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Cipher Pharmaceuticals (TSE:CPH)
TSX:CPH
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Cipher Pharmaceuticals (CPH) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CPH

Cipher Pharmaceuticals

(TSX:CPH)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$16.50
▲(22.40% Upside)
Cipher Pharmaceuticals' strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and debt reduction, is a key strength. However, challenges in profitability and operational efficiency, along with moderate technical indicators and valuation, suggest a balanced outlook. The positive earnings call further supports the stock's potential, but caution is advised due to existing challenges.

Cipher Pharmaceuticals (CPH) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCipher Pharmaceuticals Inc. operates as a specialty pharmaceutical company in Canada. Its commercial products include Epuris (CIP-ISOTRETINOIN), a formulation of the active ingredient isotretinoin for use in the treatment of severe acne; Ozenoxacin to treat adult and paediatric patients with impetigo; Actikerall, which is indicated for the treatment of palpable or moderately thick hyperkeratotic actinic keratosis; Vaniqa, a prescription cream that reduces the growth of unwanted facial hair in women; BRINAVESS, a treatment for sinus rhythm in adults; and AGGRASTAT, an intravenous anti-platelet drug. The company's licensed products comprise CIP-Isotretinoin; Lipofen (CIP-Fenofibrate), a formulation of the active ingredient fenofibrate used for the treatment of hyperlipidemia, a cholesterol disorder; and Conzip/Durela (CIP- Tramadol), a formulation of the active ingredient tramadol for the management of moderate to moderately severe pain. Its pipeline products include Trevyent, a vasodilatory prostacyclin analogue to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension; CF-101 for severe plaque psoriasis and rheumatoid arthritis; MOB-015, a topical formulation of terbinafine for the treatment of onychomycosis; and DTR-001, a tattoo removal cream. Cipher Pharmaceuticals Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Oakville, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCipher Pharmaceuticals generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its prescription products. The company earns income through the commercialization of its proprietary products, as well as through partnerships and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies. By leveraging its expertise in product development and regulatory processes, Cipher often seeks to obtain exclusive rights to market certain drugs, thereby enhancing its revenue potential. Key revenue streams include sales from its marketed products, royalties from licensed products, and collaborative agreements that may involve milestone payments. Additionally, Cipher's strategic partnerships with other firms help expand its market reach and enhance its portfolio, contributing to its overall earnings.

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and significant debt reduction, supported by the robust performance of the Natroba business. However, challenges remain in licensing revenue and the Absorica portfolio, along with increased SG&A costs. Overall, the positive aspects slightly outweigh the negative aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance of Natroba Business
Sales from Natroba and its authorized generic Spinosad reached $8.1 million in Q3 2025, a 4% sequential increase. The gross margin was 86%, with strong profitability reflected in an adjusted EBITDA of $5 million.
Significant Debt Repayment
The company repaid $17 million on its revolving credit facility, reducing the balance to $8 million from an initial $40 million. This demonstrates strong cash flow and financial management.
Revenue Growth
Net revenue for Q3 2025 increased by 24% year-over-year, and for the 9-month period, it rose by 78% compared to the same period in 2024, driven by the addition of the U.S.-based Natroba business.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 79% for Q3 2025 and 97% for the 9-month period, compared to the same periods in 2024.
Net Income Growth
Net income for Q3 2025 was $5.5 million, a significant rise from $0.3 million in the same quarter of the previous year. For the 9-month period, net income was $14 million, up from $8.2 million year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Licensing Revenue
Licensing revenue for Q3 2025 decreased by 28% year-over-year, and for the 9-month period, it dropped by 44%, primarily due to lower royalties from the Absorica portfolio.
Challenges with Absorica Portfolio
Market share for Absorica and its authorized generic decreased to 2.9% from 5.6% the previous year, affected by increased generic competition and reduced royalty rates.
Increased SG&A Expenses
For the 9-month period, SG&A expenses rose by $3.5 million compared to the prior year due to ongoing legal costs and full-year inclusion of the Natroba business expenses.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2025 conference call, Cipher Pharmaceuticals reported robust financial metrics, highlighting meaningful growth attributed to the U.S.-based Natroba business. Natroba and its authorized generic Spinosad generated $8.1 million in sales, marking a 4% sequential increase from the previous quarter. This growth was attributed to product seasonality and strong profitability, with a gross profit of $7 million and a gross margin of 86%. The Natroba business contributed $5 million to the adjusted EBITDA, which totaled $7.3 million for the company during the quarter. Cipher also reported a significant reduction in its revolving credit facility from $40 million to an $8 million balance, reflecting their focus on deleveraging. The company's broader strategy includes launching a direct-to-consumer sales model in early 2023 to expand the Natroba business, pursuing complementary products for commercialization, launching Natroba in Canada, and exploring global out-licensing opportunities. Overall, Cipher Pharmaceuticals is focusing on growth and shareholder value while maintaining a strong financial position with $8.4 million in cash and $13 million in outstanding debt by the quarter's end.

