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Thule Group AB Unsponsored ADR (THUPY) AI Stock Analysis

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THUPY

Thule Group AB Unsponsored ADR

(Other OTC:THUPY)

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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:$10.50▲(5.77% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/27/26

THUPY scores well on fundamentals, led by strong TTM growth and healthy profitability, and the latest earnings call reinforced progress on margins, cash flow, and deleveraging. The main offsets are weak technical momentum (trading below key moving averages with negative MACD) and financial risks from uneven cash conversion and higher leverage versus prior years; valuation and dividend yield provide additional support.

Positive Factors
Strong profitabilityThule is converting revenue into strong operating profit, with gross and EBIT margins well above recent lows. Efficiency initiatives and disciplined expense management support margin sustainability, while the 20% Q3 EBIT margin shows potential to progress toward management’s midterm profitability target.
Negative Factors
Higher leverageLeverage remains moderate but is materially higher than in Thule’s low-debt 2021–2023 period. The larger debt base reduces balance-sheet flexibility if demand weakens or rates stay elevated, and it can constrain the pace of investment, acquisitions, or distributions.

Thule Group AB Unsponsored ADR (THUPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%THUPY-20.22%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$4.22B
Dividend Yield
4.04%
Average Volume (3M)
1,044
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.9
Beta (1Y)
1.00
Revenue Growth
8.69%
EPS Growth
23.17%
Country
US
Employees
2,880
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Leisure

Thule Group AB Unsponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Thule Group AB (publ) is a prominent company specializing in sports and outdoor equipment. Their extensive product portfolio includes vehicle-mounted solutions such as roof racks, cargo boxes, and specialized carriers for bicycles, water sports gear,...

How the Company Makes Money

Thule primarily makes money by selling branded physical products to consumers through a mix of channels, with revenue recognized from product sales rather than recurring subscription fees. Its key revenue streams are (1) vehicle-related carrier and r...

Thule Group AB Unsponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-0.63%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. Thule reported three consecutive quarters of organic growth, improved profitability, strong cash flow, deleveraging, progress toward its financial targets, and accelerating growth in Active with Kids & Dogs. These positives were partly offset by a declining RV market, continued North American and retailer weakness, underlying gross-margin pressure from materials and freight costs, and phasing-related weakness in Bags & Mounts. Overall, the highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Three Consecutive Quarters of Organic Growth and Improved Profitability
Thule reported 3 quarters in a row with organic growth and improved profitability. In Q3, organic growth was 1.2%, described as just over 1%, while reported sales growth in SEK was 3%.

Negative Updates

RV Products Declined in a Weaker Market
RV Products declined 5% in Q3, although year-to-date growth remained 3%. Registrations of new motorhomes and caravans began declining around mid-Q2 in most European countries and continued through the summer, negatively affecting sales, particularly in the aftermarket and dealer channel.

Company Guidance

Management said it is “on track” toward its financial targets, which are intended to be reached in the “midterm,” defined as “2 to 4 years,” including an EBIT margin target of 20%, while the dividend payout ratio continues to be above the target. Midterm growth ambitions are 5% for Sport & Cargo Carriers, “almost at” 15% for Active with Kids & Dogs, and 10% for Bags & Mounts. The company expects the approximately 2.5% price increase implemented in August to offset material cost increases going forward, with the effects expected to be “fully in, in quarter 4 basically,” and expects to make “modest” price increases by Jan 1. RV is expected to remain tough also in Q4, with “no major shift in the market in the short term,” while Active with Kids & Dogs is expected to show “great progress” going forward; North America is expected to have a “normalized situation as spring kicks in, in 2027.” For modeling, management said “around 23%” is a normal effective tax rate, and product development costs are expected to decline by 1% as a percentage of sales over “2 to 4 years,” with the percentage expected to come down “a bit again next year” while the absolute number will “probably increase a bit.”

Thule Group AB Unsponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong income statement trends (TTM revenue growth ~71%, gross margin up to ~46.8%, EBIT margin ~17.1%) support a solid score. This is tempered by rising leverage versus 2021–2023 (debt roughly doubled vs 2023; D/E ~0.53) and less consistent cash conversion (OCF/net income ~0.72 TTM vs >1.25 in 2023–2024), which adds cyclicality and execution risk.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

73Positive

Cash Flow

69Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.43B10.43B9.54B9.13B10.14B10.39B
Gross Profit4.88B4.79B4.07B3.74B3.86B4.16B
EBITDA2.16B1.91B1.89B1.88B1.94B2.50B
Net Income1.24B1.11B1.12B1.10B1.27B1.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.03B13.74B14.96B10.97B11.68B10.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments944.74M218.00M405.00M94.00M176.00M149.00M
Total Debt4.49B4.27B4.37B2.17B3.06B1.62B
Total Liabilities7.61B6.51B6.86B4.12B5.13B4.38B
Stockholders Equity8.42B7.23B8.10B6.85B6.55B5.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.30B784.00M2.05B1.60B172.00M621.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.70B1.13B2.31B1.85B616.00M1.13B
Investing Cash Flow-498.32M-335.00M-3.10B-251.00M-464.00M-503.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.04B-965.00M1.10B-1.68B-136.00M-1.19B

Thule Group AB Unsponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price9.93

Price Trends

50DMA10.02Negative
100DMA10.47Negative
200DMA11.16Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.04Negative
RSI53.08Neutral
STOCH50.74Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For THUPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.70, below the 50-day MA of 10.02, and below the 200-day MA of 11.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for THUPY.

Thule Group AB Unsponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

THUPY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ASAS72Outperform$17.12B30.348.72%―30.49%134.07%
THUPYTHUPY69Neutral$2.14B16.9316.03%4.04%8.69%23.17%
AOUTAOUT64Neutral$228.70M-58.40-2.35%―-5.84%13.11%
YETIYETI64Neutral$3.19B18.8227.27%―6.24%10.22%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
CLARCLAR57Neutral$169.62M-5.39-15.46%2.26%-0.10%61.92%
JOUTJOUT56Neutral$473.60M-58.55-1.90%2.89%17.49%82.16%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%THUPYCLARJOUTYETIAOUTASDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
THUPY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
THUPYThule Group AB Unsponsored ADR9.93-2.75-21.69%
CLARClarus Corp4.431.1936.64%
JOUTJohnson Outdoors45.676.6216.95%
YETIYeti Holdings43.6610.1230.17%
AOUTAmerican Outdoor Brands, Inc.18.1211.32166.47%
ASAmer Sports, Inc.29.43-2.04-6.48%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2026