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Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM)
NASDAQ:TEM
US Market

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM) AI Stock Analysis

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TE

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:TEM)

55Neutral
Tempus AI, Inc. demonstrates robust revenue growth and strategic partnerships indicating future potential. However, the significant financial challenges, including high leverage, negative cash flows, and ongoing losses, pose substantial risks. Technical indicators are moderately positive, but the valuation remains constrained by profitability issues. Overall, while there are promising elements, the financial instability necessitates cautious optimism.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Tempus has achieved $1 billion of revenue faster than any other precision oncology lab company, showcasing its capital-efficient business model.
Market Position
Proprietary checks with medical oncologists reveal significant value in Tempus' technology platform and product suite, indicating a strong market position.
Strategic Partnerships
Tempus announced an agreement worth $200mm with AstraZeneca and Pathos AI to develop the largest multimodal foundation model in oncology, representing a first of its kind partnership type for Tempus.
Negative Factors
Revenue Challenges
Despite the company's strong performance in key areas, near-term challenges remain with increased guidance for 2025.
Segment Performance
There was a shortfall in the non-core genotyping and CRO segments, impacting overall performance.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTempus AI, Inc operates as a healthcare technology company. It engages in providing next generation sequencing diagnostics, polymerase chain reaction profiling, molecular genotyping, and other anatomic and molecular pathology testing to healthcare providers, pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology companies, researchers, and other third parties. The company also offers Insights, a license library of linked clinical, molecular, and imaging de-identified data, as well as a suite of analytical services to analytic and cloud-and-compute tools to pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies; and Trials that provides clinical trial matching services to pharmaceutical companies. In addition, it operates Next; Algos, a suite of algorithmic tests in oncology; Hub, a desktop and mobile platform for ordering, managing, and receiving tests and patient results; and Lens, a platform for researchers and scientists to find, access, and analyze Tempus data. The company was formerly known as Tempus Labs, Inc. and changed its name to Tempus AI, Inc in January 2023. Tempus AI, Inc was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyTempus AI, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale and licensing of its AI software solutions and platforms. The company offers subscription-based models for its AI services, allowing businesses to access and integrate these technologies into their operations. Additionally, Tempus AI engages in strategic partnerships with other technology firms and industry leaders to co-develop and deploy tailored AI solutions. Consulting and implementation services also contribute to its revenue, as Tempus AI assists clients in customizing and optimizing AI technologies to suit their specific needs. The company may also earn through ongoing support and maintenance contracts, ensuring that clients receive continuous service and updates for their AI systems.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tempus AI, Inc. has shown significant revenue growth but struggles with profitability, high leverage, and negative cash flows. These financial challenges indicate a need for improved cost control and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Tempus AI, Inc. has shown impressive revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $62.1 million in 2019 to $693.4 million in 2024. However, despite the revenue uptick, the company continues to face significant challenges in managing profitability. The net profit margin remains negative due to persistent losses, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect substantial operating losses. This indicates that while revenue generation is strong, cost management and operational efficiency need significant improvement.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure, with high total liabilities of $869.8 million against a minimal stockholders' equity of $56.3 million in 2024, leading to an unfavorable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is extremely low, indicating heavy reliance on debt financing. Although the company has managed to maintain a reasonable level of cash and short-term investments, the negative stockholders' equity in recent years signals financial instability and potential solvency risks.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flows are consistently negative, reflecting challenges in generating cash from core operations. Free cash flow has shown volatility, with significant negative figures, indicating that the company is struggling to cover its capital expenditures from its operations. Although there is a positive trend in financing cash flows, suggesting successful capital raising efforts, the heavy reliance on external financing poses a risk if such inflows are not sustainable.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
693.40M531.82M320.67M257.85M188.00M
Gross Profit
381.11M286.18M121.68M77.39M22.83M
EBIT
-691.08M-196.08M-269.14M-243.98M-193.93M
EBITDA
-610.42M-133.33M-236.85M-219.52M-169.37M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-705.81M-214.12M-289.81M-259.19M-209.85M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
448.26M197.57M302.94M277.69M513.44M
Total Assets
926.12M564.05M631.36M531.35M751.92M
Total Debt
468.09M488.14M433.03M238.95M251.45M
Net Debt
127.14M322.38M130.09M-38.74M-261.99M
Total Liabilities
869.78M1.95B734.25M440.55M405.75M
Stockholders Equity
56.34M-1.38B-102.88M90.80M346.17M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-211.17M-248.95M-186.58M-223.75M-219.98M
Operating Cash Flow
-189.04M-214.34M-168.20M-211.98M-206.56M
Investing Cash Flow
-130.39M-40.31M-57.94M-21.72M-13.42M
Financing Cash Flow
494.33M117.55M251.39M-2.04M506.11M

