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Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN)
NASDAQ:SUPN
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Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN) AI Stock Analysis

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SUPN

Supernus Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:SUPN)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$48.00
▲(1.57% Upside)
Supernus Pharmaceuticals demonstrates strong product growth and a stable balance sheet, but faces profitability and cash flow challenges. The technical analysis suggests potential for recovery, while valuation metrics are currently unattractive. The earnings call provided a positive outlook, but highlighted operational losses and supply issues.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth reflects strong demand for Supernus's products, indicating successful market penetration and product adoption.
Product Performance
Strong performance of key products suggests robust demand and effective market strategies, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Financial Stability
A low debt-to-equity ratio enhances financial stability, providing flexibility for future investments and growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Operating Losses
Significant operating losses can strain financial resources and impact profitability, necessitating cost management improvements.
Supply Constraints
Supply constraints hinder growth potential and customer satisfaction, requiring resolution to meet demand and sustain sales momentum.
Decreased Cash Reserves
Reduced cash reserves limit financial flexibility and may constrain the company's ability to invest in growth or manage unforeseen expenses.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSupernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of products for the treatment of central nervous system (CNS) diseases in the United States. Its commercial products are Trokendi XR, an extended release topiramate product indicated for the treatment of epilepsy, as well as for the prophylaxis of migraine headache; and Oxtellar XR, an extended release oxcarbazepine for the monotherapy treatment of partial onset epilepsy seizures in adults and children between 6 to 17 years of age. The company's commercial products also comprise Qelbree, a selective norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor indicated for the treatment of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in pediatric patients 6 to 17 years of age; APOKYN for the acute intermittent treatment of hypomobility or off episodes in patients with advanced Parkinson's Disease (PD); XADAGO for treating levodopa/carbidopa in patients with PD experiencing off episodes; MYOBLOC, a Type B toxin product indicated for the treatment of cervical dystonia and sialorrhea in adults; GOCOVRI for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with PD; and Osmolex ER for the treatment of Parkinson's disease and drug-induced extrapyramidal reaction in adult patients. In addition, its product candidates include Qelbree (SPN-812), which has completed Phase III clinical trials that is used for the treatment of ADHD; SPN-830, a late-stage drug/device combination product candidate for the prevention of off episodes in PD patients; SPN-817, a novel product candidate in Phase I clinical trials for the treatment of severe epilepsy; SPN-820, a product candidate in Phase II clinical trials for treating resistant depression; and SPN-443 and SPN-446, which are in preclinical stage for treating CNS. The company markets and sells its products through pharmaceutical wholesalers, specialty pharmacies, and distributors. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Rockville, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneySupernus Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the sale of its prescription medications. The company's key revenue streams include sales of its core products, particularly Oxtellar XR and Trokendi XR, which are marketed to healthcare providers and patients. Additionally, Supernus engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales of co-developed products. The company's focus on expanding its product portfolio through research and development initiatives, along with potential new product launches, also contributes to its revenue generation. Supernus's earnings are further supported by its ability to navigate the complex regulatory environment for drug approvals, ensuring that its products reach the market effectively.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong growth in key products and an optimistic financial outlook overshadowed by significant operating losses and supply constraints for Onapgo. The company is addressing these challenges while maintaining a focus on future growth opportunities.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth Products Performance
