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Stifel Financial Corp (SF)
NYSE:SF
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Stifel Financial (SF) AI Stock Analysis

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SF

Stifel Financial

(NYSE:SF)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$127.00
▲(7.24% Upside)
Stifel Financial's overall score is driven by strong earnings call results and positive technical indicators. However, challenges in operational efficiency and moderate valuation metrics slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Record revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.
Business Model Shift
A shift towards fee-based revenue enhances predictability and reduces reliance on volatile transactional income, strengthening financial resilience.
Venture Banking Expansion
Expansion in venture banking with experienced hires boosts Stifel's capabilities in high-growth sectors, enhancing competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Operational Efficiency
Negative EBIT margin reflects inefficiencies that could hinder profitability and require strategic adjustments to improve operational performance.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory challenges, such as government shutdowns, can disrupt capital markets activities, affecting revenue streams and strategic initiatives.
Profitability Pressure
Decreasing net profit margins indicate pressure on profitability, necessitating cost management and revenue enhancement strategies to sustain growth.

Stifel Financial (SF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Stifel Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStifel Financial Corp., a financial services and bank holding company, provides retail and institutional wealth management, and investment banking services to individual investors, corporations, municipalities, and institutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, and Canada. It operates in three segments: Global Wealth Management, Institutional Group, and Other. The company provides private client services, including securities transaction and financial planning services; institutional equity and fixed income sales, trading and research, and municipal finance services; investment banking services, such as mergers and acquisitions, public offerings, and private placements; and retail and commercial banking services comprising personal and commercial lending programs, as well as deposit accounts. It also participates in and manages underwritings for corporate and public finance; and offers financial advisory and securities brokerage services. The company was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyStifel Financial generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, it earns income from Wealth Management services, which include commissions from trading, advisory fees from managed accounts, and performance-based fees. The Institutional Group contributes to revenue through trading and underwriting services, while the Investment Banking segment generates fees from advisory services related to mergers and acquisitions, public offerings, and private placements. Additionally, Stifel has strategic partnerships and alliances that enhance its service offerings, and it benefits from a network of offices and advisors that expand its market reach. Overall, the company's diversified revenue model helps mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations and provides steady income across various economic conditions.

Stifel Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements with record-breaking revenues, strong performance in wealth management, and a surge in investment banking revenue. Despite some challenges related to regulatory and market conditions, the firm showed robust growth and optimism for the future.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Stifel achieved record net revenue of over $1.4 billion and record client assets. The quarter produced the third highest earnings per share in firm history and a record for any third quarter at $1.95. Return on tangible common equity exceeded 24%.
Strong Performance in Global Wealth Management
Global Wealth Management delivered another record quarter with revenue of $907 million and pretax margins of nearly 38%, the highest in almost 2 years. Total client assets reached a record $544 billion, with record fee-based assets of $219 billion.
Investment Banking Revenue Surge
Investment Banking revenue was up 33%, marking the strongest quarter since late 2021. Institutional revenue was $500 million, up 34% from the prior year. Equity capital raising revenue was $79 million, the best since late 2021.
Asset Management Growth
Asset Management revenue rose 13% on market appreciation and improved organic growth.
Deposit Growth
Client cash levels increased with sweep deposits up $640 million and non-wealth deposits up $760 million.
Negative Updates
Regulatory and Market Challenges
The government shutdown impacted IPOs, and the elevated valuations in the market pose challenges.
Concerns Over Credit and Market Environment
Although largely idiosyncratic, there have been recent credit hiccups in the market affecting some private credit players and banks.
Company Guidance
During the Stifel Financial Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, CEO Ron Kruszewski announced a record net revenue of over $1.4 billion and an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.95, marking the third highest in the firm's history. The return on tangible common equity exceeded 24%, driven by record performances in both Global Wealth Management and the institutional group. The firm's revenue composition has significantly shifted from primarily transactional to largely fee-based, with 62% of total revenue now coming from fee-related businesses. Pretax margins improved to 21.2%, and the firm has seen an annualized EPS growth of more than fivefold since 2011. Guidance for the fourth quarter includes expected net interest income of $270 million to $280 million, with a full-year effective tax rate projected between 20% and 22%. The firm anticipates continued growth, with targets like $10 billion in annual revenue and $1 trillion in client assets on the horizon.

