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TechPrecision (TPCS) AI Stock Analysis

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TPCS

TechPrecision

(NASDAQ:TPCS)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:$5.00â–¼(-4.58% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/10/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, deeply negative free cash flow, and still-elevated leverage) and bearish technical conditions (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include a more positive earnings outlook (strong YoY growth, backlog/grants support, and debt reduction progress) and a refinancing that improves liquidity flexibility, but tight cash and execution risks remain significant.

Positive Factors
Funded BacklogThe substantial funded backlog provides multi-year demand visibility and supports production planning across the business. Its defense-related programs can underpin revenue continuity, while the additional unfunded orders offer potential upside if converted into funded work.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses and Negative Free Cash FlowThe company has not yet demonstrated durable earnings or self-funding cash generation. Continued operating losses alongside deeply negative free cash flow can consume balance-sheet capacity, constrain investment, and increase reliance on borrowing or other financing.

TechPrecision Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Operating Income by SegmentShows profit generated by each business unit after operating costs, revealing which parts of TechPrecision are truly profitable and which are dragging overall margins. For investors, stable or rising segment operating income points to durable profit drivers; declining figures warn of margin pressure or inefficiency.

-$4.00M-$3.00M-$2.00M-$1.00M$0.00$1.00M$2.00MJun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Ranor is the clear profit engine — consistent operating income plus recently funded grants and backlog give multi‑year visibility — while Stadco is a volatile, recurring drag driven by legacy contracts, delays and rework that can erase consolidated progress. Corporate shows large one‑time swings that mask true operating momentum. With cash precarious and management emphasizing tight cash controls, converting Ranor’s backlog into steady revenue and fixing or de‑risking Stadco are the critical levers for sustainable profitability.

Data provided by:The Fly

TechPrecision (TPCS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%TPCS+11.02%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$54.04M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
36.69K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-41.9
Beta (1Y)
1.31
Revenue Growth
-0.19%
EPS Growth
38.34%
Country
US
Employees
160
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication

TechPrecision Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TechPrecision Corporation, along with its associated entities, specializes in the production and supply of highly precise, fabricated, and machined metal structural components and complex systems throughout the United States. The company's operations...

How the Company Makes Money

TechPrecision makes money primarily by manufacturing and delivering precision-machined and fabricated components and assemblies under customer contracts. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) Build-to-print / contract manufacturing revenue from...

TechPrecision Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2026(Q1-2027)|% Change Since:8.26%|Next Earnings Date:Aug 22, 2022
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a clear operational turnaround: double-digit top-line growth, meaningful gross profit expansion, a strong funded backlog and active debt reduction. Management has implemented tighter quoting, milestone and cost controls that are already yielding results and additional quoting opportunities. However, the company faces near-term liquidity constraints (low cash balance), a small net loss, ongoing profitability work at Stadco, supply-quality interruptions, and revenue concentration risk tied to Navy-funded programs. Overall, positives (growth, backlog, cost control and debt reduction) materially outweigh the challenges, but several execution and liquidity issues remain to be resolved.

Positive Updates

Strong Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenue of $9.1M in Q1 FY2027, up 23% YoY from $7.4M. Ranor revenue $5.5M (+27% YoY) and Stadco revenue $4.1M (+22% YoY), reflecting broad-based top-line improvement across both subsidiaries.

Negative Updates

Small Net Loss and Tight Liquidity
Net loss of approximately $153k for the quarter (≈$0.02 per share). Cash on hand declined to $279k from $431k on March 31, 2026 (down ~$152k, ~35.3%), indicating constrained near-term liquidity despite improved operating cash flow.

Company Guidance

Management said they remain on track to meet the fiscal 2027 guidance issued in June 2026, citing Q1 fiscal 2027 consolidated revenue of $9.1M (up 23% vs. $7.4M a year ago), consolidated gross profit of $1.4M (up 36% / +$400K), Ranor revenue of $5.5M (+27%) and Stadco revenue of $4.1M (+22%); they highlighted a funded backlog of $52M (plus ≈$22M unfunded) expected to be delivered over the next 1–3 fiscal years with gross‑margin expansion, more than $24M in U.S. Navy grants (noted as >50% of a $48M market cap), Stadco gross profit improvement of $300K (65%), consolidated SG&A down 3% to $1.4M, interest expense down 21%, a Q1 net loss of about $153K (≈$0.02 per share), net cash from operating and investing activities of $1.9M for the quarter, $2.0M cash used in financing (paying down revolver/term loans), total debt reduced to $5.0M (from $7.0M on March 31) and cash on hand of $279K (down from $431K).

