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Trueblue Inc (TBI)
NYSE:TBI
US Market

Trueblue (TBI) AI Stock Analysis

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Trueblue

(NYSE:TBI)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(6.71%Upside)
TrueBlue's financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability, are the most significant factors impacting the score. Although technical indicators show some positive trends, valuation concerns and a mixed earnings outlook contribute to the moderate overall score.
Positive Factors
Business expansion
Its recent HSP accretive acquisition should help expand into a vertical with more secular growth trends.
Competitive advantages
Management believes its competitive advantages should help TBI gain share as the environment improves.
Negative Factors
Market uncertainty
Management acknowledged the current environment is still one of uncertainty, with customers still hesitant to make longer-term hiring decisions.

Trueblue (TBI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trueblue Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrueBlue, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides specialized workforce solutions in the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico. It operates through three segments: PeopleReady, PeopleManagement, and PeopleScout. The PeopleReady segment offers contingent staffing solutions for blue-collar, on-demand, and skilled labor in construction, manufacturing and logistics, warehousing and distribution, waste and recycling, energy, retail, hospitality, and general labor industries. The PeopleManagement segment provides contingent labor and outsourced industrial workforce solutions. This segment also offers on-site management and recruitment for the contingent industrial workforce of manufacturing, warehouse, and distribution facilities; and recruitment and management of contingent and dedicated commercial drivers to the transportation and distribution industries under the Staff Management, SIMOS Insourcing Solutions, and Centerline Drivers brands. The PeopleScout segment offers permanent employee recruitment process outsourcing services; and manages clients' contingent labor programs comprising vendor selection, performance management, compliance monitoring, and risk management. The company was formerly known as Labor Ready, Inc. and changed its name to TrueBlue, Inc. in December 2007. TrueBlue, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Tacoma, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrueBlue makes money primarily through its staffing and workforce management services. The company generates revenue by providing temporary and permanent staffing solutions, charging clients for the placement of workers across various industries. Key revenue streams include fees for temporary staffing, which are typically based on a markup over employee wages, and service fees for recruitment and workforce management solutions. TrueBlue's PeopleScout segment, specializing in RPO, charges clients for managing their recruitment processes. Significant factors contributing to earnings include strong client relationships, industry demand for flexible labor solutions, and operational efficiency in delivering staffing services.

Trueblue Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 52.91%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While TrueBlue demonstrated resilience with strategic partnerships, digital advancements, and operational efficiencies, the company faced revenue declines, a net loss, and market uncertainties impacting client demand.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Near High End of Outlook
TrueBlue reported revenue of $370 million for the quarter, which was near the high end of their outlook range despite a challenging market environment.
Strategic Partnerships and Expansions
The company secured a new engagement with a global logistics company and announced a strategic partnership with OMNIA Partners, enhancing their market position.
PeopleManagement Growth
PeopleManagement returned to growth with revenue up 1%, driven by strong results from the commercial drivers' business, marking the third consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
Operational Efficiencies and Cost Management
TrueBlue successfully reduced SG&A by 12%, exceeding the pace of revenue decline, and achieved improved operational efficiencies.
Digital Transformation and AI Advancements
Advancements in digital transformation included AI integration across platforms, enhancing user experience and operational efficiencies.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Total revenue declined by 8% year-over-year, reflecting subdued market demand and client uncertainty.
Net Loss for the Quarter
The company reported a net loss of $14 million, partly due to income tax expenses and reduced revenue leverage.
Decline in PeopleReady and PeopleSolutions Revenue
PeopleReady revenue declined by 15%, and PeopleSolutions saw a 2% decline, including a 26% organic decline.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased by 140 basis points, influenced by changes in revenue mix and pricing pressures.
Company Guidance
In the TrueBlue First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance reflecting a cautious yet optimistic outlook amidst ongoing market uncertainties. Revenue for the first quarter was $370 million, near the high end of their guidance range, despite an 8% year-over-year decline, with 3 percentage points of growth attributed to the recent acquisition of Healthcare Staffing Professionals (HSP). Gross margin was reported at 23.3%, a decrease of 140 basis points, impacted by changes in revenue mix and pricing pressures. The company also highlighted its efforts to optimize its business model, including a 50% increase in field sales representatives and strategic partnerships aimed at accelerating growth. For the second quarter, TrueBlue anticipates revenue growth ranging from -1% to +5% year-over-year, including a 5 percentage point contribution from the HSP acquisition. The company continues to focus on expanding its market presence, particularly in high-growth sectors like healthcare, and advancing its digital transformation to enhance user experience and operational efficiencies.

