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Cameco (TSE:CCO)
:CCO
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Cameco (CCO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CCO

Cameco

(NYSE:CCO)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$129.00
▼(-13.41% Downside)
Cameco's strong financial performance and strategic positioning in the nuclear market are the most significant factors driving its stock score. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and technical indicators present mixed signals. Despite these challenges, the company's robust cash flow and strategic opportunities in the nuclear sector provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Cameco's consistent revenue growth reflects its strong market position and ability to capitalize on increasing demand for nuclear energy, supporting long-term financial stability.
Strategic Positioning
Cameco's strategic positioning in the nuclear market ensures it remains a critical supplier, benefiting from global nuclear energy trends and long-term demand.
Strong Balance Sheet
A robust balance sheet with ample liquidity and low leverage provides Cameco with financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather industry challenges.
Negative Factors
Production Risks
Production risks at key sites could impact Cameco's ability to meet output targets, affecting revenue and operational efficiency in the long term.
Uranium Market Demand Uncertainty
Uncertainty in uranium market demand and contracting could lead to supply-demand imbalances, impacting Cameco's future sales and pricing power.
Transportation Uncertainty
Transportation and geopolitical risks affecting JV Inkai deliveries could disrupt supply chains, impacting Cameco's ability to fulfill contracts and maintain revenue streams.

Cameco (CCO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cameco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCameco Corporation produces and sells uranium. It operates through two segments, Uranium and Fuel Services. The Uranium segment is involved in the exploration for, mining, and milling, as well as purchase and sale of uranium concentrate. The Fuel Services segment engages in the refining, conversion, and fabrication of uranium concentrate, as well as the purchase and sale of conversion services. This segment also produces fuel bundles or reactor components for CANDU reactors. The company sells its uranium and fuel services to nuclear utilities in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Cameco Corporation was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCameco generates revenue primarily through the sale of uranium and conversion services. Its key revenue streams include long-term contracts with utilities, spot market sales of uranium, and revenues from its joint ventures and partnerships in uranium mining. The company benefits from long-term supply agreements, which provide stable cash flow and mitigate market volatility. Additionally, Cameco engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its production capabilities and reduce operational risks. Factors contributing to its earnings include global demand for nuclear energy, regulatory frameworks supporting nuclear power, and fluctuations in uranium prices.

Cameco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights Cameco's strong financial performance, strategic positioning, and growth prospects in the nuclear market. However, there are significant challenges related to production risks and uncertainties in uranium market demand and transportation. The sentiment is balanced with optimism about future opportunities.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance by Westinghouse
Cameco's 49% share of Westinghouse's adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between USD 525 million and USD 580 million, driven by a USD 170 million increase in Q2 revenue.
Increased Long-term Uranium Prices
Long-term uranium prices are near decade-long highs, indicating strong market conditions and demand for nuclear energy.
Strategic Positioning in the Nuclear Market
Cameco is recognized as a key player in the nuclear fuel supply chain with significant uranium resources and strategic investments, positioning it well for future demand.
Strong Balance Sheet
Cameco reports a strong financial position with $716 million in cash and cash equivalents, $1 billion in total debt, and a $1 billion undrawn revolving credit facility.
Potential Growth Opportunities for Westinghouse
Numerous international projects, including reactors in Poland, Czech Republic, and the U.S., indicate significant growth opportunities for Westinghouse.
Negative Updates
Production Risks at McArthur River
Challenges in new mining areas, labor availability, and equipment commissioning pose risks to meeting the 18 million pounds annual production target.
Uranium Market Demand Delays
Contracting activity has been low, with utilities consuming more uranium than they are contracting, which may result in future supply uncertainties.
Transportation Uncertainty for Inkai Deliveries
Deliveries from JV Inkai in Kazakhstan remain uncertain due to transportation and geopolitical risks, with expected shipments yet to commence.
Company Guidance
During the Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, Cameco Corporation shared guidance highlighting its strong financial performance and strategic positioning within the nuclear industry. The company reported improved expectations for 2025, driven by a rise in market prices and a notable increase in its share of Westinghouse's adjusted EBITDA, projected between USD 525 million and USD 580 million. This improvement was largely attributed to Westinghouse's participation in a Czech Republic nuclear project, contributing an additional USD 170 million to revenue. Despite challenges, Cameco maintained its production guidance, expecting McArthur River/Key Lake and Cigar Lake to each produce 18 million pounds and JV Inkai in Kazakhstan to produce 8.3 million pounds on a 100% basis. The company underscored its disciplined marketing strategy, emphasizing long-term contracting to mitigate market vulnerabilities, while maintaining a strong balance sheet with $716 million in cash and equivalents, $1 billion in debt, and an undrawn $1 billion revolving credit facility.

