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Jaguar Mining (JAG) AI Stock Analysis
Jaguar Mining
(TSX:JAG)
The score is led by solid financial footing (very low leverage) and improving TTM profitability, but it is held back by weak recent free cash flow/cash conversion and a high P/E multiple. Technicals are supportive but look overextended, adding near-term risk.
Jaguar Mining (JAG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
- Market Cap
- CAD 317.43M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 181.73K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 28.1
- Beta (1Y)
- 3.17
- Revenue Growth
- 15.45%
- EPS Growth
- ―
- Country
- Canada
- Employees
- 1,146
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Gold
Jaguar Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Operating as a junior gold mining enterprise, Jaguar Mining Inc. focuses on identifying, securing, developing, and actively producing gold deposits throughout Brazil. The company's principal assets, which consist of the Turmalina, Caeté, and Paciênci...
How the Company Makes Money
Jaguar Mining primarily makes money by producing and selling gold. Revenue is generated when ore mined from its operations is processed into gold doré (or equivalent gold product) and sold, with realized revenue driven by (a) the volume of gold produ...
Jaguar Mining Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income statement trends improved in the TTM with 9.4% revenue growth and a return to profitability (~7.3% net margin) alongside strong gross margin (~51%). The balance sheet is a clear strength with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.03) and rising equity, but multi-year earnings volatility and weak cash quality (TTM free cash flow negative at ~-3.4M and weaker cash conversion vs. net income) limit the overall financial score.
Income Statement
62PositiveBalance Sheet
84Very PositiveCash Flow
45Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 165.94M | 135.17M | 158.63M | 136.53M | 142.50M | 151.47M |
| Gross Profit | 85.08M | 72.56M | 59.50M | 32.48M | 38.10M | 60.04M |
| EBITDA | 50.91M | 4.11M | 35.43M | 42.97M | 49.70M | 53.93M |
| Net Income | 12.10M | -15.79M | -1.29M | 15.85M | 21.44M | 24.05M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 414.59M | 389.80M | 345.00M | 309.12M | 288.13M | 259.88M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 79.60M | 76.41M | 47.80M | 22.04M | 25.21M | 40.37M |
| Total Debt | 8.99M | 8.41M | 6.95M | 5.84M | 7.00M | 6.89M |
| Total Liabilities | 152.41M | 145.02M | 105.46M | 68.85M | 71.11M | 58.58M |
| Stockholders Equity | 262.18M | 244.77M | 239.53M | 240.27M | 217.02M | 201.29M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -3.40M | -4.79M | 23.76M | -687.00K | -3.40M | 10.81M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 36.81M | 18.52M | 57.35M | 36.04M | 40.77M | 45.04M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -31.52M | -18.63M | -30.68M | -35.78M | -43.72M | -27.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 22.11M | 21.23M | -2.74M | -3.45M | -9.78M | -16.30M |
Jaguar Mining Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:JAG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.28, below the 50-day MA of 7.14, and below the 200-day MA of 6.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.94 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:JAG.
Jaguar Mining Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
TSE:MKO83.1Outperform- TSE:JAG61Neutral
TSE:MAI49Neutral
TSE:OMI44Neutral
TSE:BSX41Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE:MKO | 83Outperform | CAD 902.34M | 12.10 | 33.99% | ― | 79.46% | 102.76% |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% |
| TSE:JAG | 61Neutral | CAD 446.28M | 28.08 | 4.83% | ― | 15.45% | ― |
| TSE:MAI | 49Neutral | CAD 432.20M | -301.69 | 4.79% | ― | 1140.10% | 79.14% |
| TSE:OMI | 44Neutral | CAD 99.51M | -10.18 | -29.89% | ― | ― | -147.46% |
| TSE:BSX | 41Neutral | CAD 416.90M | -35.05 | -33.19% | ― | ― | -12.04% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE:JAG | Jaguar Mining Inc. | 5.23 | -0.39 | -6.94% | |
| TSE:BSX | Belo Sun Mining | 0.75 | 0.43 | 134.38% | |
| TSE:MKO | Mako Mining | 10.30 | 2.75 | 36.42% | |
| TSE:MAI | Minera Alamos | 3.93 | 0.13 | 3.42% | |
| TSE:OMI | Orosur Mining Inc (UK) | 0.22 | -0.15 | -40.54% |
Jaguar Mining Corporate Events
Jaguar Mining Boosts Q3 Gold Output 30% as Turmalina Ramp-Up Gains Traction
PositiveJaguar Mining reported a 30% year-over-year increase in consolidated gold production for the third quarter of 2026, reaching 12,981 ounces as the Turmalina Mine ramp-up advanced and Pilar maintained steady output. The company kept its annual producti...
Jaguar Mining Targets In-Mine Growth With New Turmalina Drilling Program
PositiveJaguar Mining has launched a new underground diamond drilling program at its Turmalina mine in Minas Gerais, Brazil, aimed at testing high-grade growth zones within existing operations. The campaign focuses on the down-dip extension of the Faina oreb...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026