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Great-West Lifeco (TSE:GWO)
TSX:GWO
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Great-West Lifeco (GWO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GWO

Great-West Lifeco

(TSX:GWO)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$67.00
▲(11.85% Upside)
Great-West Lifeco's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings growth and positive technical indicators. The company's robust financial performance and strategic initiatives, such as increased share buybacks, enhance its attractiveness. While valuation metrics are favorable, attention to cost management and potential regulatory impacts are areas to watch.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.
Strong Segment Performance
Diverse segment growth enhances resilience and reduces reliance on any single market, strengthening the company's competitive position.
Cash Flow and Buybacks
Increasing share buybacks reflects strong cash flow and financial flexibility, indicating confidence in future earnings and shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Declining Margins
Decreasing margins suggest potential inefficiencies or rising costs, which could pressure profitability if not addressed.
Volatility in Mortality Experience
Volatility in mortality experience can lead to unpredictable insurance results, impacting earnings stability and forecasting accuracy.
Potential Regulatory Impact
Regulatory changes increasing tax rates could reduce net earnings, affecting profitability and strategic financial planning.

Great-West Lifeco (GWO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Great-West Lifeco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreat-West Lifeco Inc. (GWO) is a Canadian publicly traded company that operates in the financial services sector, primarily focusing on insurance and asset management. It is a subsidiary of Power Corporation of Canada and provides a diverse range of products and services, including life insurance, health insurance, retirement savings, and investment management solutions. The company serves individual, group, and institutional clients across Canada, the United States, and Europe, leveraging a strong network of distribution channels to deliver tailored financial solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreat-West Lifeco generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from premiums collected on insurance products, fees from asset management services, and investment income. The company offers various life and health insurance policies, which provide a steady inflow of premium revenues. Additionally, it manages mutual funds and other investment products, earning management fees based on assets under management. Significant partnerships with financial advisors, brokerages, and institutional clients enhance its distribution capabilities and contribute to its earnings. Investment income, derived from the company's portfolio of bonds, stocks, and other financial instruments, further bolsters its revenue, especially in favorable market conditions.

Great-West Lifeco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record base earnings and significant growth across all segments. The increase in share buyback targets and robust performance in Empower and Capital and Risk Solutions further underscore a positive outlook. However, potential impacts from the Canadian federal budget and volatility in mortality experience present some challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Base Earnings and Return on Equity
Great-West Lifeco achieved record base earnings up 15% year-over-year and a base return on equity of 17.7%, highlighting strong financial performance.
Strong Segment Performance
All four business segments showed earnings growth, with double-digit growth in the U.S., Europe, and Capital and Risk Solutions, and mid-single-digit growth in Canada.
Increase in Share Buyback Target
The company announced an increase in its 2025 share buyback target by $500 million to $1.5 billion, reflecting strong cash flow and financial flexibility.
Capital and Risk Solutions Growth
Base earnings for Capital and Risk Solutions rose 20% year-over-year, driven by strong deal closures and a 36% increase in run-rate insurance results.
Empower's Milestone and Growth
Empower's Wealth business crossed USD 100 billion in client assets, and recorded net inflows of USD 3.4 billion, a 43% increase over the previous year.
Negative Updates
Potential Impact of Canadian Federal Budget
The Canadian budget proposal may increase the effective tax rate on base earnings by 0.5 percentage points, potentially impacting earnings by about 1%.
Volatility in Mortality Experience
The company experienced volatility in mortality experience this year, affecting quarterly insurance results.
Company Guidance
During the Great-West Lifeco Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported record base earnings, which increased by 15% year-over-year, achieving a base return on equity of 17.7%. All four business segments achieved earnings growth, with double-digit growth in the U.S., Europe, and Capital and Risk Solutions, and mid-single-digit growth in Canada. Great-West Lifeco also repurchased nearly $1 billion in common shares and plans to increase the total 2025 target buyback by $500 million to $1.5 billion. Additionally, the U.S. Retirement business reported net plan inflows of USD 30 billion, while Empower's Wealth business reached a milestone of USD 100 billion in client assets. The company maintained strong capital and leverage ratios, with a LICAT ratio of 131% and a cash balance of $2.5 billion, positioning it well for future growth and potential M&A opportunities.

