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TIC Solutions (TIC) AI Stock Analysis

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TIC

TIC Solutions

(NYSE:TIC)

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Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:$10.00â–¼(-10.95% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is held back primarily by financial performance (ongoing net losses/negative ROE and weaker year-over-year free cash flow despite positive OCF/FCF). This is partially offset by constructive technicals (price above key moving averages with positive MACD) and a strong earnings-call outlook with raised guidance and record backlog, though leverage and cash-conversion timing remain key risks.

Positive Factors
Revenue and backlog growthStrong organic growth and a record backlog provide meaningful visibility into future work, reducing reliance on near-term contract wins. Broad demand across infrastructure, utilities, data centers and other end markets supports durable expansion over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent unprofitabilityThe company has not yet translated revenue growth and improved gross margin into sustainable operating profit. Continued negative net income and ROE weaken shareholder returns, limit internally funded growth and leave results more dependent on execution improvements.

TIC Solutions (TIC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%TIC+14.83%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$2.45B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.63M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-15.1
Beta (1Y)
1.26
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
11,084
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Specialty Business Services

TIC Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1974 and headquartered in Tomball, Texas, TIC Solutions, Inc. delivers a comprehensive suite of services encompassing nondestructive testing, inspection, engineering, and laboratory analysis. The company's operations extend across both...

TIC Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:4.95%|Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights, with record quarterly revenue, accelerating organic growth, broad-based segment performance, expanding margins, record backlog, strategic acquisitions and raised full-year guidance. The principal challenges were Geospatial execution and profitability, elevated leverage, working-capital-driven cash-conversion timing and relatively modest year-to-date I&M growth.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Revenue and Profitability
Combined third-quarter revenue grew 12.5% to $640 million, including organic growth of 8.4%, up from 2.5% in the second quarter. Adjusted EBITDA increased 19% to $107 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded approximately 90 basis points to 16.8%.

Negative Updates

Geospatial Profitability Below Expectations
Although Geospatial revenue and backlog grew, third-quarter profitability was below expectations. Adjusted gross margin declined 330 basis points to 44.9%, reflecting project timing, mix, project-execution challenges and a higher proportion of pass-through work on certain contracts.

Company Guidance

The company raised full year 2026 revenue guidance to $2.24 billion to $2.27 billion from $2.15 billion to $2.25 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $342 million to $350 million from $330 million to $355 million, with a midpoint of $346 million; fourth quarter guidance implies revenue of $528 million to $558 million and adjusted EBITDA of $82 million to $90 million, representing approximately 7% year-over-year growth in revenue and 13% growth in adjusted EBITDA at the midpoint. For 2027, management is planning for mid- to high single-digit revenue growth, with C&E and Geospatial growth again expected to outpace I&M, and expects adjusted EBITDA to grow faster than revenue; I&M was described as a low to mid-single digits grower. Full-year expectations include net cash interest expense of $195 million to $105 million, cash taxes of $25 million to $30 million and capital expenditures of $50 million to $60 million, while the company remains on track to deliver a $25 million run rate target by year-end and approximately $15 million of realized savings in 2026, toward its 2029 objectives of $3 billion in revenue, 18% adjusted EBITDA margin and 85% free cash flow conversion.

TIC Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth and gross margin improved, and TTM operating/free cash flow remain positive, which supports stability. However, profitability is still weak (negative net margin/EBIT) with negative ROE, and free cash flow has stepped down versus the prior year—keeping the financial profile below average.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.22B1.53B1.10B1.05B
Gross Profit730.61M449.36M265.66M239.52M
EBITDA232.28M167.78M87.08M150.56M
Net Income-113.20M-87.12M-121.16M-6.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.40B4.40B2.21B1.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments197.91M439.54M139.13M87.06M
Total Debt1.73B1.71B812.58M730.00M
Total Liabilities2.29B2.22B1.06B880.62M
Stockholders Equity2.11B2.18B1.15B382.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow34.22M61.26M-4.51M73.67M
Operating Cash Flow86.32M95.02M23.07M95.81M
Investing Cash Flow-234.04M-874.09M-1.89B-26.53M
Financing Cash Flow183.65M1.08B1.42B-49.18M

TIC Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price11.23

Price Trends

50DMA9.36Positive
100DMA8.86Positive
200DMA8.74Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.51Negative
RSI65.06Neutral
STOCH82.09Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TIC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.93, above the 50-day MA of 9.36, and above the 200-day MA of 8.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.09 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TIC.

TIC Solutions Risk Analysis

TIC Solutions disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TIC Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

TIC Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TIC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
ABMABM63Neutral$3.21B19.529.44%2.14%6.00%50.32%
CVEOCVEO56Neutral$365.30M-56.78-4.76%―12.61%69.81%
TICTIC55Neutral$2.40B-15.07-5.32%―――
ARMKARMK52Neutral$14.29B36.8411.75%0.89%11.02%6.21%
UNFUNF51Neutral$4.16B38.254.99%0.61%3.74%-24.28%
THTH49Neutral$1.01B-25.65-12.55%―19.88%-374.10%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%TICABMUNFARMKCVEOTHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TIC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TICTic Solutions, Inc.11.230.959.24%
ABMAbm Industries Incorporated54.2812.8831.11%
UNFUniFirst Corp240.9582.7152.27%
ARMKARAMARK Holdings Corp.53.7915.6741.09%
CVEOCiveo Corp.35.7713.6761.86%
THTarget Hospitality11.805.5889.71%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026