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American Outdoor Brands
(NASDAQ:AOUT)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(57.26% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/02/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (stronger TTM cash flow and a conservatively levered balance sheet) and a positive earnings update with raised adjusted EBITDA guidance and strong margin performance. These positives are moderated by still-negative profitability (negative P/E and net losses) and only moderate visibility on near-term growth given expected tariff impacts and softer Q2 guidance.
Positive Factors
Growth Outlook
Maintained sales guidance implies management expects the business to continue expanding after the recent growth acceleration. A 7.5% midpoint increase would broaden the revenue base, support operating leverage, and provide a foundation for improved earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent GAAP Losses
Ongoing GAAP losses show that revenue growth has not yet translated into consistent bottom-line profitability. Until margins cover the company’s full operating cost base, cash generation may remain more variable and shareholder returns may stay below the level expected from a durable consumer-brands business.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Growth Outlook
Maintained sales guidance implies management expects the business to continue expanding after the recent growth acceleration. A 7.5% midpoint increase would broaden the revenue base, support operating leverage, and provide a foundation for improved earnings over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
American Outdoor Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Net Sales By Segment
Breaks down sales by business segments, revealing which product lines or services are driving revenue and indicating strategic focus areas or diversification efforts.
Breaks down sales by business segments, revealing which product lines or services are driving revenue and indicating strategic focus areas or diversification efforts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$207.49M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)277.26K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.20
Revenue Growth-5.84%
EPS Growth13.11%
CountryUS
Employees267
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryLeisure
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.31
Shares Outstanding12,621,225
10 Day Avg. Volume106,534
30 Day Avg. Volume277,264
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio>-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.71
Price to Sales (P/S)0.62
P/FCF Ratio27.75
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.74
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.78
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.69
Enterprise Value/Ebitda14.10
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$18.33Price Target Upside69.60% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)0.8
Revenue Forecast (FY)$205.37M
American Outdoor Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) is dedicated to providing a comprehensive range of outdoor gear and accessories for passionate adventurers, serving markets across the United States and internationally. Their extensive product line covers core...
How the Company Makes Money
American Outdoor Brands primarily makes money by selling branded consumer products through two main routes: (1) direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales via its owned e-commerce sites/brand websites and other direct channels, and (2) business-to-business (B...
American Outdoor Brands Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2026
(Q1-2027)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was strongly positive overall. The company reported 25.4% net sales growth, broad-based category and channel gains, a 630-basis-point gross-margin expansion, improved EPS and adjusted EBITDA, strong cash generation, a debt-free balance sheet, and a 57% increase in the midpoint of adjusted EBITDA guidance. Management also highlighted healthy POS trends, strong retailer replenishment, successful innovation and growing subscription revenue. The main challenges were measured consumer spending, pressure at entry-level and mid-level price points, expected tariff impacts later in the year, an anticipated second-quarter growth rate of approximately 3%, and the expectation that the unusually high 36% new-product sales contribution will not be sustained.Positive Updates
Strong First-Quarter Net Sales Growth
First-quarter net sales were $37.3 million, up 25.4% from $29.7 million in the prior-year quarter. Adjusting for approximately $6 million of retailer orders accelerated into the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, net sales increased 4.3%.
Negative Updates
Expected Tariff Impact on Future Gross Margin
The company said tariffs capitalized into inventory since February are recognized in the P&L based on inventory turns. Management expects tariff impacts to begin appearing later in Q3, with the full quarterly impact reflected in Q4.
