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Texas Pacific Land (TPL) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q1, 2026
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Mar 31, 2026, filed May 06, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1Our estimated proved developed producing ("PDP") reserves are based on many assumptions that may prove to be inaccurate. Any inaccuracies in these estimates or underlying assumptions may materially affect the quantities and present value of our reserves.
It is not possible to measure underground accumulations of oil, gas, and NGL with precision. Oil and gas reserve engineering requires subjective estimates of underground accumulations of oil and gas and assumptions concerning future oil and gas prices, production levels, ultimate recoveries and operating and development costs. In estimating our PDP reserves, we and Ryder Scott Company, L.P. ("Ryder Scott"), an independent third-party petroleum engineering firm, must make various assumptions with respect to many matters that may prove to be incorrect, including: - future oil, gas, and NGL prices;- unexpected complications from offset well development;- production rates;- reservoir pressures, decline rates, drainage areas and reservoir limits;- interpretation of subsurface conditions including geological and geophysical data;- potential for water encroachment or mechanical failures;- levels and timing of capital expenditures, lease operating expenses, production taxes and income taxes, and availability of funds for such expenditures; and - effects of government regulation. If any of these assumptions prove to be incorrect, our estimates of PDP reserves, the classifications of reserves based on risk of recovery and our estimates of the future net cash flows from our reserves could change significantly. Estimates of our proved, developed and producing reserves and related valuations as of December 31, 2025 were prepared by Ryder Scott, which conducted a well-by-well review of all wells in which we have a mineral or royalty interest for the period covered by its reserve report using information provided by us. Over time, we may make material changes to reserve estimates. Some of our reserve estimates were made without the benefit of a lengthy production history, which are less reliable than estimates based on a lengthy production history. Our reserve estimates could differ materially from those reserve estimates of operators developing on our acreage. Numerous changes over time to the assumptions on which our reserve estimates are based, as described above, may result in the actual quantities of oil and gas that are ultimately recovered being different from our reserve estimates.
Risk Highlights Q1, 2026
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 22
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1We will evaluate whether to repurchase our outstanding Common Stock in the future and we cannot guarantee the timing or amount of share repurchases, if any.
On November 1, 2022, our Board approved a stock repurchase program, which became effective January 1, 2023, to purchase up to an aggregate of $250.0 million of our outstanding Common Stock. During the year ended December 31, 2025, the Company repurchased 27,000 outstanding shares of Common Stock for an aggregate purchase price of $8.4 million, which repurchased shares were placed in treasury. The Company opportunistically repurchases stock under the stock repurchase program with funds generated by cash from operations. The stock repurchase program may be suspended from time to time, modified, extended or discontinued by the Board at any time. Any future repurchase under the stock repurchase program will be within the discretion of our Board and will depend upon many factors, including market and business conditions, the trading price of our Common Stock, available cash and cash flow, capital requirements and the nature of other investment opportunities.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2The issuance of additional Common Stock in the future would dilute other stockholders.
Holders of our Common Stock could be diluted because of equity issuances for proposed acquisitions or capital market transactions or equity awards proposed to be granted to our directors, officers and employees subject to any required vote of holders of our Common Stock under our amended and restated certificate of incorporation and our amended and restated bylaws ("the Bylaws"). We may issue stock-based awards, including annual awards, new hire awards and periodic retention awards, as applicable, to our directors, officers and other employees under any employee benefits plans we have adopted or may adopt, using newly issued shares rather than treasury shares as is currently our practice. In addition, our amended and restated certificate of incorporation authorizes us to issue, without the approval of our stockholders, one or more series of preferred stock having such designations, powers, preferences, privileges and relative, participating, optional and special rights, and qualifications, limitations and restrictions as the Board may generally determine in its sole discretion. The terms of one or more classes or series of preferred stock could dilute the voting power or reduce the value of our Common Stock. For example, we could grant the holders of preferred stock the right to elect members of the Board or to veto specified transactions. Similarly, the repurchase or redemption rights or liquidation preferences that we could assign to holders of preferred stock could affect the residual value of our Common Stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3State law and anti-takeover provisions could enable our Board to resist a takeover attempt by a third party and limit the power of our stockholders.