Great-West Lifeco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Great-West Lifeco demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and efficient equity utilization. The company has shown resilience with a positive revenue growth trajectory in the TTM period. However, there are concerns regarding declining EBIT and EBITDA margins and a slight decrease in free cash flow, which may require attention to cost management and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Great-West Lifeco shows strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 83.48% and a net profit margin of 17.35%. The company has demonstrated a positive revenue growth rate of 8.22% in the TTM period, indicating a recovery from previous declines. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting potential cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is stable at 0.32, reflecting a conservative leverage position. Return on equity is healthy at 14.11%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a high reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.49, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow has declined slightly, with a negative growth rate of -1.15% in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains stable at 1.0, showing consistent cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue41.10B17.22B25.27B44.70B64.45B60.60B
Gross Profit23.35B17.22B25.27B44.70B64.45B60.60B
EBITDA5.22B5.93B4.00B3.72B4.74B3.82B
Net Income3.86B4.07B2.87B3.73B3.26B3.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets814.84B802.16B713.23B701.46B630.49B600.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.54B24.71B19.38B18.84B17.23B7.95B
Total Debt9.29B10.23B9.65B11.29B9.73B10.71B
Total Liabilities782.15B771.01B683.38B669.14B600.00B573.48B
Stockholders Equity29.54B29.54B26.84B29.01B27.22B24.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.28B4.75B5.20B7.05B10.37B9.61B
Operating Cash Flow4.28B4.75B5.20B7.05B10.37B9.61B
Investing Cash Flow-103.00M-408.00M-786.00M-5.49B-11.21B-8.20B
Financing Cash Flow-2.71B-2.29B-3.55B-620.00M-992.00M2.01B

Great-West Lifeco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price59.90
Price Trends
50DMA
56.67
Positive
100DMA
54.23
Positive
200DMA
52.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.95
Positive
RSI
62.75
Neutral
STOCH
61.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GWO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 59.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.01, above the 50-day MA of 56.67, and above the 200-day MA of 52.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GWO.

Great-West Lifeco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$46.18B15.5711.96%3.95%-19.88%-13.92%
76
Outperform
C$54.79B14.8615.09%3.98%-20.64%14.88%
76
Outperform
C$42.38B15.4512.07%3.57%11.56%1.15%
75
Outperform
$52.87B7.5818.65%0.98%10.08%24.18%
73
Outperform
C$15.47B15.5114.34%2.29%-25.13%16.40%
72
Outperform
$79.58B15.0211.57%3.67%9.37%32.06%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
59.90
13.28
28.48%
TSE:MFC
Manulife Financial
46.85
3.50
8.07%
TSE:SLF
Sun Life Financial
82.12
2.52
3.16%
TSE:FFH
Fairfax Financial Holdings
2,210.63
369.66
20.08%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
161.33
36.43
29.16%
TSE:POW
Power Corp of Canada
67.14
22.68
51.00%

Great-West Lifeco Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Great-West Lifeco Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings and Expands Share Buybacks
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Great-West Lifeco Inc. reported significant financial growth in Q3 2025, with base earnings rising by 15% to $1.23 billion and net earnings increasing by 35% to $1.16 billion compared to the previous year. This performance was driven by strong growth in its U.S., Europe, and Capital and Risk Solutions businesses, supported by favorable market conditions and strategic business transformations. The company plans to increase share buybacks to $1.5 billion for the year, highlighting its robust capital generation and financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GWO) stock is a Buy with a C$65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great-West Lifeco stock, see the TSE:GWO Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Great-West Lifeco to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 22, 2025

