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Jaguar Mining (TSE:JAG)
TSX:JAG
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Jaguar Mining (JAG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:JAG

Jaguar Mining

(TSX:JAG)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$8.50
▲(4.04% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is led by solid financial footing (very low leverage) and improving TTM profitability, but it is held back by weak recent free cash flow/cash conversion and a high P/E multiple. Technicals are supportive but look overextended, adding near-term risk.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage
A very conservative balance sheet gives Jaguar meaningful resilience and financial flexibility. Minimal leverage reduces interest and refinancing pressure, while the growing equity base can support mine investment, exploration, and operational needs through changing gold-market conditions.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow and weak conversion
Negative free cash flow means recent operating cash has not covered capital requirements, limiting cash available for debt reduction, shareholder returns, or discretionary growth. Weak conversion from net income also raises questions about how consistently reported profitability becomes durable financial resources.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very low leverage
A very conservative balance sheet gives Jaguar meaningful resilience and financial flexibility. Minimal leverage reduces interest and refinancing pressure, while the growing equity base can support mine investment, exploration, and operational needs through changing gold-market conditions.
Read all positive factors

Jaguar Mining (JAG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Jaguar Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Operating as a junior gold mining enterprise, Jaguar Mining Inc. focuses on identifying, securing, developing, and actively producing gold deposits throughout Brazil. The company's principal assets, which consist of the Turmalina, Caeté, and Paciê...
How the Company Makes Money
Jaguar Mining primarily makes money by producing gold and selling it to third-party buyers, with revenue largely driven by the volume of gold produced and the realized gold price during the period. The company’s operating model typically includes ...

Jaguar Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement trends improved in the TTM with 9.4% revenue growth and a return to profitability (~7.3% net margin) alongside strong gross margin (~51%). The balance sheet is a clear strength with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.03) and rising equity, but multi-year earnings volatility and weak cash quality (TTM free cash flow negative at ~-3.4M and weaker cash conversion vs. net income) limit the overall financial score.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue165.94M135.17M158.63M136.53M142.50M151.47M
Gross Profit85.08M72.56M59.50M32.48M38.10M60.04M
EBITDA50.91M4.11M35.43M42.97M49.70M53.93M
Net Income12.10M-15.79M-1.29M15.85M21.44M24.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets414.59M389.80M345.00M309.12M288.13M259.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.60M76.41M47.80M22.04M25.21M40.37M
Total Debt8.99M8.41M6.95M5.84M7.00M6.89M
Total Liabilities152.41M145.02M105.46M68.85M71.11M58.58M
Stockholders Equity262.18M244.77M239.53M240.27M217.02M201.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.40M-4.79M23.76M-687.00K-3.40M10.81M
Operating Cash Flow36.81M18.52M57.35M36.04M40.77M45.04M
Investing Cash Flow-31.52M-18.63M-30.68M-35.78M-43.72M-27.00M
Financing Cash Flow22.11M21.23M-2.74M-3.45M-9.78M-16.30M

Jaguar Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.17
Price Trends
50DMA
6.28
Positive
100DMA
6.34
Positive
200DMA
7.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Positive
RSI
62.89
Neutral
STOCH
79.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:JAG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.54, above the 50-day MA of 6.28, and above the 200-day MA of 7.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:JAG.

Jaguar Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$1.24B16.6133.99%79.46%102.76%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
C$692.03M42.814.83%5.21%15.45%
52
Neutral
C$783.78M-67.29-33.19%-12.04%
51
Neutral
C$718.13M-301.694.79%1140.10%79.14%
42
Neutral
C$107.68M-9.4515.78%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:JAG
Jaguar Mining
7.88
2.51
46.74%
TSE:BSX
Belo Sun Mining
1.44
1.14
372.13%
TSE:MKO
Mako Mining Corp
13.97
7.45
114.26%
TSE:MAI
Minera Alamos
6.28
2.78
79.43%
TSE:OMI
Orosur Mining
0.29
-0.11
-27.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026