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AtkinsRealis (TSE:ATRL)
TSX:ATRL

AtkinsRealis (ATRL) AI Stock Analysis

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AtkinsRealis

(TSX:ATRL)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$106.00
▲(10.91%Upside)
AtkinsRealis benefits from strong technical indicators and positive corporate events, supporting future growth prospects. However, concerns about operational efficiency and high valuation metrics pose risks. The stock's recent price momentum and strategic initiatives in Nuclear provide a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
The acquisition of a 70% stake in engineering services firm David Evans is viewed positively both strategically and financially, aligning well with ATRL's U.S. Land & Expand strategy and significantly bolstering ATRL's Western U.S. presence.
Financial Performance
AtkinsRéalis Services segment Q4/24 adj. EBIT was ~8% above consensus.
Sale of Stake
The sale of AtkinsRealis's 6.76% equity stake in Highway 407 ETR is transformational for the company's balance sheet, putting it in a net cash position of $1.24 billion.
Negative Factors
Automotive Sector
Negative sentiment was observed on the automotive sector.
Project Management
Q4/24 PS&PM EBITDA missed consensus, and 2025 CFO guidance is weaker than expected.
User Growth
Continued weakness in monthly active user growth is expected.

AtkinsRealis (ATRL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

AtkinsRealis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtkinsRealis (ATRL) is a leading global engineering and project management consultancy that operates primarily in the infrastructure, transportation, energy, and water sectors. The company provides a wide range of services including engineering design, project management, consulting, and advisory services aimed at delivering sustainable and innovative solutions for complex projects. By leveraging its expertise and global reach, AtkinsRealis supports clients in developing, managing, and maintaining infrastructure assets worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtkinsRealis makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes consultancy fees, project management contracts, and engineering services. The company generates income by providing end-to-end solutions for infrastructure development and management, often engaging in long-term contracts with governmental, private, and public sector clients. Key revenue streams include design and advisory services, where the company applies its engineering expertise to help clients plan and execute projects efficiently. Additionally, AtkinsRealis benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with industry leaders, enhancing its ability to secure large-scale projects and expand its market presence. The company's focus on sustainable and innovative solutions also positions it favorably in sectors experiencing growth due to increased investment in infrastructure and environmental resilience.

AtkinsRealis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 25.86%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of significant achievements, particularly in the Nuclear segment with record growth and backlog, and challenges, notably in the Engineering Services and specific regional markets. The strong performance in key areas such as Nuclear and Linxon, along with positive cash flow and a robust balance sheet, offer a positive outlook. However, the declines in certain segments and regions temper the overall sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Organic Revenue Growth in AtkinsRéalis Services
AtkinsRéalis Services experienced significant organic revenue growth of 10% to $2.5 billion.
Record High Nuclear Revenue
Nuclear revenue grew 77% organically to a quarterly record high of $538 million.
Linxon Revenue Increase
Linxon revenue organically grew 36%, continuing its strong volume momentum from 2024.
Backlog Growth
AtkinsRéalis achieved a 32% increase in backlog over the prior year, driven by growth in the Nuclear and Engineering Services sectors.
Positive Operating Cash Flow
The company reported $39 million of positive operating cash flow this quarter.
Strong Balance Sheet
The balance sheet remains strong with a 1.1 times net leverage ratio at the low end of the long-term target range.
Increased Full Year Nuclear Revenue Outlook
The full year revenue outlook for Nuclear was raised to a range of $1.9 billion to $2 billion.
Negative Updates
Decline in Engineering Services Revenue
Engineering Services regions revenue organically declined 4% to $1.7 billion.
Challenges in Canadian Market
Revenue in Canada declined 14% organically in the first quarter, mainly due to the completion of a large project in 2024.
Revenue Decline in AMEA
Revenue in AMEA declined 9% on an organic basis, with a 12% decrease in backlog versus Q1 2024.
Decrease in US Revenue
US revenue organically declined 1% year-over-year, due to a decrease in the global Minerals and Metals sector.
Company Guidance
During the AtkinsRéalis First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported strong financial metrics, including a 10% organic revenue growth to $2.5 billion in the AtkinsRéalis Services, with Nuclear revenue surging 77% to a record $538 million. The Engineering Services regions, however, faced a 4% decline to $1.7 billion. The company achieved a 20% increase in adjusted EBIT to $224 million, contributing to a positive operating cash flow of $39 million and maintaining a net leverage ratio of 1.1 times. A significant backlog growth of 32% was noted, driven by Nuclear and Engineering Services, with a total backlog reaching $20.4 billion, a 31% increase year-over-year. The company's strategic focus remains on infrastructure and energy transition projects, highlighted by contracts for nuclear reactor life extensions and significant transportation projects in North America and the UK. The Nuclear business raised its full-year revenue guidance to $1.9 billion to $2 billion, anticipating further growth with a projected annual revenue of $2.2 billion to $2.5 billion by 2027.

