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SIGA Technologies (SIGA) AI Stock Analysis

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SIGA

SIGA Technologies

(NASDAQ:SIGA)

Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:$3.00▼(-4.46% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/10/26

The score is held back primarily by weakened near-term fundamentals in the TTM data (large loss and negative free cash flow) and bearish technical trend signals. These are partially offset by a strong balance sheet and a generally constructive earnings call highlighting new contracted demand and ongoing international opportunities, but valuation is a significant negative given the very high P/E and no dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Global regulatory reachBroad regulatory approval and established sales across more than 30 countries give SIGA a durable commercial foundation. This reach supports recurring stockpiling opportunities, reduces reliance on one geography, and positions TPOXX for broader government preparedness programs over the next several years.
Negative Factors
Uncertain U.S. procurement timingSIGA remains exposed to the timing of a new U.S. government award, an important source of TPOXX demand. Delays can defer deliveries and revenue recognition, create earnings volatility, and make capacity and investment planning more difficult even if the eventual procurement opportunity remains intact.

SIGA Technologies (SIGA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%SIGA-40.83%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$225.62M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
618.17K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
490.6
Beta (1Y)
1.27
Revenue Growth
-69.60%
EPS Growth
-99.10%
Country
US
Employees
49
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

SIGA Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

SIGA Technologies, Inc. is a pharmaceutical company with commercialized products, specializing in the health security and infectious disease sectors across the United States. A core offering is TPOXX, an oral antiviral drug formulated to combat human...

How the Company Makes Money

SIGA makes money primarily by selling TPOXX (tecovirimat) under government procurement and stockpiling programs for biodefense and emergency preparedness. A significant portion of revenue is generated through contracts and purchase orders from govern...

SIGA Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 09, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-3.68%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was generally positive, supported by completion of the BARDA 19C contract, a new Canadian agreement worth up to approximately $15 million, additional international discussions, broad TPOXX approvals and stockpiling, nine-month profitability, and a cash balance of approximately $116 million with no debt. Offsetting concerns included uncertain timing for a new U.S. procurement award, the PEP filing delay to 2028, no third-quarter product sales, third-quarter losses, and timing challenges in Europe.

Positive Updates

BARDA 19C Contract Fully Completed
SIGA completed its final product delivery under the BARDA 19C contract in the second quarter, fulfilling all product obligations and contributing to U.S. government smallpox preparedness.

Negative Updates

Uncertain Timing for New U.S. Procurement
The process to secure a new U.S. government contract has progressed more slowly than in the past, and the timing of an award remains uncertain. Management said it continues to believe a new procurement contract will be awarded, but acknowledged uncertainty regarding timing and details.

Company Guidance

SIGA expects results from the phase I study of its pediatric formulation by year end, and expects to file its supplemental NDA for the PEP program in 2028. Under the CDND contract, valued up to approximately $15 million over the next five years, firm commitments are about $9 million over the first three years, plus up to $6 million in options; deliveries are expected to start in 2027, with an equal number of oral TPOXX courses delivered in each of the first three fiscal years, while options can be ordered and delivered at any point in time during the five-year contract. SIGA continues to believe that a new U.S. procurement contract will be awarded, although the timing of an award remains uncertain, and does not currently expect the midterm results to have any material impact on the nature or trajectory of the process beyond the typical transition period that follows any election.

SIGA Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Annual financials show a historically profitable, low-debt profile with strong margins, but the most recent TTM picture is a major concern: an extreme reported net loss and a swing to negative operating/free cash flow materially weaken confidence in near-term earnings quality and cash generation. Balance sheet strength helps, but current profitability and cash flow instability keep this score mid-range.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

44Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.36M94.60M138.72M139.92M110.78M133.67M
Gross Profit28.29M64.87M107.43M122.09M100.34M117.07M
EBITDA-2.17M30.96M76.61M88.31M44.65M89.83M
Net Income716.12K23.30M59.21M68.07M33.90M69.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets172.65M219.47M244.34M254.35M195.04M214.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments116.38M154.97M155.40M150.15M98.79M103.14M
Total Debt274.61K595.17K546.82K564.01K528.17K466.83K
Total Liabilities9.39M20.65M28.53M57.49M24.88M40.41M
Stockholders Equity163.25M198.82M215.80M196.86M170.16M174.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.57M43.12M48.72M94.78M41.61M11.44M
Operating Cash Flow-11.53M43.47M48.76M94.80M41.61M11.49M
Investing Cash Flow-40.54K-355.01K-42.45K-21.69K0-50.62K
Financing Cash Flow-44.00M-43.55M-43.46M-43.42M-45.96M-26.20M

SIGA Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price3.14

Price Trends

50DMA3.19Negative
100DMA3.26Negative
200DMA4.08Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.02Negative
RSI49.36Neutral
STOCH52.39Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SIGA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.14, below the 50-day MA of 3.19, and below the 200-day MA of 4.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SIGA.

SIGA Technologies Risk Analysis

SIGA Technologies disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SIGA Technologies reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Affiliates of MacAndrews & Forbes Incorporated (together with its affiliates "MacAndrews") have substantial ownership of SIGA stock and their interests may differ from the interests of other stockholders.Q4, 2025
2.Failure to maintain existing regulatory approvals or obtain future regulatory approvals in additional international jurisdictions could prevent us from marketing our products in certain jurisdictions abroad.Q2, 2025
3.We recently reacquired international promotional rights and we may be unable successfully to expand our internal international sales and marketing capabilities or enter into agreements with third parties outside of the U.S..Q4, 2024

SIGA Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

SIGA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
RDYRDY67Neutral$12.32B40.987.37%0.56%-10.52%-55.45%
VTRSVTRS58Neutral$23.90B-39.73-4.24%2.28%4.80%82.97%
CPHICPHI56Neutral$23.71M-0.54-17.14%―-10.97%71.83%
SIGASIGA54Neutral$224.91M490.620.42%―-69.60%-99.10%
PRGOPRGO52Neutral$2.34B-1.30-68.13%7.01%-4.45%-3289.03%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
EBSEBS45Neutral$311.06M-1.20-61.33%―-17.72%-456.60%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%SIGACPHIRDYEBSVTRSPRGODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SIGA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SIGASiga Technologies3.14-2.24-41.61%
CPHIChina Pharma0.54-0.98-64.28%
RDYDr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd14.841.057.58%
EBSEmergent Biosolutions6.04-4.28-41.47%
VTRSViatris, Inc.21.0610.5299.89%
PRGOPerrigo Company16.553.7829.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2026