Trueblue Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TrueBlue is experiencing significant financial challenges with declining revenues, increased leverage, and negative cash flows. These issues highlight operational and liquidity risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement for Trueblue reveals a challenging financial period. The TTM data shows a significant decline in revenue and profitability, with negative EBIT and net income margins. Revenue has seen a declining trend over the past few years, and the company is currently operating at a loss, resulting in a negative net profit margin. This indicates potential difficulties in managing costs relative to revenue, reflecting adverse operational performance.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a mixed scenario. Trueblue's debt-to-equity ratio has increased over the years, suggesting higher leverage, which could be a risk if not managed properly. However, the equity ratio remains reasonable, indicating a stable base of stockholders' equity. Return on equity has been negative recently due to losses, which is a concern, but the overall equity position provides some stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow metrics indicate significant pressure. Operating cash flow is negative in the TTM, and free cash flow has declined, reflecting challenges in generating cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio and operating cash flow to net income ratio are unfavorable, highlighting potential liquidity issues if this trend continues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.25B1.57B1.91B2.25B2.17B1.85B
Gross Profit378.69M406.39M506.06M602.14M560.32M440.64M
EBITDA-19.81M-3.54M11.46M115.61M96.00M-126.04M
Net Income-138.40M-125.75M-14.17M62.27M61.63M-141.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets692.47M675.38M899.38M1.02B1.03B980.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.06M22.54M61.88M72.05M49.90M62.51M
Total Debt115.22M66.53M61.34M62.56M67.02M68.73M
Total Liabilities390.25M360.02M441.51M523.09M540.16M543.39M
Stockholders Equity302.22M315.36M457.87M496.31M493.07M437.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-46.39M-41.21M3.48M89.88M-14.57M125.47M
Operating Cash Flow-24.93M-17.06M34.75M120.50M20.44M152.53M
Investing Cash Flow-27.34M-2.45M-32.32M-20.95M-16.22M-34.41M
Financing Cash Flow45.94M-17.09M-37.58M-64.69M-19.13M-92.50M

Trueblue Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.56
Price Trends
50DMA
5.45
Positive
100DMA
5.74
Positive
200DMA
6.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Positive
RSI
56.27
Neutral
STOCH
25.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TBI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.42, above the 50-day MA of 5.45, and below the 200-day MA of 6.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TBI.

Trueblue Risk Analysis

Trueblue disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trueblue reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trueblue Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HQHQI
69
Neutral
$136.92M41.465.67%2.38%-7.66%-34.08%
65
Neutral
$10.36B15.105.28%2.01%2.70%-26.16%
DHDHX
62
Neutral
$127.24M268.89-7.21%-7.42%-567.61%
MHMHH
61
Neutral
$78.94M38.412.52%3.93%
60
Neutral
$61.21M-3.95%4.69%-12.93%-159.19%
51
Neutral
$399.19M11.43-1.60%2.66%-3.49%-140.04%
TBTBI
50
Neutral
$191.73M-36.98%-16.76%-1127.93%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TBI
Trueblue
6.56
-3.42
-34.27%
DHX
DHI Group
2.93
0.75
34.40%
KELYA
Kelly Services
11.46
-9.33
-44.88%
MHH
Mastech Holdings
6.80
-1.02
-13.04%
BGSF
BGSF
5.59
-2.77
-33.13%
HQI
HireQuest
10.02
-2.06
-17.05%

Trueblue Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
TrueBlue Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting May 2025
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 14, 2025, TrueBlue, Inc. held its annual meeting of shareholders where 27,085,588 shares were represented. During the meeting, shareholders elected nine directors, approved executive compensation, amended the 2016 Omnibus Incentive Plan, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 28, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TBI) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trueblue stock, see the TBI Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
TrueBlue Declares Dividend Amid Acquisition Defense
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, TrueBlue’s Board of Directors declared a dividend of one preferred stock purchase right for each share of common stock, effective May 28, 2025. This move, part of a limited duration shareholder rights agreement, aims to protect shareholder interests against an unsolicited acquisition proposal from HireQuest, Inc. The agreement is designed to prevent any entity from gaining control of TrueBlue without paying a control premium or allowing the Board to make informed decisions, thus safeguarding the company’s and shareholders’ best interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TBI) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trueblue stock, see the TBI Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TrueBlue Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results Amid Challenges
Negative
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, TrueBlue reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, showing a revenue of $370 million, an 8% decrease from the previous year. The company faced a net loss of $14 million, with adjusted EBITDA at -$4 million. Despite subdued market demand and evolving governmental policies impacting the staffing industry, TrueBlue remains focused on leveraging its strengths and strategic priorities to capture market share and enhance profitability. The acquisition of Healthcare Staffing Professionals is part of its expansion into growth markets and high-value roles, including healthcare.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 13, 2025