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Tennant Co (TNC) AI Stock Analysis

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TNC

Tennant Co

(NYSE:TNC)

Select Model
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:$73.00â–¼(-3.31% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

The score is held back primarily by weakening profitability and, most importantly, deteriorated cash conversion (negative TTM free cash flow) alongside rising leverage trends. Support comes from a constructive earnings-call outlook with reaffirmed guidance and improving operational execution, plus moderately positive near-term technicals, but valuation remains a notable headwind given the high P/E and only modest yield.

Positive Factors
Recurring Aftermarket RevenueTennant's installed base supports repeat revenue from parts, consumables, repairs, and maintenance after the initial equipment sale. This recurring component can improve customer retention, increase revenue visibility, and provide a durable earnings stream alongside more cyclical capital-equipment demand.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash FlowRecent cash generation has deteriorated sharply from positive free cash flow in prior years, leaving earnings unsupported by internally generated cash. Persistent working-capital demands or elevated investment could reduce funding flexibility, increase reliance on borrowing, and constrain capital allocation over the coming quarters.

Tennant Co Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Net Sales by GeographyBreaks down sales by region (for example North America, EMEA, APAC), showing where Tennant is strongest and where it can expand. Geographic mix exposes currency and macro risks, regional demand cycles for commercial and industrial cleaning equipment, and potential growth markets that could drive future revenue.

$0.00$100.00M$200.00M$300.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 26
Chart Insights

Americas is the clear growth and volatility driver—after peaking in mid‑2024 it slid through 2025 then largely recovered by mid‑2026, suggesting a demand/seasonality cycle rather than structural decline. EMEA is steady with modest upside but a late‑2025 spike that looks like channel or timing noise. APAC remains small and erratic, limiting diversification. The company’s top‑line momentum and margin outlook hinge on sustaining Americas demand and clarifying whether EMEA gains are repeatable or one‑offs.

Data provided by:The Fly

Tennant Co (TNC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%TNC+6.40%SPY+12.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.28B
Dividend Yield
1.64%
Average Volume (3M)
189.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
56.3
Beta (1Y)
0.69
Revenue Growth
-0.40%
EPS Growth
-53.68%
Country
US
Employees
4,484
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Tennant Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tennant Company, a global entity operating its design, manufacturing, and marketing efforts across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific, specializes in sophisticated floor cleaning machinery. Its comprehensive portfolio enc...

How the Company Makes Money

Tennant primarily makes money by selling cleaning equipment (capital equipment) and by generating recurring aftermarket revenue tied to its installed base of machines. Key revenue streams include: (1) Sales of new equipment: Revenue from the sale of...

Tennant Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 02, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:9.85%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive. Management reported record third-quarter sales, strong order growth, improved normalized margins, substantially lower ERP-related inefficiencies, accelerating robotics revenue, continued product launches, and reaffirmed full-year guidance. These positives were tempered by APAC weakness, a decline in EMEA orders, lower parts and consumables revenue, persistent parts availability constraints, year-over-year margin and adjusted EBITDA pressure, working-capital demands, and higher inflation and freight costs.

Positive Updates

Record Third-Quarter Sales and Strong Order Growth
Net sales reached a third-quarter record of $322.3 million, up 6.2% year over year, with organic sales growth of 5.7%, including 4.1 percentage points from volume and 1.6 percentage points from price. Orders grew 9.5% in the quarter, led by North America at 18%, and orders were up 9% year to date after growing in every quarter of the year.

Negative Updates

APAC Sales Decline and Soft Demand
APAC organic sales declined 4.8%, although this was an improvement from the second quarter, and performance remained below expectations. Orders grew 7%, but soft demand in China, Australia, and parts of Southeast Asia kept distributor inventories elevated and slowed deal conversions. The company is reassessing its domestic China commercial strategy.

Company Guidance

For full year 2026, Tennant reaffirmed net sales in the range of $1.27 billion to $1.31 billion, reported growth of 5.5% to 9%, organic sales growth of 3.5% to 7%, adjusted EBITDA of $155 million to $170 million, an adjusted EBITDA margin between 12.2% to 13%, GAAP diluted EPS of $2.15 to $2.80, adjusted diluted EPS of $3.80 to $4.45, an adjusted tax rate guidance range of 24% to 29%, and robotics revenue of $130 million to $145 million, in line with its goal of $250 million in robotics revenue by 2028; at the midpoint, fourth quarter net sales are implied at $346 million and adjusted EBITDA at approximately $49 million or about 14% of net sales, with roughly half of the sequential sales increase expected from existing backlog, ERP-related inefficiencies expected to be $2 million or less, and even with a moderate shortfall in both the pace of backlog conversion as parts availability improve and the recovery in EMEA orders, Tennant would expect to remain within its guidance range.

Tennant Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth is strong in the TTM period, but fundamentals have weakened: net and EBIT margins have compressed materially versus prior years, and cash generation is the key issue with slightly negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow (about -$19.9M). Balance sheet leverage remains moderate but is trending higher (debt-to-equity ~0.72) alongside softer ROE (~4.1%).

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24B1.20B1.29B1.24B1.09B1.09B
Gross Profit478.60M484.30M550.00M527.80M420.90M438.00M
EBITDA105.70M125.60M169.00M188.40M135.30M134.50M
Net Income22.90M43.80M83.70M109.50M66.30M64.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.29B1.27B1.19B1.11B1.09B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments75.30M106.20M99.60M116.90M77.20M123.10M
Total Debt395.10M330.80M254.30M242.40M332.40M309.40M
Total Liabilities743.00M665.50M568.00M535.10M613.00M626.60M
Stockholders Equity548.50M601.60M620.80M577.00M470.80M433.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-19.90M43.30M68.30M164.40M-54.40M46.30M
Operating Cash Flow-100.00K65.00M89.70M188.40M-25.10M69.40M
Investing Cash Flow-26.40M-22.70M-78.40M-23.20M-24.50M1.70M
Financing Cash Flow3.30M-38.70M-25.20M-122.60M8.10M-84.50M

Tennant Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price75.50

Price Trends

50DMA68.03Positive
100DMA74.14Positive
200DMA75.30Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.67Negative
RSI72.31Negative
STOCH81.80Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TNC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 75.50 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.11, above the 50-day MA of 68.03, and above the 200-day MA of 75.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.31 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TNC.

Tennant Co Risk Analysis

Tennant Co disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tennant Co reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Tennant Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TNC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
DCIDCI73Outperform$10.12B22.2827.71%1.42%5.28%26.51%
ALHALH71Outperform$4.98B23.4346.55%―7.78%78.36%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
ALGALG58Neutral$1.70B21.666.62%0.97%1.81%-33.54%
CMCOCMCO53Neutral$587.79M-1.70-27.30%1.38%80.70%-7545.95%
TNCTNC53Neutral$1.28B56.284.14%1.64%-0.40%-53.68%
HYHY43Neutral$501.65M-3.85-31.10%5.18%-14.18%-4523.43%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%TNCALGCMCODCIHYALHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TNC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TNCTennant Company75.503.224.45%
ALGAlamo Group Inc.139.73-24.61-14.98%
CMCOColumbus Mckinnon20.325.1634.01%
DCIDonaldson87.351.882.19%
HYHyster-Yale Materials Handling27.98-0.08-0.29%
ALHAlliance Laundry Holdings, Inc.25.07-0.32-1.26%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026