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SLC Agricola SA (SLCJY) AI Stock Analysis

SLCJY

SLC Agricola SA

(Other OTC:SLCJY)

Select Model
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:$3.00â–¼(-4.12% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/11/26

The overall score reflects a fundamentally profitable but currently strained financial profile driven by weakening margins, lower returns on equity, high leverage and recent negative free cash flow as the dominant risk factors. Technicals show a strong recent advance but very overextended momentum, increasing the likelihood of a short-term correction and limiting the upside implied by the trend. Earnings call insights are mixed, with excellent operational execution, strong hedging and valuable land backing offset by EBITDA contraction, cost and working-capital pressures, and a leverage level above management’s target. The valuation appears only moderately appealing on earnings but is supported by a high dividend yield, which helps but does not fully offset the balance-sheet and cash-flow concerns.

Positive Factors
Superior Crop YieldsRecord soybean productivity and performance above the national average demonstrate strong operational execution and agronomic capability. Higher yields can improve unit economics, support more consistent production across cycles, and strengthen resilience when commodity prices or weather conditions are less favorable.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageLeverage of 3.09x EBITDA reduces financial flexibility and leaves the company more exposed if crop results, commodity prices, or cash generation weaken. Debt service and refinancing needs may constrain investment and shareholder distributions until management reaches its sub-2x target.

SLC Agricola SA (SLCJY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%SLCJY+20.39%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.54B
Dividend Yield
7.01%
Average Volume (3M)
28.14K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
21.4
Beta (1Y)
0.18
Revenue Growth
12.63%
EPS Growth
-33.26%
Country
US
Employees
6,729
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Agricultural Farm Products

SLC Agricola SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

SLC Agrícola S.A. is a prominent agricultural enterprise engaged in the cultivation, production, and sale of a diverse range of agricultural commodities, both within Brazil and across international markets. Its primary crop portfolio features soybean...

How the Company Makes Money

SLC Agricola makes money primarily by producing and selling agricultural commodities. Its core revenue streams come from (1) sales of soybeans and corn (typically sold into domestic and export-linked channels) and (2) sales of cotton (including cotto...

SLC Agricola SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:22.18%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented strong operational and strategic positives: record semester revenue, improved gross profit, record soybean yields, robust cotton outlook, high hedging coverage, targeted irrigation and other CapEx, land revaluation and ESG recognition. These fundamentals support revenue visibility and resilience. However, the company is managing notable near-term financial headwinds — an indicated ~15% EBITDA contraction, higher net debt (BRL 7.5 billion) and leverage at ~3.09x, elevated SG&A and logistics costs, and concentrated debt amortization risk. Management outlined mitigation steps (hedging, irrigation, input procurement timing, potential debt refinancing) and reiterated a medium-term target to reduce leverage. Overall, operational achievements and strong risk management actions are meaningful, but financial leverage and margin pressures represent material cautions.

Positive Updates

Record Semester Revenue
Net revenue for the semester reached BRL 4.4 billion, a 6% increase year-over-year, driven by higher volumes of cotton, soybean, corn and cattle sold.

Negative Updates

Adjusted EBITDA Contraction
Adjusted EBITDA totaled BRL 1.3 billion in H1 and management indicated a 15% change versus first half 2025 (context and commentary indicate this represented a decline), driven by lower gross profit from soybeans and cotton seeds and higher selling & administrative expenses.

Company Guidance

Management guided to a constructive outlook: market fundamentals show global cotton consumption ~123M bales vs production ~117M (≈5.3M bale deficit), supporting prices, while SLC reported a record soybean yield of 4,146 kg/ha (↑4.7% vs prior cycle, ↑2.7% vs plan, ≈12% above national average), cotton 62% harvested with expected yields ~12% above last year, and second‑crop corn 90% harvested with expected yield ~6,798 kg/ha. Risk management and input coverage remain strong: '25‑'26 hedges at 90% soy / 94% cotton / 54% corn, '26‑'27 hedges at 49.2% soy and 55% cotton (including committed volumes), and fertilizer/crop protection coverage for '26‑'27 at 100% phosphate, 90% KCl, 70% N and 96% crop protection. Financial and capital metrics: H1 net revenue BRL 4.4bn (+6% y/y), gross profit BRL 1.9bn (+8.8%), adjusted EBITDA BRL 1.3bn (‑15% y/y), H1 irrigation CapEx BRL 155m (maintenance CapEx run‑rate ≈BRL 700m; PP&E ≈BRL 900m), adjusted net debt BRL 7.5bn with leverage 3.09x EBITDA (78% long‑term), land portfolio valued BRL 13.5bn (assets +8.4% over 5 years) and NAV BRL 27.12/share; management expects leverage to decline after harvest and targets <2x net debt/EBITDA over the medium term.

SLC Agricola SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics show a profitable but pressured profile: margins and net income are trending down, leverage is high with debt roughly twice equity, and free cash flow has recently turned negative, leaving the company more exposed in this phase of the cycle despite solid operating profitability.

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.54B8.16B7.80B7.23B9.59B6.32B
Gross Profit2.35B2.63B2.31B2.62B3.13B2.25B
EBITDA1.96B2.34B1.96B2.53B2.95B2.18B
Net Income388.38M544.66M509.41M895.60M1.27B1.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.96B21.33B17.57B15.86B14.87B12.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments922.83M2.65B1.98B1.61B1.24B139.78M
Total Debt11.07B11.14B8.67B7.69B6.72B5.94B
Total Liabilities13.87B15.68B13.47B10.61B9.97B9.09B
Stockholders Equity5.42B5.03B4.00B4.93B4.60B3.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-182.41M289.52M662.07M1.03B1.51B-1.31M
Operating Cash Flow1.36B1.77B1.48B1.85B1.99B435.09M
Investing Cash Flow-1.94B-2.20B-843.11M-856.41M-485.81M-476.19M
Financing Cash Flow324.86M1.08B-271.15M-618.48M-409.97M-1.42B

SLC Agricola SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3.13

Price Trends

50DMA3.33Negative
100DMA2.99Positive
200DMA3.14Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.05Positive
RSI38.45Neutral
STOCH0.20Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLCJY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.37, below the 50-day MA of 3.33, and below the 200-day MA of 3.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.20 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SLCJY.

SLC Agricola SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

SLCJY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ADMADM69Neutral$37.07B20.767.73%2.73%-0.79%60.09%
ANDEANDE65Neutral$2.18B12.2814.15%1.25%-5.20%120.12%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
SLCJYSLCJY57Neutral$1.55B21.417.39%7.01%12.63%-33.26%
LNDLND52Neutral$315.49M-19.13-4.37%1.80%10.11%-167.71%
AGROAGRO49Neutral$1.40B29.413.03%3.10%7.20%-10.41%
BGBG49Neutral$18.57B15.767.22%3.01%55.48%-36.15%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%100%SLCJYAGROADMBGANDELNDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SLCJY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SLCJYSlc Agricola3.130.5421.09%
AGROAdecoagro9.561.9926.24%
ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Company75.7717.3629.71%
BGBunge Global Sa94.222.672.92%
ANDEThe Andersons63.9718.1439.58%
LNDBrasilagro Cia Brasileira De Propriedades Agricolas ADR3.20-0.45-12.28%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2026