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Luca Mining
(LUCA)
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Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.00
▼(-6.54% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improved operating performance and strong operating cash flow, but it is held back by thin/volatile free cash flow, still-meaningful leverage, and a weak longer-term technical setup with the stock below key longer-term moving averages. Valuation is also a headwind due to the negative P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Operating turnaround and revenue growth
The sharp TTM revenue improvement and positive operating profitability indicate stronger mine and processing performance than in prior years. If maintained, this operating base can support reinvestment, improve cost absorption, and strengthen earnings capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin and declining free cash flow
Weak free-cash-flow conversion limits the cash available after operating and investment requirements, even though operating cash flow is robust. Continued thin or declining free cash flow could constrain debt reduction, project advancement, and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Operating turnaround and revenue growth
The sharp TTM revenue improvement and positive operating profitability indicate stronger mine and processing performance than in prior years. If maintained, this operating base can support reinvestment, improve cost absorption, and strengthen earnings capacity over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Luca Mining (LUCA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$311.00M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)790.98K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.57
Revenue Growth76.71%
EPS Growth99.85%
CountryCA
Employees111
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryOther Precious Metals
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)>-0.01
Shares Outstanding275,223,360
10 Day Avg. Volume813,844
30 Day Avg. Volume790,975
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.32
Price to Book (P/B)6.48
Price to Sales (P/S)2.11
P/FCF Ratio45.66
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
C$3.25Price Target Upside203.74% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.14
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$215.45M
Luca Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Luca Mining Corp. is a Canadian-based mining company that engages in the exploration, development, and operation of polymetallic mineral resource projects in Mexico. The company is in commercial production at its 100% owned Campo Morado Mine in Gu...
How the Company Makes Money
Luca Mining makes money by producing and selling metal-bearing products derived from mined ore. Its core revenue stream is the sale of mined and processed metals (or metal concentrates) into the commodities supply chain, with realized revenue driv...
Luca Mining Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Dec 2022 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 215.99M | 179.92M | 76.71M | 67.03M | 59.21M | 69.68M |
| Gross Profit | 64.56M | 48.73M | 15.63M | 1.44M | 2.30M | 33.67M |
| EBITDA | 44.10M | 39.69M | -2.44M | -6.43M | -4.78M | 26.46M |
| Net Income | 6.61M | -21.42M | -9.92M | -15.00M | -11.61M | 36.27M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 192.89M | 183.77M | 134.89M | 147.06M | 133.20M | 108.81M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 24.66M | 25.47M | 10.20M | 2.72M | 1.15M | 6.96M |
| Total Debt | 50.30M | 67.27M | 50.82M | 48.71M | 52.29M | 51.55M |
| Total Liabilities | 107.08M | 125.08M | 87.24M | 92.18M | 104.84M | 78.13M |
| Stockholders Equity | 85.81M | 58.69M | 47.66M | 54.88M | 28.36M | 30.67M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.21M | 8.33M | -612.13K | -14.31M | -11.19M | -13.92M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 43.26M | 36.08M | 4.60M | -1.60M | 1.99M | 4.07M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -41.05M | -27.75M | -5.21M | -12.71M | -11.88M | -17.99M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -4.49M | 6.83M | 8.96M | 16.02M | 7.62M | 16.98M |
Luca Mining Technical Analysis
Positive
1.07
Price Trends
0.99
Positive
1.12
Positive
1.35
Negative
Market Momentum
0.05
Negative
59.35
Neutral
79.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LUCA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.05, above the 50-day MA of 0.99, and below the 200-day MA of 1.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:LUCA.
Luca Mining Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
53 Neutral | C$311.00M | -430.02 | 0.28% | ― | 76.71% | 99.85% | |
53 Neutral | C$1.45B | -54.18 | -27.24% | ― | ― | -97.05% | |
53 Neutral | C$618.94M | -123.25 | -3.92% | ― | ― | -15.95% | |
50 Neutral | C$1.48B | -6.37 | -162.41% | ― | ― | -426.39% | |
50 Neutral | C$441.45M | -33.14 | -67.15% | 19.75% | 17.54% | -211.92% | |
48 Neutral | C$496.40M | -24.87 | 17.71% | ― | ― | -7.35% |
* General Sector Average
TSE:LUCA
Luca Mining
1.13
-0.50
-30.67%
TSE:ETG
Entree Gold
2.38
0.18
8.18%
TSE:OM
Osisko Metals Incorporated
1.64
1.23
300.00%
TSE:NCX
NorthIsle Copper and Gold
4.34
2.78
178.21%
TSE:REG
Regulus Resources
4.93
2.45
98.79%
TSE:TI
Titan Mining Corporation
4.46
2.59
137.87%
Luca Mining Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Luca Mining Boosts Earnings and Revenue While Investing Heavily in Mine Growth
Positive
Aug 17, 2026
Luca Mining reported strong second-quarter results, with revenue rising 47% year-over-year to $58.4 million and net earnings reaching $10.5 million, reversing a loss in the prior-year period. First-half 2026 revenue climbed to $116.0 million, net ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.