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Smart Sand (SND) AI Stock Analysis

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SND

Smart Sand

(NASDAQ:SND)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:$4.50â–²(0.22% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:11/11/26

The score is driven primarily by improved fundamentals—solid TTM free cash flow, low leverage, and a recovery in earnings—supported by shareholder-friendly capital returns and liquidity actions. These positives are partially offset by very weak technical momentum (below major moving averages with negative MACD and RSI in oversold territory) and the company’s thin margins and historical cyclicality.

Positive Factors
Revenue and earnings recoveryThe sharp increase in revenue from $126.6 million in 2021 to $406.5 million TTM, alongside a return to positive earnings, shows meaningful operating recovery. If maintained, greater scale can support stronger utilization, customer coverage, and earnings capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin profitabilityDespite the earnings recovery, thin net margins leave relatively little protection if realized pricing, volumes, or operating costs move unfavorably. Moderate returns on equity also indicate that the improved scale has not yet translated into consistently strong profitability for shareholders.

Smart Sand (SND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%SND+90.17%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$190.37M
Dividend Yield
7.80%
Average Volume (3M)
246.64K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.2
Beta (1Y)
0.15
Revenue Growth
21.17%
EPS Growth
298.52%
Country
US
Employees
318
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Smart Sand Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Smart Sand, Inc., a fully integrated frac and industrial sand supply and services company, provides mine to wellsite proppant supply and logistics solutions to its frac sand customers in the United States and Canada. The company operates in two segme...

How the Company Makes Money

Smart Sand makes money primarily by selling processed frac sand (proppant) used in hydraulic fracturing operations. Its core revenue stream is the sale of sand volumes (typically priced per ton) to customers in the upstream oil and gas sector—commonl...

Smart Sand Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2024(Q3-2024)|% Change Since:90.01%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. Positive aspects included a focus on free cash flow, shareholder returns, and strategic growth initiatives. However, challenges such as decreased sales volumes and revenue, alongside lower contribution margins and EBITDA, highlighted operational pressures. The company remains optimistic about future demand and pricing improvements, particularly in natural gas markets.

Positive Updates

Positive Free Cash Flow
Smart Sand reported positive free cash flow of $3.7 million for the third quarter and $11.7 million year-to-date. The company remains cash flow positive for 2024.

Negative Updates

Decrease in Sales Volumes and Revenue
Third quarter sales volumes decreased by 7% from the second quarter, with total revenues dropping from $73.8 million to $63.2 million.

Company Guidance

During Smart Sand's Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided several financial metrics and guidance reflecting its performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported sales volumes of just under 1.2 million tons and an adjusted EBITDA of $5.7 million for the quarter. Positive free cash flow was reported at $3.7 million, contributing to a year-to-date free cash flow of $11.7 million. Despite a 7% decrease from the previous quarter, total revenues were $63.2 million, with a contribution margin of $13.2 million or $11.09 per ton sold. Smart Sand also highlighted a decrease in capital expenditures, down to $5.1 million year-to-date compared to $16.1 million in 2023, and anticipated total capital expenditures to remain under $10 million for 2024. The company announced a share buyback plan of up to $10 million and recently paid a special dividend of $0.10 per share, demonstrating a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Looking forward, Smart Sand expects a pickup in activity, especially in natural gas markets, and anticipates continued demand for Northern White Sand. They foresee fourth-quarter sand sales volumes ranging from 1.1 to 1.4 million tons and anticipate positive free cash flow for the year despite increased capital expenditures in the fourth quarter.

Smart Sand Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show a meaningful cyclical recovery: revenue has scaled materially (to $406.5M TTM) and profitability has turned positive (TTM net income $15.8M; EBITDA $36.0M). Balance sheet leverage is modest (debt-to-equity ~0.18), and cash generation is a standout with $50.0M operating cash flow and $37.1M free cash flow TTM. Offsetting factors are thin margins (TTM net margin ~3.9%), only moderate ROE (~4.4%), and a history of earnings volatility.

