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Hydro One
(TSX:H)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
C$60.00
▲(12.21% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is primarily driven by solid profitability and resilient regulated-utility earnings, tempered by a weak cash-flow profile (recent negative free cash flow) and elevated leverage. Technical indicators point to soft near-term momentum, while valuation is acceptable but not cheap. The latest earnings call was a net positive (growth, credit cushion, project pipeline) but highlighted funding and risk pressures that cap the score.
Positive Factors
Regulated utility earnings and strong margins
Hydro One’s regulated transmission and distribution model supports resilient earnings and cost recovery through approved rates. Sustained margins and rising net income indicate durable profitability as the company expands and maintains its rate base.
Negative Factors
Persistently negative free cash flow
Heavy infrastructure investment currently exceeds internally generated cash after capital spending. Continued negative free cash flow may require debt, hybrid securities or equity financing, reducing balance-sheet flexibility and potentially pressuring distributions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated utility earnings and strong margins
Hydro One’s regulated transmission and distribution model supports resilient earnings and cost recovery through approved rates. Sustained margins and rising net income indicate durable profitability as the company expands and maintains its rate base.
Read all positive factors
Hydro One (H) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$31.87B
Dividend Yield2.55%
Average Volume (3M)1.44M
Price to Earnings (P/E)22.5
Beta (1Y)0.19
Revenue Growth8.63%
EPS Growth12.60%
CountryCA
Employees7,151
SectorUtilities
Sector Strength65
IndustryRegulated Electric
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.36
Shares Outstanding600,096,100
10 Day Avg. Volume2,036,438
30 Day Avg. Volume1,442,022
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.58
Price to Book (P/B)2.59
Price to Sales (P/S)3.62
P/FCF Ratio-119.15
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
C$57.50Price Target Upside7.54% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)2.33
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$9.49B
Hydro One Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Hydro One Limited, through its various subsidiaries, functions as a prominent electric utility, overseeing the transmission and distribution of power throughout Ontario, Canada. The company organizes its operations across three primary segments: T...
How the Company Makes Money
Hydro One primarily makes money through regulated utility revenues earned by transmitting and distributing electricity, rather than by generating electricity or profiting from the commodity price of power. Its key revenue streams are: (1) Transmis...
Hydro One Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a generally positive financial and operational picture: year-over-year revenue and earnings growth, a healthy FFO-to-debt cushion (14.1%), successful U.S. debt issuance, declared dividend, and a robust pipeline of major transmission projects with First Nation partnerships. Notable challenges include rising operating and interest costs, elevated wildfire risk, a decline in Q2 CapEx and distribution in-service timing impacts, and an anticipated need for equity in the next rate period to protect the credit profile. Management described clear plans to manage funding, supply-chain and operational risks and emphasized customer focus and regulatory engagement.Positive Updates
Earnings and EPS Growth
Net income attributable to common shareholders increased 13.1% year-over-year. Second quarter basic EPS was $0.62 versus $0.54 a year ago (≈+14.8%).