Qelbree, GOCOVRI, Zurzuvae, and Onapgo accounted for approximately 78% of total revenues. Qelbree achieved 23% growth in prescriptions and 31% growth in net sales compared to the same period last year.
Onapgo Sales Surge
Onapgo generated net sales of $6.8 million in the third quarter, up from $1.6 million in the second quarter.
Zurzuvae Collaboration Revenue
Collaboration revenue from Zurzuvae was $20.2 million in the third quarter of 2025, with U.S. sales increasing approximately 150% compared to the same period in 2024.
Positive Financial Outlook
Updated full year 2025 financial guidance, increasing expected total revenue to range from $685 million to $705 million, up from the previous range of $670 million to $700 million.
Negative Updates
Operating Losses Due to Acquisition Costs
Operating loss on a GAAP basis for the third quarter of 2025 was $60.2 million, primarily due to higher SG&A expenses including $70 million of acquisition-related costs from the Sage acquisition.
Supply Constraints for Onapgo
Stronger-than-expected demand for Onapgo led to supplier constraints, impacting the company's ability to meet demand and pausing delivery to new patients.
Decreased Cash Reserves
As of September 30, 2025, the company had approximately $281 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, compared to $454 million as of December 31, 2024, due to the funding of the Sage acquisition.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Supernus Pharmaceuticals reported robust performance driven by its four growth products—Qelbree, GOCOVRI, Zurzuvae, and Onapgo—accounting for approximately 78% of total revenues. Onapgo net sales surged from $1.6 million in Q2 to $6.8 million in Q3, despite supplier constraints limiting its ability to meet high demand. Collaboration revenue from Zurzuvae reached $20.2 million, showcasing a 150% increase in U.S. sales compared to Q3 2024. Qelbree prescriptions grew by 23%, with net sales up 31% year-over-year, bolstered by a strong back-to-school season. GOCOVRI's net sales rose by 15% from the previous year, reflecting growth in prescriptions and prescriber numbers. Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $192.1 million, marking an increase from $175.7 million in Q3 2024. The company updated its 2025 guidance, expecting total revenue between $685 million and $705 million, and non-GAAP operating earnings ranging from $125 million to $145 million.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Supernus Pharmaceuticals shows strong gross margins and low leverage, indicating financial stability. However, challenges in revenue growth and a decrease in net profit margin suggest areas for improvement. The company maintains operational efficiency and robust cash flow management, with a solid balance sheet characterized by low debt levels.
Income Statement
Supernus Pharmaceuticals has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has a strong gross profit margin of 82.3% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 9.7% TTM from 11.2% in the previous year, reflecting pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been negative at -0.43% TTM, signaling potential challenges in expanding sales. Despite these challenges, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 12.8% and 24.9% TTM, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Supernus Pharmaceuticals is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 TTM, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is modest at 6.2% TTM, suggesting moderate profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, reflecting a strong capital structure. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a 13.8% growth in free cash flow TTM, highlighting improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.65 TTM, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, demonstrating strong cash flow relative to earnings. These metrics suggest that the company is effectively managing its cash resources.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue192.59B661.82M607.52M667.24M579.77M520.40M
Gross Profit173.55B583.91M523.74M580.02M504.71M467.94M
EBITDA43.05M178.28M90.04M153.44M129.19M212.40M
Net Income-19.12M73.86M1.32M60.71M53.42M126.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.42T1.37B1.28B1.70B1.69B1.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments281.16B453.61M254.87M461.33M339.68M422.53M
Total Debt31.42B34.27M41.53M437.97M420.55M390.33M
Total Liabilities370.09B332.34M356.16M816.30M873.30M759.24M
Stockholders Equity1.05T1.04B921.52M886.20M815.85M744.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow44.19M171.23M110.53M116.41M125.08M134.95M
Operating Cash Flow44.41M171.95M111.08M116.83M127.13M138.40M
Investing Cash Flow42.78M-189.87M268.73M-216.66M-81.91M-34.70M
Financing Cash Flow6.49M12.19M-397.88M-10.48M-130.42M3.56M