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cipher Pharmaceuticals demonstrates strong revenue growth and robust gross margins, positioning it well in the pharmaceuticals industry. However, declining net profit margins and ROE highlight potential challenges in maintaining profitability and operational efficiency. The balance sheet remains solid with manageable debt levels, but cash flow improvements are needed to sustain future growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Cipher Pharmaceuticals has shown a robust revenue growth from 2023 to 2024, increasing by 57.7%, which is a positive indicator of the company's market expansion and product demand. The gross profit margin is strong at 72.3% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the absence of EBIT in 2024 could suggest increased operating expenses or write-offs. Net profit margin decreased significantly from 96.3% in 2023 to 34.6% in 2024, which raises concerns about profitability sustainability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40 in 2024, reflecting prudent leverage levels. Return on Equity (ROE) saw a notable decrease to 11.3% in 2024 from 25.3% in 2023, indicating reduced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is stable at 63.0%, showcasing a solid capital structure with a high proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow has improved, with a 22.2% increase from 2023 to 2024, supporting operational stability. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains impressive at 1.69 in 2024, indicating strong cash conversion. However, free cash flow growth is moderate at 22.1%, suggesting potential constraints in cash generation compared to previous years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.59M33.36M21.16M20.68M21.94M21.61M
Gross Profit35.12M24.10M17.09M16.68M18.26M18.55M
EBITDA16.73M11.87M11.53M12.04M13.66M13.40M
Net Income12.14M11.54M20.38M26.64M7.76M4.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets152.39M162.51M86.03M73.78M51.65M44.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.34M17.84M39.83M28.84M20.55M9.14M
Total Debt25.45M40.58M353.00K428.00K516.00K1.85M
Total Liabilities42.96M60.17M5.51M9.70M12.75M11.63M
Stockholders Equity109.44M102.34M80.52M64.08M38.90M32.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow21.10M19.50M15.98M10.49M13.81M10.93M
Operating Cash Flow21.13M19.55M16.00M10.57M13.81M11.69M
Investing Cash Flow-80.03M-80.04M-144.00K-81.00K0.00-760.00K
Financing Cash Flow22.15M39.30M-5.24M-1.91M-2.47M-8.13M

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.48
Price Trends
50DMA
15.38
Negative
100DMA
14.38
Negative
200DMA
13.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
33.22
Neutral
STOCH
65.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CPH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.59, below the 50-day MA of 15.38, and below the 200-day MA of 13.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CPH.

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$375.57M22.4016.32%94.28%5.23%
61
Neutral
5.24%-7.99%
59
Neutral
C$282.08M72.001.86%38.86%
58
Neutral
C$86.45M64.481.88%0.03%-17.30%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
C$169.51M-8.20-20.58%-1.42%35.15%
47
Neutral
$578.13M1,705.88-0.48%18.70%88.31%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CPH
Cipher Pharmaceuticals
13.48
0.69
5.39%
TSE:TH
Theratechnologies
4.47
2.70
152.54%
TSE:GUD
Knight Therapeutics
6.05
0.88
17.02%
TSE:MDP
Medexus Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.68
0.65
32.02%
TSE:OGI
OrganiGram Holdings
2.16
0.00
0.00%
TSE:HLS
HLS Therapeutics Inc
5.32
1.67
45.75%

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 8, 2025

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on dermatology, has reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth in key areas. The company, known for its diversified portfolio of commercial and developmental products, operates primarily in Canada, the U.S., and South America.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Cipher Pharmaceuticals Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Cipher Pharmaceuticals reported a strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with a 24% increase in total revenue to $12.8 million and a 79% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $7.3 million. The company has made significant progress in reducing its debt, with $32 million in repayments over the past six months, positioning it well for future growth opportunities. The passing of board member Harold M. Wolkin was noted as a loss to the company, given his valuable contributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CPH) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Pharmaceuticals stock, see the TSE:CPH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Cipher Pharmaceuticals Achieves Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Cipher Pharmaceuticals reported significant financial growth in the third quarter of 2025, with a 24% increase in total revenue to $12.8 million and a 79% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $7.3 million compared to the same period in 2024. The company has made substantial progress in reducing its debt, with $32 million in repayments over the past six months, positioning itself well for future growth opportunities. The passing of a key board member, Harold M. Wolkin, was also noted, highlighting his contributions to the company’s strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CPH) stock is a Buy with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Pharmaceuticals stock, see the TSE:CPH Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Cipher Pharmaceuticals to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

Cipher Pharmaceuticals announced the release of its third-quarter 2025 financial results, scheduled for November 6, 2025, followed by a conference call on November 7, 2025, to discuss the results and corporate developments. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CPH) stock is a Buy with a C$16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Pharmaceuticals stock, see the TSE:CPH Stock Forecast page.

Legal Proceedings
Cipher Pharmaceuticals Wins Arbitration Against Sun Pharmaceuticals
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

Cipher Pharmaceuticals has received a favorable arbitration award in a contractual dispute with Sun Pharmaceuticals over the launch of Absorica LD® in Canada and ownership of clinical data. The arbitrator ruled in Cipher’s favor, granting them CAD $4.24 million in damages, future royalties on sales, and reimbursement of legal fees. Sun is contesting the decision in court, but Cipher plans to defend the award and pursue further claims against Sun for using its clinical data in other regions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CPH) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Pharmaceuticals stock, see the TSE:CPH Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Cipher Pharmaceuticals Mourns the Loss of Esteemed Board Member Harold Wolkin
Negative
Aug 26, 2025

Cipher Pharmaceuticals announced the passing of Harold M. Wolkin, a valued member of its Board of Directors and Chairman of the Audit Committee. Mr. Wolkin significantly contributed to the company’s growth and governance, playing a crucial role in strategic initiatives and representing the company with integrity. His loss is deeply felt across the Canadian capital markets community and within the company, highlighting his impact on Cipher’s operations and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CPH) stock is a Buy with a C$16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Pharmaceuticals stock, see the TSE:CPH Stock Forecast page.

Cipher Pharmaceuticals’ Record Earnings Driven by Natroba
Aug 13, 2025

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Reports Record-Breaking Earnings Quarter

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Reports Record Q2 2025 Revenue
Aug 9, 2025

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on dermatology, has reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth and record revenue. The company, known for acquiring and marketing products that address unmet medical needs, operates primarily in Canada, the U.S., and South America.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025