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Minera Alamos Inc (TSE:MAI)
:MAI

Minera Alamos (MAI) AI Stock Analysis

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Minera Alamos

(MAI)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.50
▲(31.58%Upside)
Minera Alamos' overall score reflects significant financial challenges, with negative earnings impacting valuation. However, positive technical indicators suggest some bullish momentum, and recent corporate events indicate proactive management and potential growth opportunities. Financial performance remains the most critical factor, necessitating strategic improvements to sustain long-term growth.

Minera Alamos (MAI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Minera Alamos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMinera Alamos Inc. (MAI) is a Canadian mining company focused on the exploration and development of gold projects in Mexico. The company operates within the natural resources sector, with a particular emphasis on the extraction and processing of precious metals. Minera Alamos aims to bring its projects into production quickly and efficiently, leveraging its experienced management team and cost-effective strategies.
How the Company Makes MoneyMinera Alamos generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of gold and other precious metals extracted from its mining operations in Mexico. The company focuses on low-capital, high-return development strategies, which allows it to bring mines into production rapidly while minimizing costs. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold and by-products such as silver, which are processed and refined for the market. Strategic partnerships with other mining companies and local stakeholders can also play a significant role in enhancing operational efficiency and expanding market access, contributing to the company's earnings.

Minera Alamos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Minera Alamos is facing financial difficulties, with declining revenues and consistent losses impacting its profitability and shareholder value. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage but declining equity ratios, raising concerns about financial stability. Cash flow issues persist, with negative free cash flow highlighting challenges in operational cash generation. Continued focus on strategic initiatives and operational improvements is crucial to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a declining revenue trend over the last few years, with a significant drop from 2022 to 2023. Gross profit and net income have also been negative, indicating operational challenges. The company has been experiencing negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, highlighting ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the equity ratio has been decreasing, indicating potential risks of financial stability. Return on equity has been negative due to consistent net losses, impacting shareholder value.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow, signaling challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, further demonstrating inefficiencies in translating income into cash. Despite these challenges, the company has maintained some financing activities to support cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
8.92M13.42M21.73M897.91K0.00
Gross Profit
1.56M348.88K3.21M842.86K-33.08K
EBIT
-9.02M-10.88M1.23M-4.94M965.10K
EBITDA
-17.24M-1.98M6.21M-1.67M6.41M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-17.57M-2.86M5.61M-1.75M6.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
11.76M13.75M13.18M9.38M23.44M
Total Assets
47.43M51.62M53.28M36.42M33.36M
Total Debt
6.38M6.27M371.97K440.74K101.39K
Net Debt
-5.38M-7.48M-12.81M-6.60M-19.81M
Total Liabilities
14.01M13.93M10.08M4.47M1.48M
Stockholders Equity
33.43M37.69M43.21M31.95M31.88M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-10.00M-4.93M-1.76M-18.22M-6.81M
Operating Cash Flow
-9.65M-4.57M2.61M-5.45M-185.63K
Investing Cash Flow
-347.68K-366.49K-2.31M-8.24M-2.25M
Financing Cash Flow
8.18M6.19M5.37M815.04K20.59M

Minera Alamos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.38
Price Trends
50DMA
0.36
Positive
100DMA
0.35
Positive
200DMA
0.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
52.52
Neutral
STOCH
18.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MAI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.38, above the 50-day MA of 0.36, and above the 200-day MA of 0.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MAI.

Minera Alamos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSDNG
75
Outperform
$189.66M7.0116.08%3.56%17.25%16.23%
TSMAI
56
Neutral
C$226.51M-157.80%9.15%-1170.73%
TSSIG
54
Neutral
$187.75M-7.83%-63.77%
51
Neutral
$1.99B-1.26-21.11%5.30%2.92%-30.46%
TSITH
51
Neutral
$255.70M-6.29%-5.56%
TSMFG
36
Underperform
C$186.87M-49.68%17.11%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MAI
Minera Alamos
0.38
0.06
18.75%
TSE:ITH
International Tower Hill Mines
1.24
0.53
74.65%
TSE:DNG
Dynacor Gold Mines
4.43
-0.44
-8.98%
TSE:SIG
Sitka Gold Corp.
0.54
0.36
200.00%
TSE:MFG
Mayfair Gold
1.69
-0.26
-13.33%

Minera Alamos Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Minera Alamos Advances Copperstone Mine Restart with Key MPO Amendment
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

Minera Alamos has submitted the final amendment for the Mine Plan of Operations for its Copperstone Mine project, marking a significant step towards restarting operations. The company has received all key permits except for minor amendments related to processing technology changes, and expects to receive the final MPO amendment by the end of 2025. This will enable a full restart of the Copperstone Mine, with site development activities already underway. The project demonstrates strong economic potential with a robust after-tax NPV and IRR at varying gold prices. Minera Alamos is also planning to transfer existing process plant equipment to the site and is reviewing exploration programs to enhance the asset’s value. Engineering activities are being optimized for the mine restart, and project finance discussions are ongoing with interested parties.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Minera Alamos Outlines 2025 Growth Plans and Operational Highlights
Positive
May 1, 2025

Minera Alamos has announced its 2025 outlook and 2024 year-end financials, highlighting improvements in mine operating performance at its Santana gold mine and plans for increased gold production in 2025. The company is advancing its newly acquired Copperstone mine in Arizona, aiming for a significant increase in gold production by 2026. The appointment of Kevin Small as EVP Operations is expected to bolster the company’s technical team as they ramp up engineering work for the Copperstone project. Minera Alamos is also working on securing project financing and anticipates completing the finance package by mid-2025. Additionally, the company continues to progress with permitting and engineering work for its Cerro de Oro project in Mexico, with expectations for increased visibility on permitting timelines in the coming months.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Minera Alamos Secures TSX Approval for Incentive Plan and Settles Debts with Share Issuance
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Minera Alamos has received approval from the TSX Venture Exchange for its Omnibus Incentive Plan, which aims to attract and motivate qualified personnel by aligning their goals with those of the shareholders. Additionally, the company has issued 3,388,364 common shares to settle outstanding debts with creditors, which reflects its strategic financial management and commitment to strengthening its operational foundation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.