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Bank Of Nova Scotia (TSE:BNS)
TSX:BNS
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Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BNS

Bank Of Nova Scotia

(TSX:BNS)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:―
The Bank of Nova Scotia's stock is supported by strong financial performance, reasonable valuation, and strategic initiatives highlighted in the recent earnings call. Despite technical indicators suggesting caution with some bearish momentum, the bank's robust dividend yield and solid financial foundation offer resilience against market fluctuations. Key risks include high leverage and credit loss provisions, but the bank's strategic focus on growth and risk management provides an optimistic outlook.
Positive Factors
Negative Factors

Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Bank Of Nova Scotia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Bank of Nova Scotia provides various banking products and services in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Peru, Chile, Colombia, the Caribbean and Central America, and internationally. It operates in four segments: Canadian Banking, International Banking, Global Wealth Management, and Global Banking and Markets. The company offers financial advice and solutions, and day-to-day banking products, including debit and credit cards, chequing and saving accounts, investments, mortgages, loans, and insurance to individuals; and business banking solutions comprising lending, deposit, cash management, and trade finance solutions to small, medium, and large businesses, including automotive financing solutions to dealers and their customers. It also provides wealth management advice and solutions, including online brokerage, mobile investment, full-service brokerage, trust, private banking, and private investment counsel services; and retail mutual funds, exchange traded funds, liquid alternative funds, and institutional funds. In addition, the company offers international banking services for retail, corporate, and commercial customers; and lending and transaction, investment banking advisory, and capital markets access services to corporate customers. Further, it provides online, mobile, and telephone banking services. The company operates a network of 954 branches and approximately 3,766 automated banking machines in Canada; and approximately 1,300 branches and a network of contact and support center internationally. The Bank of Nova Scotia was founded in 1832 and is headquartered in Halifax, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyScotiabank generates revenue through various streams, primarily from its core banking services. Personal and commercial banking forms a significant portion of its earnings, which includes interest income from loans and mortgages, and fees from accounts and transactions. The wealth management division contributes through advisory services, management fees, and investment products. Corporate and investment banking provides income through underwriting, advisory fees, and trading activities. Additionally, the bank earns from its international operations, which diversify its revenue sources and mitigate country-specific risks. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions also play a critical role in expanding its market reach and enhancing profitability.

Bank Of Nova Scotia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 02, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights a strong performance across multiple segments, with significant earnings growth and strategic advancements in Global Wealth Management and Global Banking and Markets. However, challenges remain, particularly in Canadian Banking and the global credit environment. The bank's focus on capital optimization and strategic investments positions it well for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
The Bank of Nova Scotia delivered adjusted earnings of $2.5 billion or $1.88 per share, up 15% year over year, with pre-tax pre-provision earnings up 17% year over year. Return on equity was 12.4%, up 110 basis points compared to the previous year.
Canadian Banking Improvement
Improved results in Canadian Banking due to better credit performance and revenue growth with a 6% year-over-year increase in retail savings and deposits.
Global Wealth Management Momentum
Global Wealth Management showed strong results with net fund inflows of $6.2 billion year to date, an $11.2 billion improvement compared to the previous year. Canadian Wealth Management saw double-digit loan and deposit growth.
International Banking Profitability
International Banking reported a Q3 return on equity of 15%, up 180 basis points year over year, with earnings up 21% year over year in international wealth business.
Global Banking and Markets Success
Strong trading revenues and advisory fees in Global Banking and Markets, with the U.S. contributing 42% of GBM earnings in Q3. Record high M&A fees and strong trading-related revenues, up 50% year to date.
Capital and Liquidity Optimization
CET1 ratio improved to 13.3% with strong internal capital generation. The loan-to-deposit ratio improved to 104%, and the wholesale funding to total assets ratio decreased significantly.
Negative Updates
Credit Performance Caution
While there were improvements in impaired PCLs, the operating environment remains challenging with trade uncertainty and macroeconomic pressures. Retail PCLs showed signs of stress, particularly in younger clients.
Canadian Banking Challenges
Canadian Banking reported earnings were down 2% year over year, and year-to-date operating leverage was negative 2.2% due to increased technology costs and strategic investments.
International Banking Loan Contraction
Loans in International Banking were down 3% year over year, with business loans declining 8%, despite an overall improved revenue growth.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 call, The Bank of Nova Scotia provided detailed guidance on several key financial metrics, highlighting strong performance and strategic initiatives. Adjusted earnings for the quarter were reported at $2.5 billion, or $1.88 per share, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase. The return on equity rose to 12.4%, up 110 basis points from the previous year. Additionally, the bank achieved a pre-tax pre-provision earnings growth of 17% year over year. The impaired PCL ratio improved to 51 basis points, a decrease of six basis points quarter over quarter, indicating better credit performance. The Canadian Banking segment posted a sequential margin expansion of two basis points, with retail savings and deposits up 6% year over year. The Mortgage Plus initiative contributed significantly to new mortgage originations, with 95% of clients retaining their day-to-day accounts after one year. Global Wealth Management and International Banking segments also demonstrated robust growth, with the latter delivering a Q3 return on equity of 15%, up 180 basis points year over year. The bank's CET1 ratio stood at 13.3%, following the repurchase of 3.2 million shares. Overall, the bank is focused on optimizing capital and liquidity while maintaining strong balance sheet metrics, setting the stage for continued earnings growth into 2025.

