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Track Group Inc (TRCK)
OTHER OTC:TRCK
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Track Group (TRCK) AI Stock Analysis

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TRCK

Track Group

(OTC:TRCK)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$0.67
▲(2.77% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/25/26
The score is driven by mixed financial quality and leverage risk despite a strong reported net income rebound, while the stock appears very cheap on P/E. Technicals are largely neutral with a slightly negative MACD, and the recent financing-related reorganization modestly highlights ongoing balance-sheet dependence.
Positive Factors
Recurring Government-Supervision Revenue
Recurring monitoring fees can provide a durable revenue base because agencies require ongoing supervision services. This model may support customer retention and visibility when contracts, deployments, and monitored populations remain stable.
Negative Factors
Thin Core Operating Profitability
Very limited EBIT profitability leaves little buffer against pricing pressure, cost inflation, or execution problems. Slightly declining revenue further challenges operating leverage and makes sustained earnings improvement dependent on stronger margins or renewed growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring Government-Supervision Revenue
Recurring monitoring fees can provide a durable revenue base because agencies require ongoing supervision services. This model may support customer retention and visibility when contracts, deployments, and monitored populations remain stable.
Read all positive factors

Track Group (TRCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Track Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Track Group, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, specializes in the development, production, and global distribution of advanced location tracking devices. Its diverse product portfolio encompasses hardware solutions like the ReliAlert XC4, a GPS m...
How the Company Makes Money
Track Group primarily makes money by selling and servicing electronic monitoring and related supervision solutions to government and law-enforcement customers. Revenue is generally generated through (1) recurring service fees for monitored individ...

Track Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a mixed rebound: headline TTM net income is strong, but operating profitability is thin (EBIT margin under 1%) and revenue is slightly down. Cash flow is positive (TTM FCF ~$4.4M) but does not fully match reported earnings, and the balance sheet remains pressured with debt (~$18.9M) exceeding equity (~$16.4M), raising durability and leverage risk.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue36.25M35.22M36.89M34.48M36.97M39.66M
Gross Profit16.32M16.80M16.60M15.30M17.35M21.11M
EBITDA4.41M4.43M2.88M4.02M780.13K10.65M
Net Income21.46M-1.88M-3.08M-3.39M-7.39M3.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.88M40.30M37.67M40.24M44.68M53.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.39M4.10M3.57M4.06M5.31M8.42M
Total Debt18.91M43.45M42.95M43.51M44.01M44.14M
Total Liabilities26.49M51.85M49.28M48.74M49.74M51.15M
Stockholders Equity16.40M-11.54M-11.61M-8.49M-5.05M2.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.36M1.38M3.09M-687.40K-2.26M314.49K
Operating Cash Flow5.71M4.27M4.91M3.88M802.96K4.82M
Investing Cash Flow-5.38M-4.38M-3.84M-4.56M-3.06M-4.51M
Financing Cash Flow3.18M-11.40K-365.07K-511.47K-515.50K1.38M

Track Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.65
Price Trends
50DMA
0.67
Negative
100DMA
0.63
Negative
200DMA
0.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
48.94
Neutral
STOCH
62.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRCK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.63, below the 50-day MA of 0.67, and above the 200-day MA of 0.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRCK.

Track Group Risk Analysis

Track Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Track Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Track Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$25.14M1.02-5.51%1.10%
50
Neutral
$62.29M-3.94-29.36%430.52%90.43%
40
Underperform
$2.70M-0.10-171.94%17.67%92.17%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRCK
Track Group
0.62
0.31
98.40%
WATT
Energous
11.31
3.42
43.35%
IMTE
Integrated Media Technology
0.47
-0.41
-46.48%
SOBR
SOBR Safe
0.49
-2.87
-85.39%
OST
Ostin Technology Group Co., Ltd.
1.70
-0.04
-2.31%

Track Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Track Group Forms New Holding Subsidiary for Financing
Positive
Aug 24, 2026
On August 18, 2026, Track Group, Inc. formed Track Group Holdings, LLC as a wholly owned subsidiary and contributed all of its equity interests in Track Group Americas, Track Group Analytics, Track Group – Puerto Rico, and Emerge Monitoring ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 25, 2026