SIFCO Industries (SIF) AI Stock Analysis

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SIFCO Industries

(NYSE MKT:SIF)

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Rating:65Neutral

Price Target:$26.00▲(54.67% Upside)

Action:downgraded

Date:08/11/26

SIF's strong financial recovery, with improved profitability and balance sheet strength, is the primary driver of the score. However, the high valuation and mixed technical indicators temper the outlook, resulting in a moderate overall rating.

Positive Factors

Revenue GrowthTTM revenue growth of approximately 18.8% and revenue near $99.4M indicate improving demand and/or execution across the company’s aerospace and industrial activities. If sustained, this expansion can support better capacity utilization, strengthen operating leverage, and provide a broader base for future earnings.

Negative Factors

Declining Free Cash FlowAlthough free cash flow remains positive, the approximately 43% decline shows that cash generation has not kept pace consistently with the earnings rebound. Weaker cash conversion can constrain reinvestment, debt reduction, and operational flexibility if the deterioration persists over coming quarters.

SIFCO Industries Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by Customer TypeBreaks revenue down by end customer groups (for example OEMs, aftermarket/MRO, energy or defense), highlighting where demand comes from and how concentrated it is. Dependence on a few large or cyclical customers increases risk, whereas a diversified mix with stable aftermarket work suggests more predictable revenue and greater pricing power.

Chart Insights

Commercial revenue spiked in early–mid 2024 then collapsed and has stayed at a much lower, steadier run rate—consistent with a one‑off large order or timing shift rather than sustainable demand. Military revenue has quietly recovered since 2023 and accelerated through 2025–Q1‑2026 to multi‑year highs, implying durable contract wins or backlog conversion. SIFCO is becoming more dependent on defense‑driven growth; investors should watch backlog/award disclosures and whether commercial demand reverts to avoid concentration risk.

Data provided by:

The Fly

SIFCO Industries (SIF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap: $111.64M
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 69.35K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 26.3
Beta (1Y): 0.95
Revenue Growth: 18.78%
EPS Growth: ―
Country: US
Employees: 259
Sector: Industrials
Sector Strength: 63
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

SIFCO Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

SIFCO Industries, Inc. specializes in manufacturing and distributing forged and precisely machined components, primarily serving the aerospace and energy sectors across North America and Europe. The company's core expertise encompasses forging, heat...

How the Company Makes Money

SIFCO Industries makes money primarily by selling manufactured metal components—especially forgings—and related value-added manufacturing services to customers in aerospace and industrial end markets. Revenue is generated through customer purchase or...

SIFCO Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company shows a strong financial turnaround: revenue and net income have grown, margins expanded, debt reduced, and cash flow turned positive. However, past volatility and moderate debt repayment capacity remain considerations.

Income Statement

75Positive

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Sep 2025	Sep 2024	Sep 2023	Sep 2022	Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	99.37M	84.81M	79.63M	66.07M	83.90M	99.59M
Gross Profit	16.46M	10.59M	5.98M	3.35M	-1.85M	11.21M
EBITDA	9.69M	5.96M	-725.00K	-4.44M	-2.69M	6.33M
Net Income	3.97M	-718.00K	-5.38M	-8.69M	-9.64M	-743.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	80.03M	73.39M	104.62M	96.28M	97.27M	110.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	77.00K	2.04M	1.71M	368.00K	1.17M	346.00K
Total Debt	17.34M	23.80M	37.92M	37.45M	34.63M	37.39M
Total Liabilities	38.50M	36.51M	74.20M	61.95M	56.58M	61.05M
Stockholders Equity	41.53M	36.88M	30.43M	34.34M	40.69M	49.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	3.24M	-555.00K	-3.73M	-2.48M	-2.90M	-1.09M
Operating Cash Flow	3.95M	-71.00K	-1.74M	-1.36M	298.00K	3.89M
Investing Cash Flow	322.00K	13.87M	-3.40M	-2.43M	-3.19M	-878.00K
Financing Cash Flow	-4.08M	-13.44M	7.87M	2.88M	3.73M	-3.11M

SIFCO Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price16.81

Price Trends

50DMA20.99Negative

100DMA22.11Negative

200DMA18.64Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-1.19Positive

RSI37.94Neutral

STOCH21.83Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SIF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.60, below the 50-day MA of 20.99, and below the 200-day MA of 18.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SIF.

SIFCO Industries Risk Analysis

SIFCO Industries disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SIFCO Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks

1.A deadlock in the U.S. Congress over budgets and spending could cause another partial shutdown of the U.S. government, which could result in a termination or suspension of some or all of our contracts with suppliers to the U.S. government.Q3, 2025

2.We are subject to risks related to changes in U.S. and international trade policies, including new or increased tariffs on materials that we use in manufacturing, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and operating results.Q3, 2025

3.Significant tariffs and other trade measures, including recently announced U.S. tariffs on aluminum and steel, could adversely affect our business, results of operations, financial position and cash flows.Q2, 2025

SIFCO Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

SIF against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ATRO	71Outperform	$2.60B	16.96	75.41%	―	20.67%	―
SIF	65Neutral	$111.64M	26.30	10.02%	―	18.78%	―
Sector *	63Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
CVU	61Neutral	$61.35M	16.00	14.04%	―	2.59%	―
DCO	58Neutral	$2.20B	41.90	7.83%	―	8.86%	―
AIRI	44Neutral	$13.39M	-16.11	-4.10%	―	1.98%	―
XTIA	39Underperform	$37.71M	-0.44	2065.32%	―	2704.58%	95.24%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

SIF and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
SIF	Sifco Industries, Inc.	16.81	10.41	162.66%
ATRO	Astronics	60.31	18.70	44.94%
CVU	Cpi Aerostructures	4.61	2.22	92.89%
DCO	Ducommun Incorporated	142.43	51.06	55.88%
XTIA	Xti Aerospace, Inc.	0.99	-0.40	-29.06%
AIRI	Air Industries Group Inc	2.60	-0.32	-10.96%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026

SIFCO Industries AI Stock Analysis