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State Street
(NYSE:STT)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$213.00
â–²(10.39% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/14/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile TTM cash generation despite solid reported profitability. Offsetting this, price action and momentum are constructive (above key moving averages with supportive MACD/RSI), while the latest earnings call was notably positive with raised 2026 guidance, strong operating leverage, and increased shareholder returns. Valuation is reasonable but not especially cheap, and the dividend yield offers limited downside support.
Positive Factors
Institutional asset growth
Record assets and sustained net inflows strengthen State Street’s fee-based servicing and management franchises. Continued institutional demand broadens the recurring revenue base, supports scale benefits, and provides durable operating momentum beyond a single quarter.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
Negative TTM operating and free cash flow weaken confidence that reported profits are translating into available cash. The multi-year swings also reduce financial flexibility, potentially limiting internally funded investment, distributions, or resilience during weaker conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Institutional asset growth
Record assets and sustained net inflows strengthen State Street’s fee-based servicing and management franchises. Continued institutional demand broadens the recurring revenue base, supports scale benefits, and provides durable operating momentum beyond a single quarter.
Read all positive factors
State Street Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Type
Analyzes revenue streams such as fees, interest, and trading income, highlighting the company's diverse income sources and potential vulnerabilities or strengths in its business model.
Analyzes revenue streams such as fees, interest, and trading income, highlighting the company's diverse income sources and potential vulnerabilities or strengths in its business model.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyState Street (STT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$48.06B
Dividend Yield1.97%
Average Volume (3M)1.90M
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.2
Beta (1Y)1.06
Revenue Growth1.05%
EPS Growth27.32%
CountryUS
Employees50,596
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryAsset Management
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)11.53
Shares Outstanding274,701,750
10 Day Avg. Volume1,914,143
30 Day Avg. Volume1,895,138
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.92
Price to Book (P/B)1.32
Price to Sales (P/S)1.62
P/FCF Ratio8.55
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.61
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.37
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.16
Enterprise Value/Ebitda15.05
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$201.84Price Target Upside4.61% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering16
EPS Forecast (FY)13.74
Revenue Forecast (FY)$15.94B
State Street Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
State Street Corporation (STT) is a well-established global financial services firm that delivers a wide array of financial products and specialized services to institutional investors worldwide. The company's extensive offerings include core inve...
How the Company Makes Money
State Street primarily earns revenue by providing services and products to institutional clients (e.g., asset managers, asset owners, insurers, official institutions) across two main businesses: (1) Investment Servicing and (2) Investment Manageme...
State Street Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 16, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive message: State Street reported record revenues, strong EPS growth, expanding margins and ROTCE, robust asset and inflow metrics, and meaningful progress across markets and investment management. Management raised 2026 guidance, set ambitious medium‑term targets (35% pretax margin; mid‑20s ROTCE), and outlined a $1B transformation program to drive productivity and revenue uplift. Notable near‑term headwinds include a decline in software services revenue (driven by timing of renewals), higher expenses tied to revenue‑related costs and strategic investments, one‑time transformation costs (~$500M), and the early‑stage nature/regulatory uncertainty of digital asset initiatives. Overall, highlights materially outweigh lowlights given strong operating performance, upgraded guidance, capital returns, and a clear transformation plan — supporting a Positive sentiment.Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Strong EPS Performance
Total quarterly revenue rose 17% year‑over‑year to a record $4.0 billion; GAAP EPS for 2Q26 was $3.65 vs. $2.17 in 2Q25. Excluding prior-year notable items, earnings grew ~44% year‑over‑year driven by record fee revenue, record servicing, management and FX trading revenues, and record net interest income.
