial Performance
Net loss decreased to $7.6 million from $12.4 million in the same period last year, driven by fair value adjustments and a deferred income tax recovery position.
Sale of Assets
Closed on the sale of 10 Lower Spadina and 349 Carlaw for net proceeds of $30.1 million, immediately repaying $7 million on the Trust's credit facility.
Residential Developments and Leasing
Continued progress on Brightwater, Canary Landing, and other residential projects with significant condo occupancies achieved and lease-up phases underway.
Interest Savings
Expected annual savings of $4.5 million due to interest rate cuts in Canada and the U.S.
Negative Updates
Commercial Asset NOI Decline
NOI from commercial assets was $2.2 million compared to $2.7 million in the previous year due to asset sales and lease terminations.
Office Property Challenges
A $5.2 million loss within equity accounted investments on an office property in Ottawa due to discount and cap rate expansion.
Delayed Development Projects
Delays in condo project launches and market apartment developments due to high interest rates, construction costs, and development charges.
Occupancy Issues at Sussex Center
Occupancy decline at Sussex Center due to a tenant downsizing, with no significant changes expected in the near term.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Dream Impact Trust, key financial metrics and strategic guidance were discussed. The Trust ended the quarter with $23.8 million in cash and net proceeds of $30.1 million from asset sales, which were used to repay a $7 million credit facility balance. Despite a net loss of $7.6 million, this marked an improvement from the $12.4 million loss in the previous year, influenced by fair value adjustments and transaction costs. The Trust successfully extended approximately $130 million of current debt and is working on $25 million of 2024 maturities, with $320 million due in 2025. In terms of recurring income, same property NOI from multi-family rental assets increased to $1.7 million, driven by rent growth and lower operating expenses. The commercial asset portfolio saw a decline in NOI to $2.2 million, mainly due to asset sales and lease terminations. The Trust also highlighted significant development activities, including the completion of condo occupancies at Brightwater and the launch of Birch House leasing. Looking ahead, the Trust anticipates substantial NOI growth from lease-ups in multi-family projects and is actively managing its capital commitments to support future development initiatives.

Dream Impact Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dream Impact Trust faces significant financial challenges, with negative revenue and profitability metrics in the TTM period. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage but negative returns on equity, highlighting profitability issues. Cash flow analysis indicates ongoing cash flow difficulties, with negative operating and free cash flows. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve cash flow management to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
The income statement shows significant challenges with negative revenue and margins in the TTM period. The company experienced a drastic revenue decline of 978.69% in the TTM, indicating severe operational difficulties. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue and profitability, with recent years showing negative net income and margins, reflecting ongoing financial struggles.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.68 in the latest annual report. However, the return on equity is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio remains stable, indicating a reasonable proportion of equity financing, but the negative ROE highlights profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period, with a slight improvement in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, indicating cash flow challenges. Historical data shows inconsistent cash flow performance, with recent periods reflecting cash flow deficits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue-17.11M17.97M-43.51M-31.03M36.49M36.76M
Gross Profit-20.49M8.68M-53.22M-43.92M23.59M23.38M
EBITDA-1.78M1.47M-84.46M-37.58M20.25M0.00
Net Income-36.14M-26.03M-44.14M-43.55M21.45M16.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets665.64M684.42M707.43M724.17M701.70M648.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.11M19.44M8.71M2.24M8.43M110.67M
Total Debt259.93M272.66M270.06M226.34M133.15M88.19M
Total Liabilities284.85M283.18M278.77M245.44M164.77M108.64M
Stockholders Equity380.79M401.24M428.66M478.73M536.93M539.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.55M-15.23M-23.50M-10.96M13.31M4.14M
Operating Cash Flow-12.74M-12.47M-21.46M-7.42M15.43M6.33M
Investing Cash Flow21.84M21.90M-12.62M-60.71M-128.87M38.99M
Financing Cash Flow-6.04M611.00K38.01M61.95M11.21M-52.44M

Dream Impact Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.80
Price Trends
50DMA
1.81
Positive
100DMA
2.20
Negative
200DMA
2.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
52.89
Neutral
STOCH
40.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MPCT.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.93, below the 50-day MA of 1.81, and below the 200-day MA of 2.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:MPCT.UN.

Dream Impact Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$389.10M13.825.27%7.65%-0.28%206.65%
76
Outperform
C$340.72M8.987.80%7.97%1.59%19.74%
75
Outperform
C$112.05M4.7418.62%6.41%-0.21%
72
Outperform
C$220.08M9.197.90%8.94%3.24%3.36%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
46
Neutral
C$33.14M-9.01%1.95%-28.04%18.47%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MPCT.UN
Dream Impact Trust
1.80
-2.80
-60.87%
TSE:BTB.UN
BTB REIT
3.88
0.42
12.14%
TSE:FCD.UN
Firm Capital Property
6.02
0.64
11.90%
TSE:NET.UN
Canadian Net Real Estate Investment Trust Trust Units
5.48
0.22
4.18%
TSE:PRV.UN
PRO Real Estate Investment
5.88
0.44
8.09%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2025