Great-West Lifeco Inc. will release its third quarter 2025 financial results after market close on November 5, with a conference call scheduled for November 6 to discuss the results. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning in the financial services industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GWO) stock is a Hold with a C$53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great-West Lifeco stock, see the TSE:GWO Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Great-West Lifeco Completes $200 Million Series Z Preferred Shares Offering
Positive
Sep 24, 2025

Great-West Lifeco has successfully completed its offering of 8 million Series Z Preferred Shares, raising $200 million in gross proceeds. The shares, which will trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol GWO.PR.Z, were offered through a syndicate of underwriters led by BMO Capital Markets, RBC Capital Markets, and Scotiabank. This move is expected to strengthen Great-West Lifeco’s financial position and enhance its market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GWO) stock is a Buy with a C$59.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great-West Lifeco stock, see the TSE:GWO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Great-West Lifeco Launches C$150 Million Preferred Shares Offering
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

Great-West Lifeco announced an agreement with a syndicate of underwriters to issue 6,000,000 Non-Cumulative First Preferred Shares, Series Z, at C$25.00 per share, raising C$150 million. The offering, which may increase to C$200 million if an option to purchase additional shares is exercised, is intended for general corporate purposes and is expected to close on or about September 24, 2025. This move is part of Lifeco’s strategy to strengthen its financial position and enhance its market presence in the financial services industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GWO) stock is a Hold with a C$56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great-West Lifeco stock, see the TSE:GWO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great-West Lifeco’s CEO to Engage in Virtual Fireside Chat
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

Great-West Lifeco Inc. announced that Edmund F. Murphy, President and CEO of Empower, will participate in a virtual fireside chat with TD Cowen’s Senior Equity Analyst, William Katz, on September 15, 2025. This event highlights the company’s engagement with financial analysts and stakeholders, potentially impacting its market visibility and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GWO) stock is a Buy with a C$62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great-West Lifeco stock, see the TSE:GWO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Great-West Lifeco Appoints New Chief Investment Officer
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

Great-West Lifeco has appointed John Melvin as Chief Investment Officer, effective October 1, 2025. With over 30 years of investment experience, Melvin will focus on enhancing investment capabilities and identifying new growth opportunities, reflecting the company’s commitment to strengthening its leadership and supporting strategic objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GWO) stock is a Buy with a C$62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great-West Lifeco stock, see the TSE:GWO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Great-West Lifeco Doubles Share Repurchase Limit in Strategic Move
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

Great-West Lifeco Inc. announced amendments to its normal course issuer bid (NCIB), increasing the maximum number of common shares that can be repurchased from 20 million to 40 million. The Toronto Stock Exchange approved an amendment allowing Lifeco to purchase shares from Power Financial Corporation to maintain its proportionate interest. This move supports Lifeco’s strategic plan to repurchase an additional $500 million in shares in 2025, enhancing shareholder value and maintaining market stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GWO) stock is a Buy with a C$62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great-West Lifeco stock, see the TSE:GWO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great-West Lifeco CFO to Present at Barclays Conference
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

Great-West Lifeco announced that its Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Jon Nielsen, will present at the Barclays Global Financial Services Conference on September 8, 2025. This participation highlights the company’s active engagement in the financial services industry and may provide insights into its strategic direction and financial outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GWO) stock is a Buy with a C$62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great-West Lifeco stock, see the TSE:GWO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great-West Lifeco CEO to Present at Scotiabank Financials Summit
Neutral
Aug 25, 2025

Great-West Lifeco announced that its President and CEO, David Harney, will speak at the Scotiabank Financials Summit on September 4, 2025. This engagement highlights the company’s active participation in industry events, potentially enhancing its visibility and influence within the financial sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GWO) stock is a Buy with a C$62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great-West Lifeco stock, see the TSE:GWO Stock Forecast page.

Great-West Lifeco’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Aug 8, 2025

Great-West Lifeco’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health and strategic execution, marked by record base earnings and substantial growth in key segments like Empower and Group Benefits. Despite some challenges, such as the exit from the U.S. traditional life reinsurance market and credit-related impacts, the overall sentiment was positive, underscoring the company’s solid financial standing.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025