Our amended and restated certificate of incorporation, Bylaws and Delaware law contain provisions that are intended to deter coercive takeover practices and inadequate takeover bids and to encourage prospective acquirers to negotiate with our Board rather than to attempt a hostile takeover. These provisions include, among others: (a) the ability of our remaining directors to fill vacancies on our Board; (b) the ability of our Board to adopt, amend or repeal bylaws; (c) rules regarding how stockholders may present proposals or nominate directors for election at stockholder meetings; and (d) the right of our Board to issue preferred stock without stockholder approval. In addition, we are subject to Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law, as amended ("DGCL"), which could have the effect of delaying or preventing a change of control that you may favor. Section 203 provides that, subject to limited exceptions, persons that acquire, or are affiliated with persons that acquire, more than 15% of the outstanding voting stock of a Delaware corporation may not engage in a business combination with that corporation, including by merger, consolidation or acquisitions of additional shares, for a three-year period following the date on which that person or any of its affiliates becomes the holder of more than 15% of the corporation's outstanding voting stock. We believe these provisions protect our stockholders from coercive or otherwise unfair takeover tactics by requiring potential acquirers to negotiate with our Board and by providing our Board with more time to assess any acquisition proposal. These provisions are not intended to make the Company immune from takeovers; however, these provisions apply even if the offer may be considered beneficial by some stockholders and could delay or prevent an acquisition that our Board determines is not in the best interests of the Company and its stockholders. These provisions may also prevent or discourage attempts to remove and replace incumbent directors.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4Our amended and restated certificate of incorporation designates the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware or the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Texas as the sole and exclusive forums for certain types of actions and proceedings that may be initiated by our stockholders, which could discourage lawsuits against the Company and our directors and officers.
Our amended and restated certificate of incorporation provides that unless the Company otherwise determines, the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware (or, if such court does not have jurisdiction, any state or federal court residing within the State of Delaware) or the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Texas in Dallas, Texas (or, if such court does not have jurisdiction, any district court in Dallas County in the State of Texas) will be the sole and exclusive forums for any derivative action brought on our behalf, any action asserting a claim of breach of a fiduciary duty owed by any of our current or former directors, officers, employees or stockholders, any action or proceeding asserting a claim against us or any of our directors, officers, employees or agents arising pursuant to, or seeking to enforce any right, obligation or remedy under any provision of the DGCL, the laws of the State of Texas, the laws of the State of New York, our amended and restated certificate of incorporation or our Bylaws or any action asserting a claim against us or any of our directors, officers, employees or agents governed by the internal affairs doctrine, in each such case, subject to the applicable court having personal jurisdiction over the indispensable parties named as defendants in such action or proceeding. Our amended and restated certificate of incorporation also provides that unless our Board otherwise determines, the federal district courts of the United States will be the sole and exclusive forum for the resolution of any complaint asserting a cause of action arising under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"). To the fullest extent permitted by law, this exclusive forum provision will apply to state and federal law claims, including claims under the federal securities laws, including the Securities Act and the Exchange Act, although our stockholders will not be deemed to have waived our compliance with the federal securities laws and the rules and regulations thereunder. The enforceability of similar exclusive forum provisions in other companies' certificates of incorporation has been challenged in legal proceedings, and it is possible that, in connection with one or more actions or proceedings described above, a court could rule that one or more parts of the exclusive forum provision in our amended and restated certificate of incorporation is inapplicable or unenforceable. This exclusive forum provision may limit the ability of our stockholders to bring a claim in a judicial forum that such stockholders find favorable for disputes with the Company or our directors or officers, which may discourage such lawsuits against the Company and our directors and officers. Alternatively, if a court were to find this exclusive forum provision inapplicable to, or unenforceable in respect of, one or more of the specified types of actions or proceedings described above, we may incur additional costs associated with resolving such matters in other jurisdictions, which could negatively affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5The market price of our Common Stock may fluctuate significantly.
The market price of our Common Stock may fluctuate significantly due to a number of factors, some of which may be beyond our control, including, but not limited to: - actual or anticipated fluctuations in our results of operations due to factors related to our business;- our quarterly or annual earnings, or those of other companies in our industry;- changes to the regulatory and legal environment under which we operate;- changes in accounting standards, policies, guidance, interpretations or principles;- reports issued by securities analysts;- changes in earnings estimates by securities analysts or our ability to meet those estimates;- the operating and stock price performance of other comparable companies;- investor perception of our Company and our industry;- actual or anticipated fluctuations in commodities prices; and - domestic and worldwide economic and geopolitical conditions.
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