TFI International (TFII) AI Stock Analysis

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TFI International

(NYSE:TFII)

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Positive Factors

Truckload executionTruckload performance shows meaningful operational leverage, with stronger revenue, productivity, and profitability from a focused asset mix and specialized freight exposure. A leading segment margin and improved returns can support durable earnings growth if management sustains network discipline and customer mix improvements.

Negative Factors

U.S. LTL underperformanceU.S. LTL remains a substantial drag on consolidated profitability, with a very high operating ratio indicating weak network economics and execution. The gap versus Canadian LTL highlights a business-specific turnaround requirement that could absorb management attention and capital for several quarters.

TFI International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Operating Income BreakdownShows the profit generated from core business operations, excluding non-operating income and expenses, to assess the company's ability to generate profit from its primary activities.

Chart Insights

Since mid‑2024 Package & Courier drops to zero, signaling a divestiture or reclassification that materially alters the company’s profit mix and complicates y/y comparisons. Most volatility and recent upside come from Truckload and LTL—likely driven by acquisitions and cyclical demand—with Truckload showing the strongest rebound in the latest quarter. Corporate is a persistent drag (with a one‑off positive in 2022 Q3), so future upside depends on sustained margin recovery in Truckload/Logistics and whether corporate overhead is contained.

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The Fly

TFI International (TFII) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap: $7.90B
Dividend Yield: 1.96%
Average Volume (3M): 330.98K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 20.5
Beta (1Y): 0.94
Revenue Growth: 4.20%
EPS Growth: 12.51%
Country: US
Employees: 25,875
Sector: Industrials
Sector Strength: 63
Industry: Trucking

TFI International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TFI International Inc., headquartered in Saint-Laurent, Canada, delivers comprehensive transportation and logistics solutions across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company's operations are divided into four primary segments: Package and C...

TFI International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-14.62%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 08, 2027

Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented strong third-quarter financial results, led by exceptional truckload performance, a significant logistics improvement, strong free cash flow, lower leverage, and continued capital-allocation flexibility. However, management repeatedly identified U.S. LTL as a major underperformer, with weak profitability, poor density, service problems, elevated third-party costs, an ending UPS partnership, and a turnaround that is expected to take time. The positive results and stated improvement plans were balanced by substantial operational and macroeconomic challenges.

Positive Updates

Strong Adjusted EPS and Operating Income Growth

Third-quarter adjusted diluted EPS was $1.67, up nearly 40% from $1.20 in the prior-year quarter. Overall operating income grew 17% to $180 million despite an office-related real estate impairment charge.

Negative Updates

U.S. LTL Remains a Major Underperformer

Management said it was not satisfied with U.S. LTL results in 2026 and described the business as a major problem. While consolidated LTL reported a 91.3% adjusted operating ratio, management estimated the U.S. operation was closer to a 97% operating ratio, compared with a sub-75% operating ratio in Canada.

Company Guidance

Updated outlook calls for full quarter adjusted EPS of $1.30-$1.40, with the high end representing a 28% YoY increase; year-over-year adjusted operating ratio improvement of 400 basis points-500 basis points in truckload and 100 basis points-200 basis points for logistics, and a slight decline maybe of 100 basis points, up to 100 basis points for LTL; net CapEx, excluding real estate, is expected to be in the range of $225 million-$250 million, with outlook ranges assuming no significant change in the operating environment. For 2027, management said truckload could be a sub-85% OR, that it would be very disappointed if LTL does not break the 90% OR globally, and that LTL volume is probably about flat versus Q3.

TFI International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TFII against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TSE:EIF	73Outperform	CAD 7.01B	33.20	11.69%	2.23%	33.11%	40.81%
TSE:MTL	69Neutral	CAD 2.89B	23.55	10.58%	2.80%	11.69%	18.18%
Sector *	63Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
TSE:CJT	61Neutral	CAD 1.46B	34.95	6.30%	1.38%	10.04%	-52.29%
TSE:WJX	61Neutral	CAD 766.90M	12.87	11.04%	3.89%	-4.44%	31.27%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

TFII and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
TFII	Tfi International Inc	96.09	13.12	15.81%
TSE:EIF	Exchange Income	125.31	51.28	69.26%
TSE:MTL	Mullen Group Ltd.	30.02	16.59	123.61%
TSE:WJX	Wajax Corporation	36.00	10.64	41.94%
TSE:CJT	Cargojet (OTC)	108.77	36.68	50.88%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

TFI International AI Stock Analysis