Read all updates
Q1-2027 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong First-Quarter Net Sales Growth
First-quarter net sales were $37.3 million, up 25.4% from $29.7 million in the prior-year quarter. Adjusting for approximately $6 million of retailer orders accelerated into the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, net sales increased 4.3%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company maintained fiscal 2027 net sales guidance of $200 million to $210 million, with the midpoint representing growth of 7.5% over fiscal 2026 reported net sales, and expects second-quarter net sales to increase approximately 3% compared with the prior year quarter; Q2 and Q3 are expected to be the highest quarters and Q4 to exceed Q1. Fiscal 2027 gross margins are expected to be in the mid- to high 40s, slightly above the target range, while operating expenses are expected to increase slightly and decline as a percentage of net sales. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was raised from roughly $13 million to $16 million to $14.5 million to $17.5 million, with the midpoint of $16 million representing an increase of 57% from prior year results and remaining consistent with a long-term operating model targeting an EBITDA contribution of 25% to 30% on net sales above $200 million. The company expects to spend $3.5 million to $4 million on CapEx for full year fiscal 2027, expects to begin seeing tariff impacts later in Q3 with the full quarterly impact reflected in Q4, and expects a minimal amount of GAAP income tax in fiscal 2027.American Outdoor Brands Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
47
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Apr 2026 | Apr 2025 | Apr 2024 | Apr 2023 | Apr 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 198.09M | 190.54M | 222.32M | 201.10M | 191.21M | 247.53M |
| Gross Profit | 91.07M | 85.19M | 99.26M | 88.43M | 88.06M | 114.24M |
| EBITDA | 10.91M | 6.87M | 13.12M | 3.60M | 3.81M | 28.29M |
| Net Income | -3.91M | -9.21M | -77.00K | -12.25M | -12.02M | -64.88M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 228.62M | 226.62M | 246.35M | 240.60M | 243.59M | 277.84M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 33.27M | 21.44M | 23.42M | 29.70M | 21.95M | 19.52M |
| Total Debt | 32.01M | 32.38M | 33.28M | 34.62M | 29.59M | 49.58M |
| Total Liabilities | 64.22M | 60.73M | 68.75M | 62.67M | 51.72M | 74.81M |
| Stockholders Equity | 164.40M | 165.89M | 177.61M | 177.93M | 191.86M | 203.03M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 20.92M | 4.27M | -2.54M | 18.38M | 25.85M | -24.54M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 21.04M | 6.32M | 1.36M | 24.49M | 30.71M | -18.06M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.59M | -2.46M | -3.90M | -5.98M | -4.83M | -33.59M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.95M | -5.84M | -3.74M | -10.77M | -23.36M | 10.36M |
American Outdoor Brands Technical Analysis
Positive
10.81
Price Trends
14.02
Positive
12.88
Positive
10.93
Positive
Market Momentum
0.68
Positive
64.79
Neutral
61.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AOUT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.50, below the 50-day MA of 14.02, and below the 200-day MA of 10.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AOUT.
American Outdoor Brands Risk Analysis
American Outdoor Brands disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Outdoor Brands reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
American Outdoor Brands Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $256.05M | 10.92 | 13.11% | 3.33% | 0.97% | 80.59% | |
70 Outperform | $317.48M | 19.50 | 6.50% | 3.56% | -14.67% | -59.03% | |
64 Neutral | $207.49M | -54.82 | -2.35% | ― | -5.84% | 13.11% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
56 Neutral | $135.16M | -4.31 | -15.46% | 2.82% | -0.10% | 61.92% | |
55 Neutral | $443.84M | -54.76 | -1.90% | 3.09% | 17.49% | 82.16% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
AOUT
American Outdoor Brands
17.01
9.29
120.34%
CLAR
Clarus
3.54
0.34
10.49%
ESCA
Escalade
18.23
6.74
58.60%
JAKK
Jakks Pacific
28.08
9.43
50.56%
JOUT
Johnson Outdoors
42.71
2.28
5.64%
American Outdoor Brands Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
American Outdoor Brands Shareholders Reinforce Governance and Leadership
Positive
Oct 1, 2026
On September 28, 2026, American Outdoor Brands held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where shareholders elected seven directors, including Barry M. Monheit and Chief Executive Officer Brian D. Murphy, to serve until the 2027 Annual Meeting...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
American Outdoor Brands Announces New Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Oct 1, 2026
On October 1, 2026, American Outdoor Brands announced that its Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program authorizing the buyback of up to $10.0 million of its outstanding common stock between October 1, 2026 and September 30, 2027. Th...
Executive/Board Changes
American Outdoor Brands Adds Kevin Leary to Board
Positive
Aug 6, 2026
On August 4, 2026, American Outdoor Brands appointed Kevin D. Leary to its Board of Directors as an independent director, with his term running until the 2026 annual meeting of stockholders. Leary will serve on the Compensation Committee and the N...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.