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AtkinsRealis (TSE:ATRL)
TSX:ATRL
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AtkinsRealis (ATRL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ATRL

AtkinsRealis

(TSX:ATRL)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$93.00
▲(10.50% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/24/26
The score is primarily supported by improving fundamentals (strong multi-year revenue growth, reduced leverage, and a return to solid positive free cash flow). It is held back by weaker technical positioning (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a mixed valuation profile (high P/E partially offset by a very high dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
The substantial multi-year increase in revenue indicates expanding business activity across AtkinsRéalis’s engineering, infrastructure, energy, buildings, defense, and nuclear markets. Continued scale can support broader client relationships, staff utilization, and recurring project opportunities over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile Profitability
Large fluctuations in reported margins reduce confidence that recent profitability fully reflects repeatable operating performance. If earnings remain influenced by volatile or non-recurring items, forecasting results and assessing sustainable returns over the next several quarters becomes more difficult.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
The substantial multi-year increase in revenue indicates expanding business activity across AtkinsRéalis’s engineering, infrastructure, energy, buildings, defense, and nuclear markets. Continued scale can support broader client relationships, staff utilization, and recurring project opportunities over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

AtkinsRealis (ATRL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

AtkinsRealis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AtkinsRéalis Group Inc., founded in 1911 and headquartered in Montreal, Canada, provides extensive professional services, project management, and capital investment solutions worldwide. Its operations span the United Kingdom, Canada, the United St...
How the Company Makes Money
AtkinsRéalis primarily makes money by providing fee-based engineering and project-related services to public- and private-sector clients. Its revenue model is largely contract-driven and includes (1) professional services fees for consulting, engi...

AtkinsRealis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational and financial progress: record revenues and backlog, robust cash generation, material EPS improvement, and major nuclear contract wins. Management highlighted margin expansion initiatives, strategic acquisitions, an investment-grade balance sheet after monetizing Highway 407, and a confident 2026 outlook for Engineering Services and Nuclear. Key negatives center on legacy LSTK project closeouts causing notable near-term cash and EBIT drag, higher transformation costs, and some regional/sector softness (U.S. minerals & metals, Middle East reprioritization). Overall, the positive indicators (record metrics, cash, backlog, nuclear momentum, improved margins and EPS) substantially outweigh the limited, mostly one-time or transitional lowlights.
Positive Updates
Record Annual Revenue for AtkinsRealis Services
AtkinsRealis Services generated record revenue of $11.0 billion in 2025, up 16% organic growth year-over-year with an approximate 10% segment adjusted EBIT-to-segment revenue ratio.
Negative Updates
LSTK Legacy Project Closeout Drag
LSTK projects produced negative full-year EBIT (-$112 million) and negative net cash of $25 million in 2025. Management expects LSTK cash flows to be negative $100 million to $150 million in 2026 while completing legacy light rail transit closeouts and settling final accounts and claims.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Annual Revenue for AtkinsRealis Services
AtkinsRealis Services generated record revenue of $11.0 billion in 2025, up 16% organic growth year-over-year with an approximate 10% segment adjusted EBIT-to-segment revenue ratio.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company’s 2026 guidance calls for Engineering Services regions organic revenue growth of 5%–7% with a segment adjusted EBITDA-to-net-revenue margin of 16.5%–17.5% (with EBITDA more weighted to H2), Nuclear revenues of approximately $2.5 billion with adjusted EBIT margin ~11%–12% (implying segment adjusted EBITDA in the mid‑20% range), corporate SG&A of $125–135 million, CapEx of $175–200 million, net cash from operating activities of ~ $500 million, LSTK cash flow drag of roughly negative $100–150 million, and an expected 2026 effective tax rate nearer the statutory 25%–30%; longer‑term targets were updated to Engineering Services organic CAGR 2025–27 of 5%–7% and Nuclear revenue of $2.6–3.0 billion by 2027 with adjusted EBIT-to-revenue targeted at 11%–13% (long‑term 12%–14%).

AtkinsRealis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are improving overall: revenue has expanded materially (about $7.3B in 2021 to $11.7B TTM), leverage has de-risked with debt falling to about $1.32B TTM and debt/equity down to ~0.25x, and free cash flow has turned positive (about $518M TTM). Offsetting this, profitability/returns show large swings (suggesting uneven earnings quality), and cash conversion lags with free cash flow only covering roughly two-thirds of TTM net income.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.72B10.96B9.57B8.53B7.47B7.29B
Gross Profit924.41M822.29M665.27M574.53M251.22M-122.17M
EBITDA1.01B3.45B693.40M673.37M283.59M383.82M
Net Income430.24M2.63B283.87M287.21M9.75M666.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.46B12.53B11.29B10.28B9.46B9.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments884.02M1.17B679.01M486.63M599.35M628.04M
Total Debt1.32B1.72B2.20B2.37B2.49B2.16B
Total Liabilities6.99B6.96B7.50B6.99B6.58B6.88B
Stockholders Equity5.39B5.50B3.77B3.28B2.87B2.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow517.52M284.70M365.86M-25.82M-355.19M27.91M
Operating Cash Flow705.15M461.28M525.78M65.96M-245.36M134.20M
Investing Cash Flow-218.88M1.96B70.27M9.48M-82.47M-263.71M
Financing Cash Flow-635.37M-1.93B-408.35M-170.91M283.12M-192.53M

AtkinsRealis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price84.16
Price Trends
50DMA
87.57
Negative
100DMA
87.29
Negative
200DMA
89.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.60
Negative
RSI
53.32
Neutral
STOCH
80.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATRL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 84.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.01, below the 50-day MA of 87.57, and below the 200-day MA of 89.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:ATRL.

AtkinsRealis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$11.44B22.9815.26%0.92%9.97%15.80%
72
Outperform
C$25.19B26.549.52%0.80%10.24%14.12%
71
Outperform
C$3.89B65.0413.41%1.20%7.38%-39.80%
67
Neutral
C$13.96B33.317.89%0.09%14.82%-82.14%
64
Neutral
C$2.84B28.6424.14%0.91%16.24%10.17%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
C$3.09B-49.52-6.76%1.70%21.48%-323.81%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATRL
AtkinsRealis
87.28
-6.35
-6.79%
TSE:STN
Stantec
101.78
-45.61
-30.95%
TSE:BDGI
Badger Infrastructure Solutions
84.46
27.39
48.00%
TSE:ARE
Aecon Group Inc.
45.06
24.70
121.36%
TSE:BDT
Bird Construction
70.24
44.62
174.15%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
186.86
-90.74
-32.69%

AtkinsRealis Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
AtkinsRéalis lifts nuclear outlook as Q2 results hit record EBITDA
Positive
Aug 6, 2026
AtkinsRéalis reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $3.0 billion, up 10% year over year, with Segment Adjusted EBIT also rising 10% and Adjusted EBITDA hitting a quarterly record high of $292.9 million. The company’s Engineering Servic...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 24, 2026