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TNL Mediagene (TNMG)
NASDAQ:TNMG
US Market
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TNL Mediagene (TNMG) AI Stock Analysis

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TNMG

TNL Mediagene

(NASDAQ:TNMG)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(417.24% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/15/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (deep losses, persistent cash burn, and a sharply eroded equity cushion with elevated leverage). Technicals also detract, as the stock trades below key moving averages with negative MACD. Valuation offers limited support because the company is loss-making (negative P/E) and there is no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Positive gross margin
The company still generates positive gross profit despite substantial operating and net losses, showing that its digital media and marketing offerings retain underlying economic value. If operating discipline improves, this gross-margin base could support future cost absorption and a path toward better profitability.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Consistently negative operating and free cash flow indicates that the business is not self-funding its operations or investment requirements. Ongoing cash burn can force additional financing, constrain strategic flexibility, and make recovery more difficult if losses persist over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Positive gross margin
The company still generates positive gross profit despite substantial operating and net losses, showing that its digital media and marketing offerings retain underlying economic value. If operating discipline improves, this gross-margin base could support future cost absorption and a path toward better profitability.
Read all positive factors

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TNL Mediagene Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
TNL Mediagene is a prominent media firm with operations spanning Taiwan and Japan. The company boasts an extensive portfolio of digital publications and platforms. These include general news outlets like The News Lens and Sirabee (covering enterta...
How the Company Makes Money
TNMG primarily generates revenue by monetizing its owned and operated digital media properties and by providing marketing solutions to advertisers. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) digital advertising sold against traffic and engagement ...

TNL Mediagene Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate a high-risk profile: volatile revenue with a sharp decline in 2025, very weak profitability with large operating losses and deeply negative net margins in 2024–2025, persistent negative operating/free cash flow (ongoing funding needs), and a materially weakened equity position that drove extremely high debt-to-equity in 2025. A still-positive gross margin is a partial offset but does not change the overall fragility.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.02M48.49M35.84M20.01M
Gross Profit13.98M17.74M12.65M7.74M
EBITDA-45.60M-73.92M1.33M-10.01M
Net Income-44.55M-85.00M-804.98K-11.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.95M92.92M119.62M26.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.91M3.65M3.03M3.91M
Total Debt21.62M23.14M17.59M6.71M
Total Liabilities49.03M56.51M47.25M50.67M
Stockholders Equity919.25K36.40M72.62M-25.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.30M-10.30M-1.68M-1.04M
Operating Cash Flow-4.90M-10.21M-1.42M-760.11K
Investing Cash Flow-897.27K947.95K252.74K-2.36M
Financing Cash Flow3.93M10.00M530.97K4.99M

TNL Mediagene Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.58
Price Trends
50DMA
3.67
Negative
100DMA
3.78
Negative
200DMA
9.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Positive
RSI
40.94
Neutral
STOCH
32.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TNMG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.54, below the 50-day MA of 3.67, and below the 200-day MA of 9.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TNMG.

TNL Mediagene Risk Analysis

TNL Mediagene disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TNL Mediagene reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TNL Mediagene Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
44
Neutral
$3.35M-2.98-20.50%―-55.14%86.77%
42
Neutral
$2.30M-0.02-249.02%―-7.16%71.12%
39
Underperform
$120.41K-0.02570.82%―-15.24%61.99%
31
Underperform
$3.27M-5.20-24.46%―1.56%86.27%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TNMG
TNL Mediagene
3.05
-51.35
-94.39%
CNET
ZW Data Action Technologies
0.86
-0.98
-53.28%
BAOS
Baosheng Media Group Holdings
0.16
-2.90
-94.67%
DRCT
Direct Digital Holdings
0.20
-80.32
-99.75%
VSME
VS Media Holdings Limited Class A
0.71
-18.49
-96.29%

TNL Mediagene Corporate Events

TNL Mediagene Regains Nasdaq Bid-Price Compliance but Faces Equity Deadline
Oct 16, 2026
TNL Mediagene, the Tokyo-based technology and digital media group listed on Nasdaq, offers AI-driven advertising, marketing technology, content commerce and data analytics services to brands and agencies across Asia. Its Japanese, Chinese and Engl...
TNL Mediagene Agrees Management Buyout of Japanese Operations
Oct 2, 2026
On September 30, 2026, TNL Mediagene entered into a definitive Share Purchase Agreement to sell all shares of its Japanese holding company, which owns Mediagene Inc. and Infobahn Inc., to MI Company Inc. for $5.5 million in a management buyout led...
TNL Mediagene Enacts 1-for-8 Reverse Split to Regain Nasdaq Compliance
Sep 3, 2026
On September 3, 2026, TNL Mediagene announced it will implement a 1-for-8 share consolidation of its ordinary shares, following shareholder approval on August 25 and board approval on August 27. The company’s shares are expected to begin tra...
TNL Mediagene Wins Conditional Nasdaq Listing Extension After Delisting Threat
Aug 25, 2026
On August 23, 2026, TNL Mediagene received a written decision from the Nasdaq Hearings Panel granting its request to remain listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market, following a hearing held on August 4, 2026. The continued listing is conditional on th...
TNL Mediagene Forms Special Committee to Review Strategic Options
Aug 3, 2026
On August 3, 2026, TNL Mediagene said its board had formed a special committee of independent directors to examine strategic transactions and alternatives, ranging from financing and recapitalization to potential mergers, business combinations or ...
TNL Mediagene Retires Convertible Notes and Ends 3i Financing Pact
Jul 29, 2026
On July 8, 2026, TNL Mediagene fully repaid its $1,666,667 senior convertible note issued to 3i, LP, including $150,000.03 of accrued interest, through a combination of cash and 3,381,700 ordinary shares. This repayment followed the earlier Novemb...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2026