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Tredegar (TG) AI Stock Analysis

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TG

Tredegar

(NYSE:TG)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:$8.50▲(16.76% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/15/26

The score is driven mainly by improving financial health (return to profitability, solid positive cash flow, and sharply reduced leverage), supported by a low P/E valuation. These positives are tempered by weak technicals (price below major moving averages, negative MACD, and very oversold momentum), suggesting near-term market pressure despite better fundamentals.

Positive Factors
Deleveraged balance sheetThe sharp reduction in debt materially improves Tredegar’s financial flexibility and lowers balance-sheet risk. Higher equity provides additional resilience, allowing the company to better withstand cyclical demand and preserve capacity to fund operations or future investment.
Negative Factors
Cyclical, uneven earningsTredegar’s recovery remains exposed to end-market cyclicality, and profitability has not returned to the stronger margin levels previously achieved. Uneven revenue and lower margins can limit operating leverage and make earnings less predictable across the cycle.

Tredegar (TG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%TG+5.97%SPY+15.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$254.39M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
199.37K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.6
Beta (1Y)
1.10
Revenue Growth
14.97%
EPS Growth
8162.28%
Country
US
Employees
1,800
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication

Tredegar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tredegar Corporation, functioning through its affiliated entities, is a global producer and purveyor of key materials, including aluminum extrusions, as well as polyethylene (PE) and polyester films, reaching customers both in the United States and a...

How the Company Makes Money

Tredegar primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling engineered materials and components to business customers. (1) Tredegar Film Products generates revenue from the sale of polyethylene film rolls and related specialty film products. These pr...

Tredegar Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are improving: profitability has rebounded in TTM with positive operating profit and a modest net margin (~3.9%), cash flow is positive (TTM OCF ~43.5M; FCF ~22.6M), and the balance sheet is materially de-risked with debt reduced sharply (~159M in 2023 to ~15M in TTM) and higher equity (~229M TTM). Offsetting this, results remain cyclical/volatile (choppy revenue trend and margins still below 2021 levels), and cash conversion is uneven (FCF was negative in 2023; TTM FCF is ~0.51x net income).

Income Statement

66Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

71Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue781.74M722.86M598.02M573.32M761.99M826.46M
Gross Profit112.88M109.41M96.06M71.13M104.89M148.53M
EBITDA64.63M56.40M31.08M-116.47M40.11M94.28M
Net Income33.32M33.48M-64.56M-105.91M28.45M57.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets412.93M371.37M356.36M446.46M572.16M523.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.18M6.73M7.06M9.66M19.23M30.52M
Total Debt60.69M48.27M77.37M158.62M151.77M87.99M
Total Liabilities184.36M154.82M175.39M290.81M370.40M338.86M
Stockholders Equity228.57M216.55M180.97M155.65M201.76M184.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.64M15.74M11.16M-2.45M-57.72M43.22M
Operating Cash Flow43.51M32.98M25.51M24.00M-20.84M70.58M
Investing Cash Flow-20.30M-5.50M40.51M-26.18M-35.46M24.45M
Financing Cash Flow-16.65M-28.16M-64.98M-4.48M45.38M-76.84M

Tredegar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price7.28

Price Trends

50DMA7.36Negative
100DMA7.57Negative
200DMA8.07Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.00Positive
RSI45.80Neutral
STOCH29.73Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.52, below the 50-day MA of 7.36, and below the 200-day MA of 8.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TG.

Tredegar Risk Analysis

Tredegar disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tredegar reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Ability to Sell - Risks related to the company’s ability to sell goods and services

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1..As disclosed in “Q2, 2026

Tredegar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TG against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NWPXNWPX73Outperform$926.21M16.5612.93%―15.95%49.06%
AZZAZZ72Outperform$4.14B23.6512.30%0.67%9.50%-46.68%
TGTG66Neutral$251.95M7.5815.30%―14.97%8162.28%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
IIINIIIN61Neutral$552.74M19.028.02%3.87%14.17%-27.88%
MECMEC53Neutral$409.54M-23.43-5.05%―14.78%-216.65%
APAP47Neutral$155.77M-2.36-152.73%―3.27%-1069.57%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%TGAPAZZIIINNWPXMECDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TG and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TGTredegar Corp7.280.9915.74%
APAmpco-Pittsburgh Corporation6.914.98258.03%
AZZAZZ Incorporated132.2332.8533.05%
IIINInsteel Industries, Inc.28.91-1.25-4.15%
NWPXNorthwest Pipe91.9331.3751.80%
MECMayville Engineering Company16.01-0.68-4.07%

Tredegar Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes

Tredegar Appoints Cindy Yao as New Chief Financial Officer

Positive
Sep 15, 2026

On September 14, 2026, Tredegar’s board elected veteran finance executive Cindy Yao as vice president, chief financial officer and treasurer, effective September 21, 2026. Yao brings extensive CFO experience from Holon Health, HF Foods Group In...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Tredegar Announces Upcoming Resignation of Key Legal Executive

Neutral
Sep 11, 2026

On September 8, 2026, Tredegar Corporation announced that Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary Kevin C. Donnelly had notified the company of his intention to resign, with his departure effective October 1, 2026. The compa...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Tredegar Adds Independent Director, Strengthening Board Governance

Positive
Aug 20, 2026

On August 17, 2026, Tredegar’s Board of Directors elected Ana Dutra as an independent director and appointed her to the Executive Compensation Committee, with her service beginning immediately. The Board confirmed her independence under both th...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Tredegar Announces Retirement of Chief Financial Officer

Neutral
Jul 31, 2026

On July 28, 2026, Tredegar Corporation announced that Frasier W. Brickhouse, II had notified the company of his intention to retire from his position as Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, effective September 1, 2026. This planned...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 15, 2026