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Tootsie Roll (TR)
NYSE:TR
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Tootsie Roll (TR) AI Stock Analysis

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TR

Tootsie Roll

(NYSE:TR)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$42.00
â–²(1.67% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:09/06/26
TR scores as a financially high-quality but currently mixed setup: excellent balance sheet strength and solid margins are the biggest positives, while contracting TTM revenue and weaker free cash flow reduce the financial momentum. Technically, the stock is trading below major moving averages with weak momentum, and valuation looks relatively rich versus the recent growth/cash-flow trend; the Mexico acquisition is a modest positive catalyst.
Positive Factors
Exceptional balance-sheet strength
Minimal leverage gives Tootsie Roll substantial financial resilience and flexibility. The company can support operations, invest in brands, or pursue expansion without relying heavily on debt, while steady returns on equity show profitability is not being driven by financial leverage.
Negative Factors
Contracting revenue
The decline in trailing revenue signals weaker recent demand or product and channel performance across the confectionery business. Sustained contraction would reduce operating leverage, limit reinvestment capacity, and make it harder for the company to compound earnings without a recovery in sales.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Exceptional balance-sheet strength
Minimal leverage gives Tootsie Roll substantial financial resilience and flexibility. The company can support operations, invest in brands, or pursue expansion without relying heavily on debt, while steady returns on equity show profitability is not being driven by financial leverage.
Read all positive factors

Tootsie Roll Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Shows how much revenue comes from each product or product group (e.g., Tootsie Rolls, Pops, Dots, Junior Mints, gum and seasonal items) and how sales are split across major lines. Reveals concentration in flagship brands, differences in pricing power and margins by product type, exposure to commodity and seasonal swings, and whether new products or marketing are shifting the sales mix — all useful for judging growth potential and downside risk.
Chart InsightsProduct revenue is highly seasonal and concentrated in Q3 (holiday/back-to-school), making annual results hinge on executing seasonal demand and retailer relationships; Q3 peaks expanded through 2021–2023 but have since been volatile (a 2024 dip and partial 2025 recovery), signaling sensitivity to promotion, supply or channel execution. Rental & royalty income is a steady, slowly rising but immaterial supplemental stream that won’t meaningfully offset product cyclicality.
Data provided by:The Fly

Tootsie Roll (TR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tootsie Roll Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. is a long-standing confectionery business that produces and markets a wide variety of sweet treats. Its operations extend across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and numerous other countries worldwide. The company i...
How the Company Makes Money
Tootsie Roll makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling branded confectionery products to customers in the food distribution ecosystem. Its core revenue stream is net product sales generated from shipments of candy (e.g., chewy and hard ca...

Tootsie Roll Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong underlying quality driven by robust profitability (TTM gross margin ~34.9%, net margin ~13.0%) and an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.014). The main offsets are weaker momentum (TTM revenue down ~11.8%) and a notable decline in free cash flow (FCF down ~18.9% TTM, ~64% of net income), which temper the near-term outlook.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue734.74M732.52M723.22M769.37M686.97M570.78M
Gross Profit256.32M260.27M253.18M256.84M232.73M199.24M
EBITDA149.83M156.75M145.56M138.47M115.91M103.34M
Net Income95.46M100.05M86.83M91.91M75.94M65.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.27B1.25B1.15B1.08B1.02B1.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments141.12M177.03M194.63M171.42M149.40M145.81M
Total Debt16.16M13.88M14.79M15.89M13.29M15.86M
Total Liabilities317.81M313.41M276.77M261.28M235.90M249.82M
Stockholders Equity952.27M940.97M870.74M823.42M783.17M769.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow80.16M96.35M120.89M67.81M48.70M53.87M
Operating Cash Flow124.67M130.61M138.89M94.61M72.05M85.30M
Investing Cash Flow-153.81M-110.55M-35.84M-14.20M-68.59M-91.90M
Financing Cash Flow-30.40M-32.55M-39.15M-58.18M-56.40M-54.15M

Tootsie Roll Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price41.31
Price Trends
50DMA
39.61
Negative
100DMA
39.69
Negative
200DMA
39.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
37.58
Neutral
STOCH
12.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 41.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.47, above the 50-day MA of 39.61, and above the 200-day MA of 39.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TR.

Tootsie Roll Risk Analysis

Tootsie Roll disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tootsie Roll reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tootsie Roll Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.57B31.925.40%3.83%-4.69%-39.51%
67
Neutral
$2.92B29.7310.15%0.93%1.65%5.45%
66
Neutral
$78.21B22.6613.47%3.25%6.93%-0.53%
63
Neutral
$34.79B23.4832.20%3.30%7.69%-2.62%
63
Neutral
$2.05B-43.35-4.08%1.76%1.95%-257.17%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
50
Neutral
$9.30M-1.43-100.52%0.14%-7.81%-1.41%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TR
Tootsie Roll
38.65
0.69
1.83%
HSY
The Hershey Company
173.27
-6.90
-3.83%
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods
83.46
-19.61
-19.02%
RMCF
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory
0.92
-0.58
-38.60%
MDLZ
Mondelez International
61.63
1.45
2.41%
UTZ
UTZ Brands
14.21
1.55
12.27%

Tootsie Roll Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Tootsie Roll expands Mexican presence with Klass acquisition
Positive
Sep 1, 2026
On September 1, 2026, Tutsi, S.A. de C.V., a subsidiary of Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc., completed the acquisition of the confectionery business of The Klass Company in Mexico, including the Winis brand. This transaction is intended to strengthen...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026