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TechPrecision (TPCS) AI Stock Analysis

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TPCS

TechPrecision

(NASDAQ:TPCS)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:$6.00â–²(12.15% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/30/26

The overall score is constrained mainly by structurally weak profitability, high leverage, and fragile, often negative free cash flow, which create a risk-heavy financial foundation despite modest revenue growth. This is balanced by a solid operational turnaround story in the latest quarter, featuring strong top-line and gross profit growth, a sizable backlog, cost controls, and active debt reduction that could improve the outlook if execution continues. Valuation remains dependent on future earnings recovery rather than current profits, and technical signals point to a longer-term uptrend with near-term neutral-to-soft momentum, while supportive governance and incentive changes add a modest positive but do not materially change the risk-reward profile.

Positive Factors
Broad-based revenue growthGrowth across both operating subsidiaries indicates improving demand rather than reliance on a single business unit. Sustained program activity can strengthen fixed-cost absorption, support higher utilization, and provide a foundation for improved earnings as execution and throughput continue to improve.
Negative Factors
Persistent unprofitable operationsDespite improving revenue and operating cash flow, TechPrecision has not yet established consistent profitability or positive free cash flow. Continued losses can constrain reinvestment and debt repayment, while capital spending needs may keep the company dependent on financing.

TechPrecision Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Operating Income by SegmentShows profit generated by each business unit after operating costs, revealing which parts of TechPrecision are truly profitable and which are dragging overall margins. For investors, stable or rising segment operating income points to durable profit drivers; declining figures warn of margin pressure or inefficiency.

-$4.00M-$3.00M-$2.00M-$1.00M$0.00$1.00M$2.00MJun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Ranor is the clear profit engine — consistent operating income plus recently funded grants and backlog give multi‑year visibility — while Stadco is a volatile, recurring drag driven by legacy contracts, delays and rework that can erase consolidated progress. Corporate shows large one‑time swings that mask true operating momentum. With cash precarious and management emphasizing tight cash controls, converting Ranor’s backlog into steady revenue and fixing or de‑risking Stadco are the critical levers for sustainable profitability.

Data provided by:The Fly

TechPrecision (TPCS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-20%0%20%40%TPCS+17.07%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$54.04M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
36.27K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-42.7
Beta (1Y)
1.22
Revenue Growth
-0.19%
EPS Growth
38.34%
Country
US
Employees
160
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication

TechPrecision Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TechPrecision Corporation, along with its associated entities, specializes in the production and supply of highly precise, fabricated, and machined metal structural components and complex systems throughout the United States. The company's operations...

How the Company Makes Money

TechPrecision makes money primarily by manufacturing and delivering precision-machined and fabricated components and assemblies under customer contracts. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) Build-to-print / contract manufacturing revenue from...

TechPrecision Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026(Q1-2027)|% Change Since:10.54%|Next Earnings Date:Aug 21, 2022
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a clear operational turnaround: double-digit top-line growth, meaningful gross profit expansion, a strong funded backlog and active debt reduction. Management has implemented tighter quoting, milestone and cost controls that are already yielding results and additional quoting opportunities. However, the company faces near-term liquidity constraints (low cash balance), a small net loss, ongoing profitability work at Stadco, supply-quality interruptions, and revenue concentration risk tied to Navy-funded programs. Overall, positives (growth, backlog, cost control and debt reduction) materially outweigh the challenges, but several execution and liquidity issues remain to be resolved.

Positive Updates

Strong Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenue of $9.1M in Q1 FY2027, up 23% YoY from $7.4M. Ranor revenue $5.5M (+27% YoY) and Stadco revenue $4.1M (+22% YoY), reflecting broad-based top-line improvement across both subsidiaries.

Negative Updates

Small Net Loss and Tight Liquidity
Net loss of approximately $153k for the quarter (≈$0.02 per share). Cash on hand declined to $279k from $431k on March 31, 2026 (down ~$152k, ~35.3%), indicating constrained near-term liquidity despite improved operating cash flow.

