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Alamo Group (ALG) AI Stock Analysis

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ALG

Alamo Group

(NYSE:ALG)

Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:$159.00▲(7.08% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

ALG scores in the mid-range primarily due to solid financial stability (low leverage and healthy free cash flow) despite a clear near-term slowdown in growth and margins. Technical conditions are the main drag, with the price below key moving averages and negative momentum. Valuation is only moderate for the current backdrop, while the latest earnings call adds a modest offset via strong cash flow/liquidity and an accretive acquisition, tempered by soft demand and limited 2027 visibility.

Positive Factors
Conservative leverage and liquidityConservative leverage and substantial liquidity give Alamo financial flexibility to withstand demand volatility, fund capital spending, and pursue acquisitions without excessive balance-sheet strain. This supports resilience and preserves management’s ability to allocate capital through the cycle.
Negative Factors
Persistent end-market softnessWeakness across several end markets is broader than a single customer or product issue and can constrain equipment replacement demand over multiple quarters. Continued softness into 2027 raises the risk that revenue recovery will be slower and less predictable than previously expected.

Alamo Group (ALG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%ALG-13.55%SPY+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.81B
Dividend Yield
0.92%
Average Volume (3M)
175.17K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
23.0
Beta (1Y)
0.64
Revenue Growth
1.81%
EPS Growth
-33.54%
Country
US
Employees
3,800
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Alamo Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alamo Group Inc. is a global enterprise specializing in the design, production, distribution, and servicing of equipment crucial for managing vegetation and maintaining public and private infrastructure. It serves a broad international clientele span...

How the Company Makes Money

Alamo Group makes money primarily by selling manufactured equipment across its end markets (vegetation management, roadway/infrastructure maintenance, and agricultural applications). Revenue is generated through the sale of new machines and implement...

Alamo Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 01, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-2.78%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call reflected mixed performance. Positive developments included improved underlying Vegetation Management profitability, strong Industrial Equipment order growth, substantial free cash flow, strong liquidity, portfolio simplification and the acquisition of Econ Engineering. These were balanced by lower consolidated sales and adjusted earnings, Industrial Equipment margin compression, persistently soft end markets, restructuring charges, elevated taxes and limited visibility for 2027.

Positive Updates

Vegetation Management Underlying Improvement
Vegetation Management sales increased 2.7% excluding the $7.3 million divestiture impact, driven primarily by higher volumes and favorable pricing. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $21.3 million from $16.8 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 12.5% from 9.7%, a 280-basis-point improvement.

Negative Updates

Consolidated Sales Decline
Third-quarter net sales were $403.1 million, down 4% year over year, including a $7.3 million reduction related to divestiture activities.

Company Guidance

Management said it is “not providing financial guidance to 2027 at this time”; North American ag, North American Tree Care and European markets are “down low to mid-single digits” or “thereabouts in that ZIP code,” with 2026 soft and “likely” continuing into 2027, while Industrial markets may be “low single digits or flattish or something in that ZIP code.” The company expects long-term effective tax rate of “approximately 25% to 26%,” capital expenditures of “approximately 2% of net sales on average or approximately 3%, including Econ,” target net leverage of “up to 2.5x,” “one to two tuck-ins in a typical year,” a quarterly dividend “currently $0.34 per share per quarter” reflecting a target payout ratio of “approximately 15% of net income,” and backlog of about “4.5 months of revenue” for Industrial and “around a quarter or maybe a smidge over a quarter” for Vegetation; price is expected to catch up “over the course of the fourth quarter or thereabouts,” with recovery “over the next quarter or two,” while procurement savings should continue in the fourth quarter with “an acceleration in 2027.”

Alamo Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are solid but slowing. The balance sheet is a clear strength with conservative leverage and a stronger equity base, and cash generation remains healthy with strong free cash flow. Offsetting this, TTM revenue is flat to slightly down and profitability has cooled with margin compression and uneven cash conversion, pointing to softer near-term demand.

Income Statement

64Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

71Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.64B1.60B1.63B1.69B1.51B1.33B
Gross Profit376.78M397.82M412.49M453.64M376.52M334.51M
EBITDA193.32M198.02M223.26M249.19M195.36M164.51M
Net Income77.66M103.80M115.93M136.16M101.93M80.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.70B1.61B1.45B1.41B1.31B1.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments230.65M309.66M197.27M51.92M47.02M42.12M
Total Debt232.31M220.29M226.93M240.57M306.64M274.21M
Total Liabilities513.52M457.91M432.02M476.62M523.15M500.08M
Stockholders Equity1.19B1.15B1.02B932.76M785.36M705.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow137.06M146.92M184.78M93.41M-16.77M24.36M
Operating Cash Flow158.35M177.54M209.78M131.15M14.53M49.67M
Investing Cash Flow-165.27M-46.19M-22.18M-52.62M-31.74M-33.44M
Financing Cash Flow-4.64M-30.79M-31.97M-76.88M24.45M-23.00M

Alamo Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price148.49

Price Trends

50DMA158.74Negative
100DMA160.80Negative
200DMA167.72Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.07Negative
RSI43.12Neutral
STOCH72.43Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 148.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 149.90, below the 50-day MA of 158.74, and below the 200-day MA of 167.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALG.

Alamo Group Risk Analysis

Alamo Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alamo Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Alamo Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

ALG against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GENCGENC82Outperform$251.53M17.076.82%―-6.39%-1.99%
TEXTEX74Outperform$6.48B28.624.71%1.18%40.10%-17.18%
PLOWPLOW65Neutral$920.08M13.0522.34%3.22%22.75%58.30%
ALGALG64Neutral$1.86B23.026.62%0.92%1.81%-33.54%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
ASTEASTE56Neutral$923.09M46.582.88%1.30%18.70%-57.51%
TNCTNC53Neutral$1.17B53.794.14%1.72%-0.40%-53.68%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%ALGASTEPLOWGENCTNCTEXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ALG and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ALGAlamo Group Inc.148.49-27.32-15.54%
ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.40.06-4.83-10.75%
PLOWDouglas Dynamics36.666.1920.30%
GENCGencor Industries, Inc.17.243.3824.39%
TNCTennant Company72.16-1.42-1.93%
TEXTerex Corporation57.5211.1223.95%

Alamo Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

Alamo Group Acquires UK Roadway Maintenance Leader Econ

Positive
Oct 27, 2026

On October 27, 2026, Alamo Group Inc. announced the acquisition of Econ Engineering Group Limited, a UK-based manufacturer of roadway maintenance trucks and equipment, for £120 million, or about $158.7 million, funded through the company’s...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Alamo Group Addresses Restructuring Costs and Related Risks

Negative
Sep 30, 2026

Alamo Group filed a Form 8-K on September 30, 2026, formally certifying the report through the signature of Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary Andrew Sefzik. The filing references a discussion under Item 2.05 concerning costs associated wi...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Alamo Group Addresses Restructuring Costs and Related Risks

Negative
Sep 8, 2026

Alamo Group filed a Current Report on Form 8-K dated September 8, 2026, formally signed by Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary Andrew Sefzik under the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The filing references a discussion o...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Alamo Group Announces Executive Retirement and Advisory Role

Neutral
Aug 11, 2026

On August 7, 2026, Alamo Group Inc. reported that Executive Vice President and Head of Corporate Development Edward T. Rizzuti notified the company of his intent to retire effective September 11, 2026, with the move not tied to any disagreement over...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026