AtkinsRealis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AtkinsRealis shows strong revenue growth and improved gross profit margins. However, declining EBIT indicates operational efficiency issues, and fluctuating return on equity suggests inconsistent profitability. The balance sheet is stable, but cash flow volatility remains a concern.
Income Statement
70
Positive
AtkinsRealis has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over recent years, with a notable increase in gross profit margin, indicating improved cost management. However, the company has faced challenges with EBIT, showing a decline in profitability from core operations recently. The net profit margin has improved, but the inconsistency in EBIT signals operational efficiency issues that could affect future profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of AtkinsRealis is solid with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid foundation of assets relative to equity. However, the return on equity has shown variability, suggesting fluctuating profitability returns to shareholders.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend in free cash flow growth, reflecting improved cash management. Operating cash flow has shown improvement, supporting net income, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains volatile, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
9.67B8.63B7.55B7.37B7.01B
Gross Profit
844.84M766.00M413.11M489.31M125.35M
EBIT
569.79M506.62M195.78M235.27M-185.90M
EBITDA
768.97M752.00M283.59M383.82M-14.32M
Net Income Common Stockholders
283.87M287.21M9.75M666.56M-965.45M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
805.85M540.64M645.06M680.24M1.08B
Total Assets
11.29B10.17B9.46B9.88B10.34B
Total Debt
2.20B2.37B2.49B2.16B2.50B
Net Debt
1.53B1.90B1.92B1.55B1.57B
Total Liabilities
7.50B6.99B6.58B6.88B7.77B
Stockholders Equity
3.77B3.16B2.87B2.97B2.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
365.86M-25.82M-355.19M27.91M45.66M
Operating Cash Flow
525.78M65.96M-245.36M134.20M121.48M
Investing Cash Flow
70.27M9.48M-82.47M-263.71M-185.12M
Financing Cash Flow
-408.35M-170.91M283.12M-192.53M-190.43M

AtkinsRealis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price95.57
Price Trends
50DMA
78.62
Positive
100DMA
74.65
Positive
200DMA
70.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.48
Positive
RSI
76.72
Negative
STOCH
84.69
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATRL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 95.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 91.36, above the 50-day MA of 78.62, and above the 200-day MA of 70.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 76.72 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.69 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ATRL.

AtkinsRealis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSBDT
81
Outperform
C$1.56B15.5626.31%3.01%16.14%27.71%
TSWSP
77
Outperform
C$35.67B49.739.42%0.55%16.77%21.38%
TSSTN
76
Outperform
$16.73B43.3713.13%0.61%15.62%9.66%
76
Outperform
$16.58B54.428.66%0.08%12.05%1.32%
74
Outperform
$1.55B23.1919.89%1.67%10.97%24.27%
66
Neutral
$4.49B12.225.40%3.71%4.17%-11.97%
TSARE
55
Neutral
C$1.23B-9.26%3.89%1.70%-154.73%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATRL
AtkinsRealis
93.73
35.04
59.70%
TSE:STN
Stantec
145.31
33.13
29.53%
TSE:BDGI
Badger Infrastructure Solutions
45.84
4.44
10.71%
TSE:BDT
Bird Construction
27.47
1.81
7.05%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
19.20
3.35
21.14%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
272.57
65.26
31.48%

AtkinsRealis Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
AtkinsRéalis Finalizes Sale of Highway 407 ETR Stake, Boosting Financial Flexibility
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

AtkinsRéalis has completed the sale of its remaining 6.76% interest in Highway 407 ETR, generating approximately $2.6 billion in total proceeds. This transaction allows the company to repay a $400 million loan and align with its capital allocation priorities, which include reducing debt, pursuing growth through acquisitions, and returning capital to shareholders, thereby enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Buy with a C$68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AtkinsRéalis Achieves Record Q1 2025 Results with Strong Nuclear Growth
Positive
May 15, 2025

AtkinsRéalis reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with significant increases in revenue, Segment Adjusted EBIT, and diluted earnings per share. The company’s backlog reached record-high levels, driven by robust demand in its Engineering Services Regions, Nuclear, and Linxon segments. The nuclear segment, in particular, saw a substantial increase in revenue and backlog, highlighting the company’s strong market positioning in this area. The acquisition of David Evans and the integration of its team further bolster AtkinsRéalis’ capabilities and workforce. The company also raised its full-year 2025 revenue outlook for the nuclear segment, reflecting continued confidence in market demand.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATRL) stock is a Buy with a C$64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AtkinsRealis stock, see the TSE:ATRL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.