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SOAR AI (SOAR) AI Stock Analysis

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SOAR

SOAR AI

(NYSE MKT:SOAR)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:$0.24â–²(3.91% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/09/26

The overall score of 58 reflects a company in the midst of a high-risk, high-reward transformation. The primary positive driver is the recent corporate events, including a pivot to AI infrastructure via a major merger and a landmark $1.17 billion services deal, which fundamentally alters the company's outlook. This is supported by moderately bullish short-term technical momentum. However, these positives are heavily counterbalanced by the company's dire financial performance, characterized by collapsing legacy revenues, renewed net losses, and negative free cash flow, which underscores the precarious financial state of the legacy business during this transition.

Positive Factors
Contracted AI Infrastructure DemandLong-term take-or-pay commitments provide meaningful contracted demand and greater revenue visibility than purely speculative capacity expansion. The associated prepayments can help fund deployment, while the agreement establishes an anchor customer for the company’s AI infrastructure platform.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction and Renewed LossesThe sharp TTM revenue decline and return to net losses show that the 2025 improvement was not yet a stable earnings trend. Continued volatility could weaken operating leverage, restrict internally funded investment, and increase dependence on external financing while the business model transitions.

SOAR AI (SOAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%SOAR-83.70%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$1.29M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
51.50M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.2
Beta (1Y)
1.67
Revenue Growth
-67.20%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
13
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Airlines, Airports & Air Services

SOAR AI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

SOAR AI, Inc., an AI infrastructure and software company, focuses on the development and operation of AI infrastructure and AI-powered software solutions in the United States. The company constructs an AI infrastructure campus in Ohio that combines d...

SOAR AI Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is critically weak. The company has returned to significant net losses (TTM net margin -11.8%) after a brief profitable year, with a 44.2% revenue collapse. Cash flow is a major concern, with negative free cash flow of -$466,000, indicating the core business is burning cash. The only positive is a cleaned-up balance sheet with minimal debt, but the small asset base provides little cushion against ongoing losses.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

10Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.18M78.56M46.29M35.57M96.71M1.06M
Gross Profit7.80M14.69M7.50M4.79M2.43M202.56K
EBITDA3.29M6.25M-14.56M-4.24M-8.43M-1.42M
Net Income-3.57M5.17M-40.65M-52.82M-9.37M-1.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.54M11.95M46.30M71.71M30.26M14.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.08M7.63M2.16M14.49M5.78M1.61M
Total Debt107.00K4.36M33.07M29.68M29.80M6.00M
Total Liabilities10.07M13.80M62.63M56.96M35.93M7.08M
Stockholders Equity3.46M-1.85M-16.33M14.75M-5.67M3.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-466.00K3.28M-17.06M-31.03M-21.69M-1.22M
Operating Cash Flow101.00K3.49M-16.92M-30.39M-21.43M-1.22M
Investing Cash Flow-8.46M-8.08M-115.00K1.78M5.14M-281.52M
Financing Cash Flow12.09M5.28M4.31M37.46M22.56M285.32M

SOAR AI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.23

Price Trends

50DMA0.23Negative
100DMA0.19Positive
200DMA0.25Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI47.20Neutral
STOCH32.67Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOAR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.25, below the 50-day MA of 0.23, and below the 200-day MA of 0.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SOAR.

SOAR AI Risk Analysis

SOAR AI disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SOAR AI reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.A key component of our business plan is to seek to effect one or more acquisitions, business combinations or strategic relationships to broaden our business operations, and we terminated the previously contemplated Merger with M2i. Future business combinations and acquisition transactions, if any, may not succeed in generating the intended benefits and may adversely affect our business.Q2, 2026

SOAR AI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

SOAR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
SOARSOAR58Neutral$12.34M-0.20-270.63%―-67.20%―
SRFMSRFM50Neutral$100.30M-0.35182.56%―3.14%48.61%
ULCCULCC47Neutral$1.49B-3.58-186.46%―23.97%-200.15%
FLYXFLYX39Underperform$117.39M-1.447.78%―16.15%32.19%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%SOARULCCFLYXSRFMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SOAR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SOARSoar Ai, Inc. Class A0.23-1.20-83.90%
ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc.6.452.7574.32%
FLYXFlyexclusive, Inc.1.15-2.63-69.58%
SRFMSurf Air Mobility, Inc.0.76-3.10-80.39%

SOAR AI Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

SOAR AI Highlights New AI Infrastructure Growth Strategy

Neutral
Oct 21, 2026

On October 15, 2026, SOAR AI filed a Charter Amendment in Delaware to change its corporate name from Volato Group, Inc. to SOAR AI, Inc., effective October 19, 2026, while keeping its NYSE American ticker “SOAR” and CUSIP unchanged and le...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Volato Group Establishes Major Equity Financing Facility

Positive
Oct 9, 2026

On October 8, 2026, Volato Group, Inc. entered into a $1 billion equity line of credit agreement with DFU, LLC, giving the company the discretionary right to sell newly issued Class A common shares over a 36‑month investment period, subject to...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Volato Secures Transformational AI Infrastructure Master Services Deal

Positive
Sep 28, 2026

On September 22, 2026, Volato’s Alignment Engine subsidiary signed a master services agreement with a large AI customer for dedicated, single-tenant GPU clusters and platform services, anchored at its Ohio AI infrastructure campus. The two init...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings

Volato Group completes transformative merger and leadership change

Positive
Sep 11, 2026

The merger closed on September 11, 2026, following amendments that set Aligned securityholders’ post‑closing stake at 95% of Volato’s fully diluted Class A common stock through new Series A and Series A‑1 non‑voting conv...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Volato Group Extends flyExclusive Aircraft Management Agreement

Positive
Sep 4, 2026

Volato Group, Inc. entered into an Aircraft Management Services Agreement with flyExclusive, Inc. on September 2, 2024, under which flyExclusive became the exclusive provider of certain aircraft management services and agreed to market designated air...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions

Volato to Merge Alignment Engine, Pivot to AI Infrastructure

Neutral
Aug 28, 2026

On August 25, 2026, Volato Group entered into a definitive agreement to merge Alignment Engine into a wholly owned subsidiary in a transaction valuing the AI infrastructure company at about $500 million. The deal will reposition Volato around advance...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026