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.19
Price Trends
50DMA
48.98
Positive
100DMA
49.88
Positive
200DMA
50.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.10
Negative
RSI
61.80
Neutral
STOCH
63.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.37, above the 50-day MA of 48.98, and above the 200-day MA of 50.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TEM.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A disclosed 97 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tempus AI, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$9.11B113.512.27%0.66%-75.89%
68
Neutral
$21.23B-19.42%56.75%59.77%
61
Neutral
$10.18B-36.89%11.57%-315.25%
56
Neutral
$4.40B7.85-18.54%5.13%19.90%-56.46%
TETEM
55
Neutral
$9.03B-1252.79%30.38%-195.58%
GHGH
52
Neutral
$5.80B-4584.47%28.20%13.87%
51
Neutral
$12.33B-30.11%-2.93%-4.69%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEM
Tempus AI, Inc. Class A
52.19
15.71
43.06%
EXAS
Exact Sciences
53.28
-6.20
-10.42%
ILMN
Illumina
74.53
-32.97
-30.67%
QGEN
Qiagen
42.63
-0.30
-0.70%
NTRA
Natera
155.50
59.84
62.55%
GH
Guardant Health
41.93
23.29
124.95%

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant year-over-year growth in revenue, gross profit, and genomic segments, alongside improved adjusted EBITDA and strong guidance for future growth. The partnership with AstraZeneca and Pathos is seen as a major achievement. However, challenges remain with a negative adjusted EBITDA and the need to meter MRD volumes due to reimbursement issues.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Quarterly revenue increased 75.4% year-over-year to $255.7 million.
Genomics Revenue Surge
Genomics revenue was $193.8 million, marking an 89% year-over-year growth.
Oncology and Hereditary Testing Growth
Oncology testing grew 31% year-over-year with approximately 20% volume growth. Hereditary testing revenue was $63.5 million, with units growing by 23%.
Significant Increase in Gross Profit
Quarterly gross profit increased 99.8% year-over-year to $155.2 million.
Improvement in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA improved by $27.8 million year-over-year, from negative $43.9 million to negative $16.2 million.
Major Partnership with AstraZeneca and Pathos
Announced a three-year, $200 million data and modeling license agreement with AstraZeneca and Pathos.
Increased Full Year Revenue Guidance
Full year 2025 revenue guidance increased to $1.25 billion, representing about 80% year-over-year growth.
Negative Updates
Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Despite improvements, adjusted EBITDA remains negative at $16.2 million.
Metered MRD Volume Due to Lack of Reimbursement
Managing and metering volumes for MRD assays due to lack of reimbursement by MolDx.
Company Guidance
During the Tempus First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, Eric Lefkofsky, CEO, highlighted a strong start to the year with quarterly revenue growing 75.4% year-over-year to $255.7 million. Genomics revenue saw an 89% increase year-over-year, reaching $193.8 million. Oncology testing grew 31% year-over-year with a 20% increase in volume, while hereditary testing contributed $63.5 million with a 23% growth in units. Revenue from Data and Services totaled $61.9 million, marking a 43% year-over-year increase, with the Insights business growing 58%. Tempus generated $155.2 million in gross profit, reflecting a 99.8% year-over-year growth. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $16.2 million, an improvement from a $43.9 million loss in Q1 2024. Tempus raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $1.25 billion, representing approximately 80% growth. A significant highlight was a three-year, $200 million data and modeling license agreement with AstraZeneca and Pathos, bringing Tempus' total remaining contract value to over $1 billion, which Lefkofsky noted as a milestone toward advancing precision medicine.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tempus AI Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Tempus AI, Inc. reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showcasing a 75.4% increase in revenue year-over-year to $255.7 million and a 99.8% rise in gross profit. The company announced strategic collaborations with AstraZeneca and Pathos to develop a multimodal foundation model in oncology, projected to bring in $200 million over the next three years. Tempus also completed the acquisition of Ambry Genetics and disclosed a collaboration with Illumina to enhance genomic algorithms. Despite reporting a net loss of $68 million, Tempus improved its adjusted EBITDA significantly compared to the previous year and increased its full-year revenue guidance to $1.25 billion, representing an 80% growth year-over-year.

Spark’s Take on TEM Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TEM is a Neutral.

Tempus AI, Inc. shows strong revenue growth and positive strategic developments, yet faces substantial financial challenges, including high leverage and negative cash flows. The earnings call provides an optimistic outlook with strategic initiatives and partnerships expected to drive future growth. However, the company’s valuation and technical indicators suggest caution, as persistent losses and mixed market momentum create uncertainty. Overall, the stock is positioned in a recovery phase but requires careful monitoring of financial stability and execution of strategic plans.

To see Spark’s full report on TEM stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsFinancial Disclosures
Tempus AI Reports Strong Q4 2024 Financial Growth
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

Tempus AI, Inc. reported significant financial growth for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, with a 35.8% increase in quarterly revenue and a 49.7% rise in gross profit, driven by its data and services segment. The company completed the acquisition of Ambry Genetics and announced new agreements with major healthcare providers, positioning itself for robust revenue growth and positive Adjusted EBITDA in 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.