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Celestica (TSE:CLS)
TSX:CLS
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Celestica (CLS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CLS

Celestica

(TSX:CLS)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$506.00
▲(1.77% Upside)
Celestica's strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are the primary drivers of its overall score. The company's robust revenue growth, improving margins, and strategic investments in R&D and capacity expansion position it well for future growth. However, the high P/E ratio and overbought technical indicators suggest caution, as the stock may be overvalued and prone to short-term volatility.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand and effective market positioning, supporting long-term business expansion and sustainability.
R&D and Capacity Expansion
Increased R&D and capacity expansion enhance innovation and production capabilities, positioning Celestica for future growth and competitiveness.
Improving Margins
Improved margins reflect efficient cost management and operational performance, strengthening financial health and profitability.
Negative Factors
Decline in ATS Segment
A decline in the ATS segment could indicate challenges in adapting to market changes, potentially impacting future revenue streams.
Challenges in Enterprise Market
Challenges in the enterprise market may hinder growth in this segment, affecting overall revenue diversification and stability.
Inventory Increase
Increased inventory levels can tie up capital and indicate potential demand forecasting issues, impacting cash flow and operational efficiency.

Celestica (CLS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Celestica Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCelestica Inc. provides hardware platform and supply chain solutions in North America, Europe, and Asia. It operates through two segments, Advanced Technology Solutions, and Connectivity & Cloud Solutions. The company offers a range of product manufacturing and related supply chain services, including design and development, engineering, supply chain management, new product introduction, component sourcing, electronics manufacturing and assembly, testing, complex mechanical assembly, systems integration, precision machining, order fulfillment, logistics, asset management, product licensing, and after-market repair and return services. It also provides enterprise-level data communications and information processing infrastructure products, such as routers, switches, data center interconnects, edge solutions, servers, and storage-related products; capacitors, microprocessors, resistors, and memory modules; and power inverters, energy storage products, smart meters, and other electronic componentry products. The company serves aerospace and defense, industrial, energy, healthtech, capital equipment, original equipment manufacturers, cloud-based, and other service providers, including hyperscalers, and other companies in a range of industries. Celestica Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCelestica generates revenue primarily through its electronics manufacturing services (EMS) and original design manufacturing (ODM). The company operates on a business model that involves manufacturing and assembling electronic components and systems for clients across different industries. Key revenue streams include contracts with major clients in sectors like telecommunications and healthcare, where they provide customized solutions tailored to specific client needs. Celestica also benefits from long-term partnerships with leading technology companies, which provide a steady flow of orders and enable economies of scale. Additionally, the company's integrated supply chain solutions allow it to offer value-added services, such as logistics and inventory management, further enhancing its revenue potential. Factors such as technological advancements and a growing demand for smart devices and IoT solutions also contribute to Celestica's earnings.

Celestica Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive, with record revenue and EPS, increased operating margins, and strong growth in the CCS segment. However, there were challenges such as a decline in enterprise revenue and increased inventory levels. The company raised its annual financial outlook, indicating confidence in future performance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and EPS
Celestica achieved revenues of $2.89 billion and adjusted EPS of $1.39, both exceeding the high end of guidance ranges with revenues up 21% year-over-year.
High Operating Margins
Adjusted operating margin reached 7.4%, marking the highest performance in company history.
Strong Growth in CCS Segment
The CCS segment experienced very strong growth, driven by a 28% increase in revenue due to demand for networking products from hyperscale customers.
Significant Increase in Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for the second quarter was $120 million, $54 million higher than the prior year period.
Raising Annual Financial Outlook
The 2025 revenue outlook was increased from $10.85 billion to $11.55 billion, reflecting 20% year-over-year growth, and adjusted EPS outlook was raised from $5 to $5.50.
Strong Demand for Networking Products
Demand for 800G networking switch programs is ramping, complementing strong demand for 400G switches.
Negative Updates
Decline in Enterprise Revenue
Enterprise end market revenue was 37% lower, due to an anticipated technology transition with a hyperscale customer.
Challenges in A&D Business
Lower volumes in A&D business are expected due to the decision not to renew a margin-dilutive program.
Increased Inventory Levels
Inventory balance increased to $1.92 billion, a year-over-year increase of $74 million.
Company Guidance
During Celestica's Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance for Q3 2025 and the full year. For Q3, Celestica projected revenue between $2.875 billion and $3.125 billion, representing 20% growth at the midpoint, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) anticipated to be between $1.37 and $1.53. The company expects its non-GAAP operating margin to be 7.4%, an increase of 60 basis points from the previous year. For the full year 2025, Celestica raised its revenue outlook from $10.85 billion to $11.55 billion, reflecting 20% year-over-year growth. The adjusted EPS outlook was increased from $5 to $5.50 per share, indicating a 42% increase, while the anticipated non-GAAP operating margin remained at 7.4%. Additionally, the company raised its free cash flow outlook from $350 million to $400 million. This guidance assumes no significant changes to tariffs or trade restrictions.

