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Tredegar (TG) AI Stock Analysis

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TG

Tredegar

(NYSE:TG)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:$5.50▼(-3.34% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

Tredegar's overall score of 56 reflects a company in the midst of a fundamental operational recovery that is being overshadowed by extremely weak market momentum. The primary strength is a significantly de-risked balance sheet and a return to profitability, which is partially offset by poor cash flow conversion. The most significant headwind is the deeply bearish technical picture, with the stock in a strong downtrend and showing no signs of reversing. Positive corporate governance changes add a minor tailwind, but the market's current negative sentiment is the dominant factor.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Profitability ReboundThe return to strong revenue growth and positive profitability shows that Tredegar has recovered materially from its prior down-cycle. This gives the company a stronger operating base, supports internal funding of initiatives, and improves its ability to benefit if end-market demand remains stable.
Negative Factors
Weak Free Cash Flow DurabilityPositive earnings are not yet translating consistently into cash, with a sharp TTM free-cash-flow decline and a history of negative periods. This weakens the durability of reported profitability, limits internally funded investment, and can constrain flexibility if operating conditions deteriorate.

Tredegar (TG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%TG-32.26%SPY+13.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$199.51M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
211.19K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.3
Beta (1Y)
1.24
Revenue Growth
14.60%
EPS Growth
99.39%
Country
US
Employees
1,700
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication

Tredegar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tredegar Corporation, functioning through its affiliated entities, is a global producer and purveyor of key materials, including aluminum extrusions, as well as polyethylene (PE) and polyester films, reaching customers both in the United States and a...

How the Company Makes Money

Tredegar primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling engineered materials and components to business customers. (1) Tredegar Film Products generates revenue from the sale of polyethylene film rolls and related specialty film products. These pr...

Tredegar Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The financial performance is a tale of two stories. The income statement shows a strong revenue recovery (TTM +56.5%) and a return to profitability, while the balance sheet is in excellent shape after aggressive deleveraging (debt-to-equity at 0.27). However, the cash flow statement is a significant concern, with free cash flow nearly vanishing due to heavy investments and weak cash conversion. The overall score reflects this mixed but net-positive operational turnaround.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue793.97M722.86M598.02M573.32M761.99M826.46M
Gross Profit97.61M109.41M96.06M71.13M104.89M148.53M
EBITDA46.31M56.40M31.08M-116.47M40.11M94.28M
Net Income23.43M33.48M-64.56M-105.91M28.45M57.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets400.64M371.37M356.36M446.46M572.16M523.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.32M6.73M7.06M9.66M19.23M30.52M
Total Debt14.20M48.27M77.37M158.62M151.77M87.99M
Total Liabilities175.23M154.82M175.39M290.81M370.40M338.86M
Stockholders Equity225.41M216.55M180.97M155.65M201.76M184.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.07M15.74M11.16M-2.45M-57.72M43.22M
Operating Cash Flow23.96M32.98M25.51M24.00M-20.84M70.58M
Investing Cash Flow-21.32M-5.50M40.51M-26.18M-35.46M24.45M
Financing Cash Flow-519.00K-28.16M-64.98M-4.48M45.38M-76.84M

Tredegar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price5.69

Price Trends

50DMA7.18Negative
100DMA7.48Negative
200DMA8.00Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.39Positive
RSI30.39Neutral
STOCH22.10Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.18, below the 50-day MA of 7.18, and below the 200-day MA of 8.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TG.

Tredegar Risk Analysis

Tredegar disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tredegar reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Ability to Sell - Risks related to the company’s ability to sell goods and services

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Our international operations expose us to risks associated with fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates.Q4, 2025
2.The Company's failure to successfully transition to the reporting requirements for its asset-based revolving credit facility ("ABL Facility"), which matures on June 30, 2026, or an unexpected downturn in the markets could adversely impact the Company's financial position and results of operations.Q4, 2023
3.The planned divestiture of Terphane to Oben Group is subject to a number of conditions beyond our control.Q4, 2023

Tredegar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TG against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AZZAZZ73Outperform$3.96B23.9412.30%0.66%9.50%-46.68%
NWPXNWPX73Outperform$879.99M16.5012.93%―15.95%49.06%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
IIINIIIN63Neutral$540.93M18.498.02%3.98%14.17%-27.88%
TGTG56Neutral$199.51M8.3110.48%―14.60%99.39%
MECMEC53Neutral$357.52M-20.81-5.05%―14.78%-216.65%
APAP47Neutral$151.63M-2.69-178.13%―1.27%-968.82%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%TGAPAZZIIINNWPXMECDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TG and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TGTredegar Corp5.69-2.82-33.14%
APAmpco-Pittsburgh Corporation7.675.21211.79%
AZZAZZ Incorporated134.2236.7237.67%
IIINInsteel Industries, Inc.28.17-2.63-8.54%
NWPXNorthwest Pipe91.2934.1159.65%
MECMayville Engineering Company13.99-2.05-12.78%

Tredegar Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes

Tredegar Appoints Cindy Yao as New Chief Financial Officer

Positive
Sep 15, 2026

On September 14, 2026, Tredegar’s board elected veteran finance executive Cindy Yao as vice president, chief financial officer and treasurer, effective September 21, 2026. Yao brings extensive CFO experience from Holon Health, HF Foods Group Inc. and...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Tredegar Announces Upcoming Resignation of Key Legal Executive

Neutral
Sep 11, 2026

On September 8, 2026, Tredegar Corporation announced that Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary Kevin C. Donnelly had notified the company of his intention to resign, with his departure effective October 1, 2026. The compa...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Tredegar Adds Independent Director, Strengthening Board Governance

Positive
Aug 20, 2026

On August 17, 2026, Tredegar’s Board of Directors elected Ana Dutra as an independent director and appointed her to the Executive Compensation Committee, with her service beginning immediately. The Board confirmed her independence under both the comp...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026