Company Guidance

Management said they remain on track to meet the fiscal 2027 guidance issued in June 2026, citing Q1 fiscal 2027 consolidated revenue of $9.1M (up 23% vs. $7.4M a year ago), consolidated gross profit of $1.4M (up 36% / +$400K), Ranor revenue of $5.5M (+27%) and Stadco revenue of $4.1M (+22%); they highlighted a funded backlog of $52M (plus ≈$22M unfunded) expected to be delivered over the next 1–3 fiscal years with gross‑margin expansion, more than $24M in U.S. Navy grants (noted as >50% of a $48M market cap), Stadco gross profit improvement of $300K (65%), consolidated SG&A down 3% to $1.4M, interest expense down 21%, a Q1 net loss of about $153K (≈$0.02 per share), net cash from operating and investing activities of $1.9M for the quarter, $2.0M cash used in financing (paying down revolver/term loans), total debt reduced to $5.0M (from $7.0M on March 31) and cash on hand of $279K (down from $431K).

TechPrecision Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue is slowly growing, but gross margins remain thin around the mid-teens, earnings are consistently negative, leverage is high, and cash generation and free cash flow are volatile and often negative, resulting in a weak and risk-heavy financial profile.

Income Statement

34Negative

Balance Sheet

41Neutral

Cash Flow

27Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Mar 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.36M31.64M34.03M31.59M31.43M22.28M
Gross Profit5.34M4.97M4.33M4.12M4.90M3.38M
EBITDA2.14M1.73M587.00K-2.16M1.79M218.91K
Net Income-1.22M-1.66M-2.75M-7.04M-979.01K-349.83K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.24M32.27M33.53M34.75M36.21M37.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments279.00K431.00K195.00K138.40K534.47K1.05M
Total Debt8.38M10.55M11.76M12.70M11.82M13.66M
Total Liabilities23.63M24.60M24.79M26.94M21.61M22.59M
Stockholders Equity7.61M7.67M8.74M7.80M14.59M15.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.19M-3.26M-4.72M-1.93M812.54K-681.16K
Operating Cash Flow1.26M6,000-599.00K1.30M3.14M257.84K
Investing Cash Flow-124.00K868.00K-1.08M-3.17M-2.32M-8.73M
Financing Cash Flow-998.00K-638.00K1.74M1.47M-1.34M7.40M

TechPrecision Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price5.35

Price Trends

50DMA5.48Negative
100DMA5.05Positive
200DMA4.51Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive
RSI46.80Neutral
STOCH47.78Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPCS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.48, below the 50-day MA of 5.48, and above the 200-day MA of 4.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TPCS.

TechPrecision Risk Analysis

TechPrecision disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TechPrecision reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

TechPrecision Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TPCS against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
APAP53Neutral$159.07M-2.63-152.73%―3.27%-1069.57%
TPCSTPCS50Neutral$54.04M-42.73-15.08%―-0.19%38.34%
HIHOHIHO45Neutral$3.87M-2.60-27.18%5.97%-25.75%-2160.65%
MTENMTEN42Neutral$6.53M-0.02-4.23%―406.85%58.48%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%TPCSAPHIHOMTENLNKSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TPCS and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TPCSTechprecision Corporation5.350.6513.83%
APAmpco-Pittsburgh Corporation7.705.67279.31%
HIHOHighway Holdings0.84-0.64-43.41%
MTENMingteng International Corp., Inc.0.85-555.15-99.85%
LNKSLinkers Industries Limited Class A0.59-121.91-99.52%

TechPrecision Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

TechPrecision Shareholders Approve Expanded Long-Term Equity Plan

Positive
Sep 29, 2026

On Sept. 2, 2026, TechPrecision Corporation’s board adopted an amendment and restatement of its 2016 Equity Incentive Plan, subject to shareholder approval, and on Sept. 29, 2026, stockholders formally approved the revised plan. The changes inc...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

TechPrecision Extends Revolving Credit Line Maturity Date

Neutral
Sep 21, 2026

On September 15, 2026, Ranor, Inc. and affiliated borrowers entered into a fifteenth amendment to their Amended and Restated Loan Agreement and related promissory note with Beacon Bank & Trust. The amendment extends the maturity date of TechPreci...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2026