Cameco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cameco demonstrates strong financial health with robust growth and profitability in its income statement, a stable balance sheet with low leverage, and excellent cash generation capabilities. The company is well-positioned for continued growth and stability in the uranium industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Cameco's income statement shows strong revenue growth with an 8.46% increase in TTM, supported by a solid gross profit margin of 29.47%. The net profit margin improved significantly to 14.94%, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 22.75% and 31.39% respectively, reflecting efficient operations. Overall, the company demonstrates strong growth and profitability trends.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is moderate at 8.27%, showing decent profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio stands at 70.36%, highlighting a strong equity base. The company maintains a healthy financial position with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cameco's cash flow statement shows a significant free cash flow growth of 33.36% in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 1.90, suggesting efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.78 further supports the company's ability to generate cash relative to its earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.57B3.14B2.59B1.87B1.47B1.80B
Gross Profit1.27B1.06B781.99M410.67M232.71M370.09M
EBITDA956.15M789.34M502.89M196.32M96.50M184.21M
Net Income533.55M171.85M360.85M89.38M-102.58M-53.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.58B9.91B9.93B8.63B7.52B7.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments716.29M600.46M566.81M2.28B1.33B943.37M
Total Debt1.01B1.30B1.79B1.08B1.02B1.01B
Total Liabilities2.84B3.54B3.84B2.80B2.67B2.62B
Stockholders Equity6.74B6.36B6.09B5.84B4.85B4.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow836.14M604.84M493.71M122.30M320.53M-86.12M
Operating Cash Flow1.09B816.47M647.34M265.75M419.31M-8.66M
Investing Cash Flow-257.92M-206.44M-2.04B-1.29B-80.30M-101.03M
Financing Cash Flow-491.72M-599.60M789.61M908.11M-7.79M-32.44M

Cameco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price148.98
Price Trends
50DMA
114.76
Positive
100DMA
107.53
Positive
200DMA
87.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.96
Negative
RSI
74.51
Negative
STOCH
55.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 148.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 122.53, above the 50-day MA of 114.76, and above the 200-day MA of 87.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.51 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CCO.

Cameco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
C$64.86B121.568.09%0.11%34.68%106.82%
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
$7.05B-35.99-17.01%-318.29%
$3.85B-14.63%
$760.40M339.81-0.66%14.29%-116.45%
C$199.82M-4.56%72.48%
C$785.84M-8.77-22.78%29.59%-86.53%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CCO
Cameco
148.98
73.93
98.51%
TSE:DML
Denison Mines
4.29
1.31
43.96%
TSE:EU
enCore Energy
4.40
-1.09
-19.85%
TSE:NXE
NexGen Energy
13.26
2.97
28.86%
TSE:URC
Uranium Royalty Corp
6.79
2.77
68.91%
TSE:SASK
Atha Energy Corp.
0.78
0.07
9.86%

Cameco Corporate Events

Cameco Secures Long-Term UF6 Supply Deal with Slovenské elektrárne
Sep 15, 2025

Cameco Corporation announced on September 12, 2025, a new long-term agreement to supply natural uranium hexafluoride (UF6) to Slovenské elektrárne for its nuclear power plants in Slovakia, effective through 2036. This agreement marks a strategic addition to Cameco’s global commercial portfolio, enhancing energy security in Slovakia by providing a stable and reliable supply of uranium fuel. The deal is significant for Slovenské elektrárne as it diversifies its suppliers and reduces dependency on a single source, ensuring the smooth operation of its nuclear facilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCO) stock is a Buy with a C$102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cameco stock, see the TSE:CCO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Cameco Secures Long-Term Uranium Supply Deal with Slovenské elektrárne
Positive
Sep 12, 2025

Cameco has entered into a long-term agreement to supply natural uranium hexafluoride (UF6) to Slovenské elektrárne for its nuclear power plants in Slovakia, expected to last until 2036. This agreement marks a strategic move for Cameco, expanding its market reach and enhancing energy security in Slovakia by providing a stable and reliable supply of uranium fuel, which is crucial for the country’s nuclear power operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCO) stock is a Buy with a C$102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cameco stock, see the TSE:CCO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Cameco Adjusts 2025 Production Forecast Amid McArthur River Delays
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

Cameco announced a revision to its 2025 production plans due to development delays at the McArthur River mine, which are expected to impact its production forecast. However, strong performance at the Cigar Lake mine may partially offset this shortfall. The company remains strategically positioned to manage these disruptions and meet delivery commitments, with options to source uranium through various means, including inventory and spot market purchases. This flexibility, combined with favorable market prices, positions Cameco to potentially benefit from increased uranium value in the future.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCO) stock is a Buy with a C$115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cameco stock, see the TSE:CCO Stock Forecast page.

Cameco’s Earnings Call: Positive Outlook Amid Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

Cameco’s recent earnings call conveyed a slightly positive sentiment, underscored by strong financial performance and promising opportunities in the global nuclear expansion, particularly through its partnership with Westinghouse. Despite these positive aspects, the company acknowledged operational risks and challenges, especially in production and transportation, which need careful management. Overall, the sentiment leans towards optimism due to the outweighing opportunities and Cameco’s robust market position.

Cameco Reports Strong Q2 Earnings, Positive Outlook
Aug 1, 2025

Cameco Corporation is a leading global provider of uranium fuel, essential for nuclear power generation, with significant investments in the nuclear fuel cycle, including ownership interests in Westinghouse Electric Company. The company is headquartered in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada, and its shares are traded on the Toronto and New York stock exchanges.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cameco Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results, Boosted by Westinghouse Investment
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Cameco reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with significant earnings growth driven by its uranium, fuel services, and Westinghouse segments. The company’s long-term contracting strategy and investment in Westinghouse, particularly in the Czech Republic’s Dukovany power plant project, have improved its 2025 outlook. Cameco’s integrated strategy and market positioning are expected to capitalize on the growing global support for nuclear energy, enhancing its operational plans and future growth opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCO) stock is a Buy with a C$52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cameco stock, see the TSE:CCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025