Celestica Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Celestica exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, improving profitability, and effective cash flow management. The company has enhanced its margins and maintains a balanced capital structure, positioning it well for future growth. The strong return on equity and cash flow metrics highlight operational efficiency and financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Celestica has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 4.97% increase in TTM, supported by improving margins. The gross profit margin has increased to 11.27% in TTM from 10.72% in 2024, and the net profit margin has improved to 4.95%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown positive trends, indicating efficient cost management and operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50 in TTM, reflecting moderate leverage. The return on equity is robust at 29.81%, showcasing effective utilization of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio stands at 28.16%, suggesting a balanced but slightly leveraged capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Celestica's cash flow performance is strong, with a notable free cash flow growth rate of 11.02% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.17, indicating solid cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.71 further underscores the company's ability to convert earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.59B9.65B7.96B7.25B5.63B5.75B
Gross Profit1.19B1.03B778.50M636.30M487.00M437.60M
EBITDA854.00M736.20M515.70M408.10M294.00M252.60M
Net Income523.90M428.00M244.60M145.50M103.90M60.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.24B5.99B5.89B5.63B4.67B3.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments313.80M423.30M372.60M374.50M394.00M463.80M
Total Debt875.20M796.70M782.80M786.10M794.40M585.90M
Total Liabilities4.48B4.09B4.12B3.95B3.20B2.26B
Stockholders Equity1.76B1.90B1.77B1.68B1.46B1.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow339.60M303.00M304.60M188.90M174.60M186.80M
Operating Cash Flow502.40M473.90M429.70M297.90M226.80M239.60M
Investing Cash Flow-173.70M-212.50M-122.40M-108.90M-364.30M-51.00M
Financing Cash Flow-448.90M-208.50M-311.40M-208.50M67.70M-204.30M

Celestica Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price497.19
Price Trends
50DMA
358.19
Positive
100DMA
294.85
Positive
200DMA
219.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
37.55
Negative
RSI
72.23
Negative
STOCH
82.28
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 497.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 406.10, above the 50-day MA of 358.19, and above the 200-day MA of 219.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 37.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.23 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.28 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CLS.

Celestica Risk Analysis

Celestica disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Celestica reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Celestica Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$54.42B55.2137.30%25.34%109.17%
72
Outperform
C$9.74M8.9520.74%-14.73%-48.07%
66
Neutral
C$1.74B99.3016.90%-1.96%24.03%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CLS
Celestica
497.19
384.26
340.26%
TSE:PNG
Kraken Robotics Systems Inc
5.62
3.59
176.85%
TSE:ZTE
ZTEST Electronics
0.27
-0.08
-22.86%

Celestica Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Celestica Announces Share Buyback Approval from TSX
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Celestica Inc. announced that it received approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange to initiate a Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) to repurchase up to 5,722,527 common shares, representing about 5% of its public float, starting November 3, 2025, until November 2, 2026. This move is intended to be a strategic use of funds, potentially impacting the company’s share value and market positioning, as it reflects confidence in its financial health and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CLS) stock is a Buy with a C$440.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celestica stock, see the TSE:CLS Stock Forecast page.

Celestica’s Earnings Call: Record Growth and Positive Outlook
Oct 30, 2025

Celestica’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust performance, underscored by record-breaking revenue and impressive growth metrics, particularly within the CCS segment. The company expressed optimism for future quarters, buoyed by strategic investments in R&D and capacity expansion. Despite some challenges in the ATS segment and a downturn in the enterprise market, the positive elements of the report significantly overshadowed these concerns, indicating a strong overall sentiment.

Celestica’s Manufacturing Shifts: Navigating Risks and Financial Impacts
Oct 29, 2025

Celestica faces significant business risks associated with the transfer of manufacturing operations between facilities, often necessitated by customer demands for cost or tariff reductions. Such transfers have historically led to increased costs due to facility downtime and suboptimal utilization of manufacturing capacity, alongside potential delays and complications in transitioning manufacturing programs. Additionally, these operational shifts could result in the closure or downsizing of facilities, incurring substantial costs related to closures, employee severance, and other related expenses, thereby impacting Celestica’s net income. The potential for future relocations or closures poses an ongoing risk to the company’s financial stability and customer service capabilities.

Celestica Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Raises Outlook
Oct 29, 2025

Celestica Inc., a global leader in data center infrastructure and advanced technology solutions, has reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth in both revenue and earnings. The company operates in two main segments: Advanced Technology Solutions and Connectivity & Cloud Solutions, serving diverse markets including aerospace, defense, and communications.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Laurette T. Koellner Rejoins Celestica’s Board of Directors
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Celestica Inc. has announced the return of Laurette T. Koellner to its Board of Directors, after her unexpected departure earlier this year. Her reappointment is seen as a strategic move to bolster the company’s governance with her extensive financial expertise and deep industry knowledge, which is expected to enhance Celestica’s competitive edge as it continues to expand.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CLS) stock is a Buy with a C$220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celestica stock, see the TSE:CLS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Celestica Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Raises Annual Outlook
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

Celestica Inc. reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching $3.19 billion, a 28% increase from the previous year, and adjusted EPS growing by 52% to $1.58. The company has raised its 2025 annual outlook, expecting revenue to reach $12.2 billion and adjusted EPS to $5.90, driven by strong demand in AI data center infrastructure. Looking ahead, Celestica anticipates further growth in 2026, projecting revenue of $16.0 billion and adjusted EPS of $8.20, as demand from major customers remains robust.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CLS) stock is a Buy with a C$428.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celestica stock, see the TSE:CLS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025