Negative Updates
Rising Operating Costs
Operating, maintenance and administration expenses increased ~3.4% YoY. Transmission costs rose 4.7% (higher corporate support and vegetation management) and Distribution costs rose 3.7% (higher work program spend including emergency power restoration and lines maintenance).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Earnings and EPS Growth
Net income attributable to common shareholders increased 13.1% year-over-year. Second quarter basic EPS was $0.62 versus $0.54 a year ago (≈+14.8%).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance highlighted expected annual EPS growth of 6–8% for the upcoming rate period (using normalized 2022 EPS of $1.61), a JRAP filing in October 2026 for 2028–2032, and continued investments (including >$3.4 billion of major transmission projects entering service 2029–2030, a ~$100 million Orleans reinforcement by 2029, and the Red Lake project into the early 2030s); they declared a dividend of $0.3531/share payable Sept 9, 2026. On financing and credit they reported FFO-to-net-debt of 14.1% at June 30, 2026 (well above an 11% downgrade threshold), said they will preserve an A rating using hybrid debt (50% equity credit), ATM equity or larger issues as needed, and expect to be a regular U.S. issuer after the USD 1.0 billion 4.75% 2031 notes (swapped to a CAD equivalent of 3.835%); management noted medium-term U.S. issuance could represent roughly one‑third or more of annual issuance. Near-term operational and financial context included Q2 revenue (net of purchased power) +5.5% YoY, transmission revenue +7.2% (0.5% higher avg. monthly peak demand), distribution revenue +2.4% (4% more energy distributed, 0.8% more customers), Q2 basic EPS $0.62 vs $0.54 (+13.1%), Q2 capex $812m (−11.1% YoY), Q1 assets placed in service $644m (+9.0% YoY), OM&A +3.4%, interest expense +7.1%, depreciation/asset removal −2.8%, income tax $69m (effective rate 15.6%); they also flagged wildfire activity 54% above last year and 56% above the 10‑year average while reaffirming a safety goal of zero life‑altering injuries.Hydro One Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 9.52B | 9.04B | 8.48B | 7.84B | 7.78B | 7.22B |
| Gross Profit | 2.60B | 2.24B | 1.97B | 1.84B | 1.83B | 1.61B |
| EBITDA | 3.41B | 3.37B | 3.06B | 2.85B | 2.81B | 2.52B |
| Net Income | 1.42B | 1.34B | 1.16B | 1.08B | 1.05B | 965.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 41.07B | 39.67B | 36.68B | 32.85B | 31.46B | 30.38B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 643.00M | 549.00M | 716.00M | 79.00M | 530.00M | 540.00M |
| Total Debt | 20.09B | 19.19B | 17.73B | 15.74B | 15.19B | 14.72B |
| Total Liabilities | 27.96B | 26.93B | 24.51B | 21.09B | 20.07B | 19.41B |
| Stockholders Equity | 12.99B | 12.65B | 12.09B | 11.68B | 11.31B | 10.89B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -248.00M | -275.00M | -274.00M | 67.00M | 174.00M | 78.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.66B | 2.69B | 2.53B | 2.41B | 2.26B | 2.15B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.14B | -3.50B | -3.13B | -2.69B | -2.07B | -2.06B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.05B | 636.00M | 1.23B | -172.00M | -197.00M | -303.00M |
Hydro One Technical Analysis
Negative
53.47
Price Trends
56.96
Negative
57.22
Negative
56.09
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.21
Positive
34.15
Neutral
37.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:H, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 53.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.35, below the 50-day MA of 56.96, and below the 200-day MA of 56.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:H.
Hydro One Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | $17.65B | 18.10 | 5.60% | 3.62% | 6.62% | 11.55% | |
64 Neutral | C$31.87B | 22.50 | 11.08% | 2.55% | 8.63% | 12.60% | |
63 Neutral | C$39.07B | 22.43 | 7.43% | 3.35% | 3.84% | 0.11% | |
59 Neutral | C$13.86B | 318.19 | 1.88% | 3.62% | 1.16% | -89.49% | |
56 Neutral | C$21.42B | 22.00 | 7.51% | 4.20% | 10.83% | 7.87% | |
51 Neutral | C$29.76B | 68.28 | 2.64% | 4.92% | 5.92% | 52.60% | |
49 Neutral | C$6.04B | 31.16 | 3.20% | 4.57% | 5.62% | ― |
* Utilities Sector Average
TSE:H
Hydro One
53.11
4.85
10.06%
TSE:BEP.UN
Brookfield Renewable Partners
43.50
10.54
31.99%
TSE:CU
Canadian Utilities A
50.91
14.20
38.69%
TSE:AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
7.85
0.43
5.74%
TSE:FTS
Fortis
76.47
11.11
17.00%
TSE:EMA
Emera
69.73
7.92
12.82%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.