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price47.26
Price Trends
50DMA
48.58
Negative
100DMA
42.36
Positive
200DMA
37.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.08
Positive
RSI
39.70
Neutral
STOCH
48.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUPN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 47.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.69, below the 50-day MA of 48.58, and above the 200-day MA of 37.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SUPN.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Supernus Pharmaceuticals disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Supernus Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$1.18B9.0718.32%1.37%-18.10%
66
Neutral
$2.01B-2.82%38.68%-160.14%
61
Neutral
$1.85B-0.32%79.88%99.60%
55
Neutral
$3.20B-1.86%4.54%-130.59%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$1.47B24.1198.37%
48
Neutral
$2.78B-0.65%5.55%-2.55%66.00%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
47.26
10.86
29.84%
AVDL
Avadel Pharmaceuticals
18.71
2.99
19.02%
PRGO
Perrigo Company
14.93
-10.87
-42.13%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
90.23
31.85
54.56%
AMPH
Amphastar Pharmaceuticals
24.23
-21.86
-47.43%
ALVO
Alvotech
5.06
-7.60
-60.03%

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Supernus Pharmaceuticals’ Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

Supernus Pharmaceuticals’ recent earnings call painted a mixed picture for investors. While the company reported strong growth in key products and an optimistic financial outlook, these positives were overshadowed by significant operating losses and supply constraints for Onapgo. Despite these challenges, Supernus remains focused on future growth opportunities.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Nov 5, 2025

Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company that specializes in developing and commercializing treatments for central nervous system (CNS) diseases. The company has a diverse portfolio that includes approved treatments for conditions such as ADHD, Parkinson’s disease, and epilepsy.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsProduct-Related Announcements
Supernus Faces Supply Constraints Amid High ONAPGO Demand
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Supernus Pharmaceuticals announced that due to stronger than expected demand for ONAPGO, supplier constraints are impacting the company’s ability to fully meet this demand. As a result, the company is prioritizing care for patients currently on ONAPGO by pausing delivery to new patients. The company is working to build adequate inventory and resume new patient initiations as soon as possible. Additionally, Supernus reported a 52% increase in combined revenues of its four growth products in the third quarter of 2025, driven by an increase in net sales of Qelbree and GOCOVRI, and the addition of sales from ZURZUVAE and ONAPGO. The company also completed the acquisition of Sage Therapeutics, Inc. on July 31, 2025, and increased its full-year 2025 revenue guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (SUPN) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Supernus Pharmaceuticals stock, see the SUPN Stock Forecast page.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals’ Real-World Study on ONAPGOTM: A Closer Look
Oct 27, 2025

Study Overview: Supernus Pharmaceuticals is conducting a Phase 4 observational study titled ‘Real-World Patient Experiences Using Continuous Subcutaneous Apomorphine Infusion (ONAPGOTM) in the United States.’ The study aims to gather real-world data on the experiences of Parkinson’s disease patients using ONAPGOTM, highlighting its significance in understanding patient outcomes and treatment efficacy in everyday settings.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Advances ADHD Treatment Study in Young Children
Oct 27, 2025

Study Overview: Supernus Pharmaceuticals is conducting a Phase 4 clinical study titled ‘A Phase 4, Randomized, Double-Blind, Multicenter, Placebo-Controlled, Parallel-Group Study of the Efficacy and Safety of SPN-812 in Preschool-Age Children (4 to 5 Years Old) With Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD)’. The study aims to evaluate the efficacy and safety of SPN-812 (viloxazine extended release) in treating ADHD in young children, a significant step in addressing this condition in early childhood.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Advances SPN-817 Study for Seizure Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

Study Overview: Supernus Pharmaceuticals is conducting a study titled An Open-Label Extension, One-Year, Safety, and Efficacy Study of SPN-817 in Adults With Focal Onset Seizures. The study aims to evaluate the long-term safety and efficacy of SPN-817, a promising treatment for focal onset seizures. This study is significant as it could lead to a new therapeutic option for patients with this condition.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Advances with RENAISSANCE 2 Study on SPN-817
Oct 27, 2025

Study Overview: The RENAISSANCE 2 study, officially titled ‘RENAISSANCE 2: a Double-Blind, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled, Multicenter, Parallel-Group Study to Evaluate the Efficacy, Safety, and Tolerability of SPN-817 in Adults with Focal Onset Seizures,’ aims to assess the effectiveness and safety of SPN-817 in treating focal onset seizures in adults. This study is significant as it explores a potential new treatment option for a condition that affects many individuals worldwide.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

Supernus Pharmaceuticals’ recent earnings call conveyed a cautiously optimistic sentiment, highlighting robust growth in core products and a strategic acquisition that promises future expansion. However, the positive outlook was tempered by a decline in operating earnings and rising expenses.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025