Income Statement

70Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

82Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue406.50M330.15M311.37M295.97M255.74M126.65M
Gross Profit55.19M35.50M44.82M41.55M29.59M-15.91M
EBITDA35.97M25.94M31.75M27.29M24.98M-31.61M
Net Income15.84M1.34M2.99M4.65M-703.00K-50.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets353.11M340.01M341.55M346.30M360.00M374.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.66M22.55M1.55M6.07M5.51M25.59M
Total Debt36.11M36.18M37.22M43.75M44.54M55.20M
Total Liabilities110.33M100.32M97.74M104.03M116.53M132.86M
Stockholders Equity242.78M239.70M243.81M242.27M243.47M241.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.14M32.52M10.85M7.96M-7.31M21.22M
Operating Cash Flow49.95M44.12M17.86M30.99M5.42M32.44M
Investing Cash Flow-12.81M-10.86M-6.92M-22.90M-18.21M-11.14M
Financing Cash Flow-20.56M-12.26M-15.46M-7.53M-7.29M-7.43M

Smart Sand Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price4.49

Price Trends

50DMA5.01Negative
100DMA4.86Negative
200DMA4.79Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.27Positive
RSI46.22Neutral
STOCH43.21Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SND, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.67, below the 50-day MA of 5.01, and below the 200-day MA of 4.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SND.

Smart Sand Risk Analysis

Smart Sand disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Smart Sand reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

  • Finance & Corporate13
  • Tech & Innovation4
  • Legal & Regulatory10
  • Production15
  • Ability to Sell8
  • Macro & Political5
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The integration of artificial intelligence into our operations, while potentially beneficial, presents significant risks that could adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.Q4, 2025
2.Tax legislation and administrative initiatives or challenges to our tax positions could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.Q4, 2025
3.Changes or consolidation within the railroad industry could adversely affect our business, operations, and competitiveness.Q4, 2025

Smart Sand Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

SND against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SNDSND71Outperform$172.56M11.226.64%7.80%21.17%298.52%
HALHAL66Neutral$26.35B13.7818.46%2.06%1.53%58.46%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
WTTRWTTR63Neutral$1.97B40.055.06%1.73%7.84%107.18%
PUMPPUMP47Neutral$840.38M362.120.21%―-6.04%―
AESIAESI46Neutral$671.38M-4.98-12.24%―-3.69%-1070.74%
ACDCACDC37Underperform$642.89M-1.49-59.53%―-3.30%-5.43%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%SNDHALPUMPWTTRACDCAESIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SND and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SNDSmart Sand Inc4.492.1692.46%
HALHalliburton Company32.936.4524.34%
PUMPPropetro Holding7.17-2.54-26.16%
WTTRSelect Energy Services16.216.2462.65%
ACDCProfrac Holding Corp. Class A3.43-0.27-7.30%
AESIAtlas Energy Solutions, Inc.5.58-3.31-37.23%

Smart Sand Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividends

Smart Sand Declares Special Dividend, Expands Capital Return Program

Positive
Nov 5, 2026

On November 5, 2026, Smart Sand’s board declared a special cash dividend of $0.05 per share, payable November 30, 2026, to stockholders of record on November 18, 2026. Including the dividend, the company said it had returned approximately $14 million...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Smart Sand Expands Credit Facility and Extends Maturity

Positive
Sep 3, 2026

Smart Sand, Inc. disclosed that it entered into a $30 million five-year senior secured asset-based credit facility on September 3, 2024, with First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company as agent and lender, establishing a revolving structure backed by the co...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Smart Sand Announces CFO Transition and Governance Changes

Positive
Aug 11, 2026

Smart Sand reported that the second quarter of 2026 was among the strongest in its history, with tons sold rising 25% sequentially and 31% year over year to about 1.86 million, driving revenue to $115.1 million and net income to $10.2 million. Gross...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026