Stifel Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stifel Financial shows strong revenue and cash flow growth, but faces challenges in operational efficiency with a negative EBIT margin. The balance sheet is stable, but profitability and cash conversion efficiency need improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Stifel Financial's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced strong revenue growth in the TTM period, with a 43.8% increase, indicating robust business expansion. However, the EBIT margin is negative, suggesting operational challenges. The gross profit margin is healthy at 64.37%, but the net profit margin has decreased compared to the previous year, indicating pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55 in the TTM period. The return on equity is reasonable at 10.91%, though slightly lower than the previous year, indicating a slight decline in efficiency. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend in free cash flow growth at 18.52% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 93.96%, highlighting efficient cash utilization.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.81B5.95B5.16B4.58B4.79B3.83B
Gross Profit3.18B4.94B4.27B4.30B4.66B3.70B
EBITDA1.11B1.18B936.84M1.08B1.24B0.00
Net Income610.56M731.38M522.54M662.15M824.86M503.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets39.86B39.90B37.73B37.20B34.05B26.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.25B3.00B3.36B3.84B4.08B4.51B
Total Debt3.09B1.54B2.92B1.17B1.17B1.17B
Total Liabilities34.26B34.21B32.43B31.87B29.01B22.37B
Stockholders Equity5.60B5.69B5.29B5.33B5.03B4.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow957.93M416.65M447.35M1.08B683.92M1.59B
Operating Cash Flow1.02B490.44M499.33M1.16B872.09M1.66B
Investing Cash Flow-2.46B-2.31B1.04B-4.32B-6.97B-1.69B
Financing Cash Flow704.32M980.10M-254.58M3.19B5.79B1.20B

Stifel Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price118.43
Price Trends
50DMA
113.81
Positive
100DMA
110.60
Positive
200DMA
103.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.55
Negative
RSI
61.74
Neutral
STOCH
72.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 118.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 113.59, above the 50-day MA of 113.81, and above the 200-day MA of 103.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SF.

Stifel Financial Risk Analysis

Stifel Financial disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Stifel Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Stifel Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$11.37B23.491.12%27.00%63.47%
$5.65B26.9419.30%1.77%12.49%36.43%
$12.52B28.9120.29%1.18%20.99%25.02%
$12.10B20.901.52%7.53%2.73%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$4.63B19.3736.41%4.10%1.58%1.93%
$10.90B18.206.29%2.93%-5.41%25.28%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SF
Stifel Financial
118.43
18.88
18.97%
EVR
Evercore Partners
294.56
33.98
13.04%
JEF
Jefferies
52.83
-9.44
-15.16%
LAZ
Lazard
48.80
-1.58
-3.14%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
319.26
41.45
14.92%
HLI
Houlihan Lokey
178.07
9.81
5.83%

Stifel Financial Corporate Events

Stifel Financial Reports Record Q3 2025 Revenues
Oct 23, 2025

Stifel Financial Corp., a financial services holding company based in St. Louis, Missouri, operates through its subsidiaries to provide banking, securities, and financial services, including brokerage, investment banking, and advisory services to a diverse clientele.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Stifel Financial Reports Record High Client Assets
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Stifel Financial Corp. reported its operating results for August 31, 2025, highlighting record highs in total and fee-based client assets, which increased by 9% and 14% year-over-year, respectively. The growth was attributed to strong recruiting and market gains, alongside a 6% month-over-month increase in treasury deposits that offset a decline in client money market and insured product balances. The company anticipates a stronger second half of the year for its Institutional Group, driven by improvements in the capital raising and M&A environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (SF) stock is a Hold with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stifel Financial stock, see the SF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Stifel Financial Reports Strong Asset and Deposit Growth
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Stifel Financial Corp. reported its operating results for July 31, 2025. The company experienced significant growth in total client assets and fee-based client assets, increasing by 9% and 14% year-over-year, respectively. Treasury deposits surged by 87%, offsetting declines in client money market and insured product balances, while bank loans rose by 1%, driven by increased fund banking and residential lending. This performance highlights Stifel’s strong market position and resilience in asset and deposit growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (SF) stock is a Buy with a $127.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stifel Financial stock, see the SF Stock Forecast page.

Stifel Financial Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance
Jul 31, 2025

Stifel Financial Corp. is a financial services holding company based in St. Louis, Missouri, offering a range of banking, securities, and financial services through its subsidiaries across the United States.

Stifel Financial Reports Record Revenue in Q2 2025
Jul 31, 2025

Stifel Financial’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust performance and strategic growth, with the company achieving record net revenue and notable successes in Global Wealth Management. While challenges in European restructuring and nonperforming asset ratios were acknowledged, the overall sentiment was decidedly positive, indicating a strong outlook for the remainder of the year.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025