Bank Of Nova Scotia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Bank of Nova Scotia maintains a robust financial position with strong revenue growth and stable cash flows. While profitability margins appear pressured, the bank's solid equity base and cash flow suggest resilience. However, high leverage remains a strategic focus area to mitigate potential financial risks in fluctuating market conditions.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The Bank of Nova Scotia has shown stable revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in total revenue for the TTM compared to previous years. However, the net profit margin has been fluctuating, and the EBIT margin for the TTM is lower compared to historical figures, indicating some operational challenges. Overall, the income statement reflects steady revenue growth but with potential profitability pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is characterized by strong equity, with a relatively stable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is moderate, reflecting a solid foundation amidst high total assets. However, the total debt remains high, which could pose risks if economic conditions change unfavorably. The bank's strong equity position provides a cushion, but leveraging remains an area to watch.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The Bank of Nova Scotia demonstrates a strong cash flow position, with a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio and consistent operating cash flow. The free cash flow has grown, indicating efficient capital management. The discrepancy between operating cash flow and net income ratio suggests solid cash generation capabilities, which is a positive indicator of liquidity and financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue73.86B29.48B31.79B31.15B30.91B31.29B
Gross Profit22.13B29.56B31.79B31.15B30.91B31.29B
EBITDA11.17B10.56B0.0014.20B14.00B9.70B
Net Income7.21B7.76B7.41B9.92B9.62B6.78B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41T1.41T1.41T1.35T1.18T1.14T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments191.81B108.17B140.83B119.31B120.05B116.50B
Total Debt484.05B300.67B313.81B310.86B245.66B7.41B
Total Liabilities1.33T1.33T1.33T1.27T1.11T1.07T
Stockholders Equity83.80B82.37B76.93B73.22B70.80B68.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.47B15.16B31.28B16.37B-13.27B55.89B
Operating Cash Flow18.79B15.65B11.47B16.94B-12.81B56.66B
Investing Cash Flow-9.31B-7.45B-30.04B-11.29B14.70B-56.46B
Financing Cash Flow-6.97B-8.84B16.71B-4.58B-2.78B28.13B

Bank Of Nova Scotia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price89.60
Price Trends
50DMA
80.87
Positive
100DMA
76.35
Positive
200DMA
73.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.60
Positive
RSI
83.01
Negative
STOCH
77.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BNS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 89.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.79, above the 50-day MA of 80.87, and above the 200-day MA of 73.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 83.01 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BNS.

Bank Of Nova Scotia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
104.59B13.5312.99%3.39%-0.39%20.28%
78
Outperform
59.60B14.760.00%3.00%9.25%0.34%
75
Outperform
285.41B15.3314.13%2.91%3.48%17.81%
74
Outperform
128.85B15.7410.06%3.87%1.78%32.32%
74
Outperform
185.04B9.2716.66%3.85%7.92%175.59%
71
Outperform
$111.32B16.618.64%6.09%-2.54%-6.66%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
89.60
20.90
30.42%
BMO
Bank Of Montreal
130.32
44.34
51.57%
CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
81.59
22.69
38.52%
RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
147.26
28.26
23.75%
TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
78.63
17.79
29.24%
NTIOF
National Bank of Canada
110.26
19.33
21.26%

Bank Of Nova Scotia Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Scotiabank Projects $62 Million Earnings Contribution from KeyCorp
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

Scotiabank announced an expected net income contribution of CAD $62 million from its ownership interest in KeyCorp for Q2 2025, reflecting its share of KeyCorp’s Q1 2025 net income. After adjusting for amortization of acquired intangible assets, the adjusted net income contribution is projected to be CAD $71 million. This announcement highlights Scotiabank’s strategic investments and their impact on its financial performance, indicating a positive contribution to its earnings from KeyCorp.

Spark’s Take on TSE:BNS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:BNS is a Neutral.

The Bank of Nova Scotia shows a stable financial position with strong revenue growth and cash flow, providing resilience despite profitability pressures. The stock’s reasonable valuation and high dividend yield add attractiveness, while technical indicators suggest caution with bearish momentum. Strategic advancements are notable, but elevated credit loss provisions and macroeconomic uncertainties remain risks.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:BNS stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Scotiabank Reports Q1 Earnings Amid Strategic Portfolio Adjustments
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

Scotiabank reported a significant drop in its first-quarter net income to $993 million, primarily due to a $1,355 million impairment loss from the sale of its banking operations in Colombia, Costa Rica, and Panama. Despite this, the bank’s adjusted net income rose to $2,362 million, with strong performances in Global Wealth Management and Global Banking and Markets. The bank continues to focus on its North American markets and simplifying its international portfolio, as evidenced by recent strategic moves.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Scotiabank Declares Dividend and Updates Share Purchase Plan
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

Scotiabank has announced a dividend of $1.06 per share on its outstanding common shares, payable on April 28, 2025, to shareholders recorded by April 1, 2025. The bank has decided to continue purchasing common shares on the open market rather than issuing new shares from its treasury, with all associated costs covered by the bank. This decision reflects Scotiabank’s strategic approach to managing shareholder value and market operations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2025