TechPrecision Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials point to a turnaround but not yet a durable, self-funding profile. TTM revenue rose to $33.4M (+5.4%) and operating cash flow is positive ($1.26M), but profitability remains negative (EBIT margin ~-1.9%, net margin ~-3.7%). Free cash flow is still deeply negative (-$3.19M), and leverage remains elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.10) despite improvement.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

44Neutral

Cash Flow

32Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Mar 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.36M31.64M34.03M31.59M31.43M22.28M
Gross Profit5.34M4.97M4.33M4.12M4.90M3.38M
EBITDA2.14M1.73M587.00K-2.16M1.79M218.91K
Net Income-1.22M-1.66M-2.75M-7.04M-979.01K-349.83K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.24M32.27M33.53M34.75M36.21M37.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments279.00K431.00K195.00K138.40K534.47K1.05M
Total Debt8.38M10.55M11.76M12.70M11.82M13.66M
Total Liabilities23.63M24.60M24.79M26.94M21.61M22.59M
Stockholders Equity7.61M7.67M8.74M7.80M14.59M15.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.19M-3.26M-4.72M-1.93M812.54K-681.16K
Operating Cash Flow1.26M6,000-599.00K1.30M3.14M257.84K
Investing Cash Flow-124.00K868.00K-1.08M-3.17M-2.32M-8.73M
Financing Cash Flow-998.00K-638.00K1.74M1.47M-1.34M7.40M

TechPrecision Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price5.24

Price Trends

50DMA5.41Negative
100DMA5.18Positive
200DMA4.52Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.06Positive
RSI47.13Neutral
STOCH55.69Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPCS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.31, below the 50-day MA of 5.41, and above the 200-day MA of 4.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPCS.

TechPrecision Risk Analysis

TechPrecision disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TechPrecision reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.We could be negatively affected as a result of a proxy contest and the actions of activist stockholders.Q1, 2024
2.We may pursue acquisitions and other strategic transactions and/or investments to compliment or expand our business that may not be successful.Q1, 2024
3.Our auditors have indicated that there is substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern.Q1, 2024

TechPrecision Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TPCS against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
APAP47Neutral$140.48M-2.62-178.13%―1.27%-968.82%
HIHOHIHO47Neutral$3.91M-2.64-27.18%5.88%-25.75%-2160.65%
TPCSTPCS46Neutral$54.04M-41.85-15.08%―-0.19%38.34%
MTENMTEN42Neutral$2.88M-0.01-4.23%―406.85%58.48%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%TPCSAPHIHOMTENLNKSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TPCS and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TPCSTechprecision Corporation5.240.7616.96%
APAmpco-Pittsburgh Corporation7.345.17238.25%
HIHOHighway Holdings0.85-0.51-37.27%
MTENMingteng International Corp., Inc.0.36-426.64-99.92%
LNKSLinkers Industries Limited Class A0.88-91.62-99.05%

TechPrecision Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing

TechPrecision Secures New Financing Facility Through Refinancing

Positive
Nov 9, 2026

On November 3, 2026, TechPrecision and its subsidiaries Ranor and Stadco entered a financing agreement with Rosenthal & Rosenthal for a $5.0 million revolving facility, a $1.5 million three-year term loan and a $3.5 million five-year term loan. The c...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

TechPrecision Extends Revolving Credit Facility Maturity Date

Neutral
Oct 28, 2026

TechPrecision’s subsidiary Ranor, Inc., together with affiliated borrowers, has maintained a revolving line of credit with Beacon Bank & Trust under an amended and restated loan agreement that originally set the facility’s maturity for October 16, 20...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

TechPrecision Shareholders Approve Expanded Long-Term Equity Plan

Positive
Sep 29, 2026

On Sept. 2, 2026, TechPrecision Corporation’s board adopted an amendment and restatement of its 2016 Equity Incentive Plan, subject to shareholder approval, and on Sept. 29, 2026, stockholders formally approved the revised plan. The changes increase...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

TechPrecision Extends Revolving Credit Line Maturity Date

Neutral
Sep 21, 2026

On September 15, 2026, Ranor, Inc. and affiliated borrowers entered into a fifteenth amendment to their Amended and Restated Loan Agreement and related promissory note with Beacon Bank & Trust. The amendment extends the maturity date of TechPrecision...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026