Negative Updates
Software Services Revenue Decline
Software services revenue fell 14% year‑over‑year (ex‑prior notable items), driven by elevated on‑premises renewals in the prior year; however, underlying software & data revenue rose ~10% YoY, annual recurring revenue grew ~14%, and backlog was up ~6%.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Revenue and Strong EPS Performance
Total quarterly revenue rose 17% year‑over‑year to a record $4.0 billion; GAAP EPS for 2Q26 was $3.65 vs. $2.17 in 2Q25. Excluding prior-year notable items, earnings grew ~44% year‑over‑year driven by record fee revenue, record servicing, management and FX trading revenues, and record net interest income.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
State Street guided 2026 (ex-notable items) to fee revenue growth of 12–13% and NII growth of 14–15%, with expenses up roughly 8%, implying about 500 bps of positive operating leverage for the year and an expected pretax margin of ~32%; they reaffirm an effective tax rate of ~22% and a total payout ratio target of ~80% (subject to board), having raised the quarterly dividend 10% to $0.92/sh (Q3) and returned $631M in 2Q. Looking to the medium term (3–5 years), management targets a 35% pretax margin and ROTCE in the mid‑20s, expects to deliver 100–150 bps of annual positive operating leverage on average, NII growth in the mid‑single digits (driven by low single‑digit balance‑sheet growth and NIM moving toward the upper end of the 110–115 bps range), plans ~$1.0B of run‑rate transformation benefits by 2029 (~75% expense / ~25% revenue), and contemplates CET1 ≈11% and Tier‑1 leverage ≈5.25–5.75%.State Street Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 22.98B | 22.63B | 21.97B | 18.37B | 13.67B | 12.03B |
| Gross Profit | 15.00B | 13.88B | 12.84B | 11.90B | 12.11B | 12.06B |
| EBITDA | 5.14B | 4.29B | 4.00B | 3.20B | 4.48B | 4.73B |
| Net Income | 3.46B | 2.94B | 2.69B | 1.94B | 2.77B | 2.69B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 418.38B | 366.05B | 353.24B | 297.26B | 301.45B | 314.62B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.29B | 146.02B | 134.55B | 136.24B | 146.20B | 183.45B |
| Total Debt | 30.47B | 29.80B | 36.79B | 24.37B | 18.27B | 15.18B |
| Total Liabilities | 390.11B | 338.21B | 327.91B | 273.46B | 276.26B | 287.26B |
| Stockholders Equity | 28.27B | 27.84B | 25.33B | 23.80B | 25.19B | 27.36B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -5.15B | 4.29B | -14.14B | -126.00M | 11.22B | -7.52B |
| Operating Cash Flow | -5.11B | 5.35B | -13.21B | 690.00M | 11.95B | -6.71B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -28.21B | -13.05B | -39.48B | 12.74B | 6.82B | -2.17B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 44.71B | 8.99B | 51.79B | -13.35B | -18.43B | 9.05B |
State Street Technical Analysis
Negative
192.95
Price Trends
184.64
Negative
176.97
Negative
154.55
Positive
Market Momentum
-3.05
Positive
36.55
Neutral
41.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 192.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 178.79, above the 50-day MA of 184.64, and above the 200-day MA of 154.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for STT.
State Street Risk Analysis
State Street disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. State Street reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
State Street Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
85 Outperform | $30.77B | 14.44 | 17.14% | 1.95% | 3.18% | 37.10% | |
77 Outperform | $44.21B | 11.91 | 61.73% | 1.32% | 8.79% | 28.59% | |
70 Outperform | $48.06B | 15.20 | 12.40% | 1.97% | 1.05% | 27.32% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
57 Neutral | $13.69B | 38.11 | 6.07% | 3.64% | -44.06% | -71.02% |
* Financial Sector Average
STT
State Street
174.96
63.42
56.85%
AMP
Ameriprise Financial
500.51
25.01
5.26%
CG
Carlyle Group
38.42
-18.39
-32.37%
NTRS
Northern
168.21
43.82
35.22%
State Street Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
State Street Restructures Leadership, Emphasizing Alpha Platform
Positive
Sep 14, 2026
On September 14, 2026, State Street Corporation announced that Enterprise Chief Operating Officer Mostapha Tahiri has been appointed President of State Street Alpha while retaining his role as Chairman of Asia Pacific. Ann Fogarty, previously Inve...
Private Placements and Financing
State Street Completes Series L Preferred Stock Offering
Positive
Aug 12, 2026
On August 12, 2026, State Street Corporation completed a public offering of 500,000 depositary shares, each representing a 1/100th interest in its Fixed Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series L, with a liquidation preference o...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
State Street Launches Series L Preferred Depositary Shares
Positive
Aug 7, 2026
On August 6, 2026, State Street Corporation amended its Articles of Organization in Massachusetts to define the designations, preferences, limitations and relative rights of a new series of Fixed Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
State Street Bank Boosts Funding Through Senior Notes
Positive
Jul 23, 2026
On July 23, 2026, State Street Bank and Trust Company issued $750 million of 4.701% Senior Notes due 2029 and $500 million of 5.217% Senior Notes due 2034 in an offering exempt from registration under U.S. securities law. The bank simultaneously e...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
State Street Posts Record Q2 Results, Boosts Dividend
Positive
Jul 17, 2026
On July 16, 2026, State Street reported second-quarter 2026 diluted EPS of $3.65, supported by total revenue of $4.05 billion, up 17% year-on-year, and fee revenue growth of 17%. Net income rose 56% versus the prior year quarter to $1.08 billion, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.